Assume that we can estimate a project's cash flows as follows:

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2. Assume that we can estimate a project's cash flows as follows:
n
0
1
2
3
4
5
Expected Flow E(An) Estimate of Standard Deviation on
$0
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
-$300
$120
$150
$150
$110
$100
In this case, each annual flow can be represented by a random variable with known mean and
variance. Further assume complete independence among the cash flows.
(a) Find the expected NPW and the variance of this project at i = 10%.
(b) If all cash flows are normally distributed with the given means and variances, what is the
probability that the NPW will exceed $200?
Transcribed Image Text:2. Assume that we can estimate a project's cash flows as follows: n 0 1 2 3 4 5 Expected Flow E(An) Estimate of Standard Deviation on $0 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 -$300 $120 $150 $150 $110 $100 In this case, each annual flow can be represented by a random variable with known mean and variance. Further assume complete independence among the cash flows. (a) Find the expected NPW and the variance of this project at i = 10%. (b) If all cash flows are normally distributed with the given means and variances, what is the probability that the NPW will exceed $200?
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