(a) You are given the following trend equation by the method of least squares of a company selling readymade garments : Y = 480 + 36 X Origin 1988 X= Unit of one year Y= number of units sold per year (i) Convert the above trend equation into a monthly trend equation; and (ii) Estimate the sales for the month of Oct. 1994.
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- Olympic Pole Vault The graph in Figure 7 indicates that in recent years the winning Olympic men’s pole vault height has fallen below the value predicted by the regression line in Example 2. This might have occurred because when the pole vault was a new event there was much room for improvement in vaulters’ performances, whereas now even the best training can produce only incremental advances. Let’s see whether concentrating on more recent results gives a better predictor of future records. (a) Use the data in Table 2 (page 176) to complete the table of winning pole vault heights shown in the margin. (Note that we are using x=0 to correspond to the year 1972, where this restricted data set begins.) (b) Find the regression line for the data in part ‚(a). (c) Plot the data and the regression line on the same axes. Does the regression line seem to provide a good model for the data? (d) What does the regression line predict as the winning pole vault height for the 2012 Olympics? Compare this predicted value to the actual 2012 winning height of 5.97 m, as described on page 177. Has this new regression line provided a better prediction than the line in Example 2?Based on previous statistics, the dean of a business school forecasts total student attendance for this year's summer session classes: Year Enrollment Four years ago 2000 Three years ago 2200 Two years ago 2800 Last year 3000 What is the annual rate of change (slope) of the least squares trend line for these data?An economist at Nedbank ran a study of the relationship between FTSE/JSE All Shares index return (JALSH) and consumer price index (CPI) from 2006 to 2017, the data collected is shown in the Table 1 below. FTSE/JSE All Shares index return (JALSH) and consumer price index (CPI) from 2006 to 2017. Year JALSH (Y) CPI (X) 2006 0.41 4.7 2007 0.19 7.1 2008 -0.23 11.5 2009 0.32 7.1 2010 0.19 4.3 2011 0.03 5.0 2012 0.27 5.6 2013 0.21 5.7 2014 0.11 6.1 2015 0.05 4.6 2016 0.00 6.4 2017 0.21 5.3 The estimated regression…
- Suppose a study wants to predict the market price of a certain species of turtle (Y) based on the following independent variables indicated in the table. Based from the table, what is the equation of the multiple linear regression? (Round off up to two decimal places. Market Price = 0.07 - 0.40*weight + 1.51*length + 1.41*width + 0.80*age Market Price = - 0.40*weight + 1.51*length + 1.41*width + 0.80*age Market Price = 0.07 + 0.40*weight + 1.51*length + 1.41*width + 0.80*age Market Price = 0.07 - 0.40 + weight + 1.51 + length + 1.41 + width + 0.80 + ageCinema HD an online movie streaming service that offers a wide variety of award-winning TV shows, movies, animes, and documentaries, would like to determine the mathematical trend of memberships in order to project future needs. Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Membership 17 16 16 21 20 20 23 25 24 Use the following time series data, to develop a regression equation relating memberships to time. Forecast 2023 membership Assuming the COVID-19 pandemic comes to an end in 2021, in your opinion, how will this affect membership? Why? How will this affect your prediction? What are the issues associated with qualitative forecasting, and how are these overcome? Provide an example of qualitative forecasting and explain the shortcomings.How does the linear trend line forecasting model differfrom a linear regression model for forecasting?
- What percentage of the variation in infant mortality rate is explained by this model? Based on the results of the ANOVA table, is this a good model and why or why not? Is the relationship between percentage of GDP spent on healthcare and infant mortality rate statistically significant? What is the direction of the relationship? For each one percent increase in percentage of GDP spent on health care, we would expect the infant mortality rate to ________ (increase or decrease) by _____.If two variables have a negative linear correlation, the slope of the least-squares line is negative.What do you think would be your reservations in relaying on the linear regression model for budgetary planning purposes?
- An auctioneer of antique Iranian rugs kept records of his weekly auctions in order to determine the relationships among price, age of carpet or rug, number of people attending the auction, and the number of times the winning bidder had previously attended his auctions. He felt that, with this information, he could plan his auctions better, serve his steady customers better, and make a higher overall profit for himself.The following time series shows the sales of supermarket chain over the last six months. Month Sales ($ 000) August 2021 250 Sep 2021 280 Oct 2021 295 Nov 2021 320 Dec 2021 380 Jan 2022 360 Develop a linear trend equation that can be used to forecast sales in Feb 2022. Forecast the sales in Feb 2021 using a three-period weighted moving average designed with the following weights: Nov 2021 weight 0.6, Dec 2021 weight 0.3 and Jan 2022 weight 0.1. Which method (A or B) is the best? Explain why.An auctioneer of antique Iranian rugs kept records of his weekly auctions in order to determine the relationships among price, age of carpet or rug, number of people attending the auction, and the number of times the winning bidder had previously attended his auctions. He felt that, with this information, he could plan his auctions better, serve his steady customers better, and make a higher overall profit for himself. The results shown in the accompanying table were obtained.
