An investment of $10,000 generates a return of $4,000 in a bull market or a return of -$1,500 in a bear market. Probabilities of a bull market and a bear market are 0.4 and 0.6, respectively. What is the expected return from the $10,000 investment? Group of answer choices $900 $700 $2,500 $1,600 Next
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- 21 Los Angeles averages 266.5 sunny days per year. What is probability that Boston has at least as many sunny days as Los Angeles? a 0.0020 b 0.0031 c 0.0047 d 0.0073The Enrico Oil Company is deciding whether to drill for oil on a tract. The company estimates thatthe project would cost $8 million today. The company estimates that once drilled, the oil willgenerate positive net cash flow of $4 million a year for the next 4 years. The company recognizes,however, that if it waits 2 years, it could cost $9 million, but there is a 90% chance that the nextcash flow will be $4.2 million and there is a 10% chance that the net cash flow will be $2.2 milliona year for 4 years. Assume that all cash flows are discounted at 10%. Required:i. If the company opts to drill today, what is the project’s NPV? ii. Evaluate whether it would be worthwhile to wait 2 years before deciding whether todrill?using 'standard Normal Table ' , calculate the following probabilities. 1. Pr(z < -1.12) 2. Pr(z >2.32) 3.pr(1.22 < z >2.53) 4.pr(-3.22 < z < 0.22) 5.pr(-2.36 < z < -0.50)
- 53. The annual demand for Prizdol, a prescription drugmanufactured and marketed by the NuFeel Company,is normally distributed with mean 50,000 and standarddeviation 12,000. Assume that demand during each ofthe next 10 years is an independent random numberfrom this distribution. NuFeel needs to determine howlarge a Prizdol plant to build to maximize its expectedprofit over the next 10 years. If the company builds aplant that can produce x units of Prizdol per year, it willcost $16 for each of these x units. NuFeel will produceonly the amount demanded each year, and each unit ofPrizdol produced will sell for $3.70. Each unit of Prizdol produced incurs a variable production cost of $0.20.It costs $0.40 per year to operate a unit of capacity.a. Among the capacity levels of 30,000, 35,000,40,000, 45,000, 50,000, 55,000, and 60,000 unitsper year, which level maximizes expected profit?Use simulation to answer this question.b. Using the capacity from your answer to part a,NuFeel can be 95%…The Kwik Klean car wash loses $250 on rainy days and gains $1200 on non rainy days. If the probability of rain is 0.13, what is the expected net profit?The data from 200 machined parts are summarizedas follows:y yesdepth of boreE, noabovebelowedge conditioncoarsetarget15target10moderatesmooth25205080(a) What is the probability that a part selected has a moderateedge condition and a below-target bore depth?(b) What is the probability that a part selected has a moderateedge condition or a below-target bore depth?(c) What is the probability that a part selected does not have amoderate edge condition or does not have a below-targetbore depth?(d) Construct a Venn diagram representation of the events inthis sample space.
- The owner of a ski resort is considering installing a new ski lift that will cost $900,000. Expenses for operating andmaintaining the lift are estimated to be $1,500 per day when operating. The U.S. Weather Service estimates thatthere is a 60% probability of 80 days of skiing weather per year, a 30% probability of 100 days per year, and a 10% probability of 120 days per year. The operators of the resort estimate that during the first 80 days of adequate snow in a season, an average of 500 people will use the lift each day, at a fee of $10 each. If 20 additional days are available, the lift will be used by only 400 people per day during the extra period; and if 20 more days of skiing are available, only 300 people per day will use the lift during those days. The owners wish to recover any invested capital within five years and want at least a 25% per year rate of return before taxes. Based on a before-tax analysis, should the lift be installed?Question 2An investor is to purchase one of three types of real estate, as illustrated inFigure below. The investor must decide among an apartment building, anoffice building, and a warehouse. The future states of nature that willdetermine how much profit the investor will make are good economicconditions and poor economic conditions. The profits that will result fromeach decision in the event of each state of nature are shown in Table below: Assume that it is now possible to estimate a probability of 0.60 that goodeconomic conditions will exist and a probability of .40 that poor economicconditions will exist. a) Determine the best decision by using expected opportunity loss. b) Develop a decision tree, with expected values at the probability nodes. c) Compute the expected value of perfect information.a. If the decision maker knows nothing about the probabilities of the fourstates of nature, what is the recommended decision using:i. the optimistic approachii. the conservative approachiii. the minimax regret approachiv. the Laplace method
- Determine whether or not to stock a large supply of steel. There is uncertainty in the price of steel. Based on past history the following data are available Price (future) Prob (Price) PW if stocked PW if not stocked High 0.3 100000 0 Medium 0.5 -10000 0 Low 0.2 -50000 0 What is the probability that stocking steel will result in a negative present worth (PW)?Probability Possible Rate of Return 0.25 -0.10 0.15 0.00 0.35 0.10 0.25 0.25 a. Under what conditions can the standard deviation be used to measure the relative risk of two investments? b. Under what conditions must the coefficient of variation (CoVar) be used to measure the relative risk of two investments?Suppose XYZ Corporation's stock price rises or falls with equal probability by $25 each month, starting where it ended the previous month. What is the value of a three month at the-money European call option on XYZ's stock if the stock is priced at $100 when the option is purchased?$______