a. Using 5% significance as the guide, interpret the pair-wise Granger causality.  b. Draw the DIAGRAM FORM by showing clearly the causality directions as either  uni-directional or bi-directional.

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Author:Amos Gilat
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a. Using 5% significance as the guide, interpret the pair-wise Granger causality. 

b. Draw the DIAGRAM FORM by showing clearly the causality directions as either 
uni-directional or bi-directional. 

The following are the EViews results of Pairwise Granger Causality tests.
Table 3: Pairwise Granger Causality Tests
Sample: 2000Q1 2021Q4
Lags: 2
Null Hypothesis:
LX1 does not Granger Cause LY
LY does not Granger Cause LX1
LX2 does not Granger Cause LY
LY does not Granger Cause LX2
LX3 does not Granger Cause LY
LY does not Granger Cause LX3
LX4 does not Granger Cause LY
LY does not Granger Cause LX4
LX2 does not Granger Cause LX1
LX1 does not Granger Cause LX2
LX3 does not Granger Cause LX1
LX1 does not Granger Cause LX3
LX4 does not Granger Cause LX1
LX1 does not Granger Cause LX4
LX3 does not Granger Cause LX2
LX2 does not Granger Cause LX3
LX4 does not Granger Cause LX2
LX2 does not Granger Cause LX4
LX4 does not Granger Cause LX3
LX3 does not Granger Cause LX4
Obs
88
88
88
88
88
88
88
88
88
88
F-Statistic
4.11329
4.88106
1.04149
2.52320
3.46119
2.11678
5.04156
2.47448
0.88966
3.40036
6.63500
8.49161
6.62462
4.78347
2.11027
1.00378
2.02412
1.83541
3.65490
3.15128
Prob.
0.0413
0.0262
0.3806
0.1186
0.0624
0.1600
0.0239
0.1229
0.4344
0.0649
0.0103
0.0044
0.0104
0.0277
0.1608
0.3932
0.1717
0.1986
0.0550
0.0766
Transcribed Image Text:The following are the EViews results of Pairwise Granger Causality tests. Table 3: Pairwise Granger Causality Tests Sample: 2000Q1 2021Q4 Lags: 2 Null Hypothesis: LX1 does not Granger Cause LY LY does not Granger Cause LX1 LX2 does not Granger Cause LY LY does not Granger Cause LX2 LX3 does not Granger Cause LY LY does not Granger Cause LX3 LX4 does not Granger Cause LY LY does not Granger Cause LX4 LX2 does not Granger Cause LX1 LX1 does not Granger Cause LX2 LX3 does not Granger Cause LX1 LX1 does not Granger Cause LX3 LX4 does not Granger Cause LX1 LX1 does not Granger Cause LX4 LX3 does not Granger Cause LX2 LX2 does not Granger Cause LX3 LX4 does not Granger Cause LX2 LX2 does not Granger Cause LX4 LX4 does not Granger Cause LX3 LX3 does not Granger Cause LX4 Obs 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 F-Statistic 4.11329 4.88106 1.04149 2.52320 3.46119 2.11678 5.04156 2.47448 0.88966 3.40036 6.63500 8.49161 6.62462 4.78347 2.11027 1.00378 2.02412 1.83541 3.65490 3.15128 Prob. 0.0413 0.0262 0.3806 0.1186 0.0624 0.1600 0.0239 0.1229 0.4344 0.0649 0.0103 0.0044 0.0104 0.0277 0.1608 0.3932 0.1717 0.1986 0.0550 0.0766
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