Based on these potential​ outcomes, what is your estimate of the expected rate of return from this investment​ opportunity? b.  Would you be interested in making such an​ investment? Note that you lose all your money in one year if the economy collapses into the worst state or you double your money if the economy enters into a rapid expansion.

Corporate Fin Focused Approach
5th Edition
ISBN:9781285660516
Author:EHRHARDT
Publisher:EHRHARDT
Chapter5: Bond, Bond Valuation, And Interest Rates
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1jM
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(Expected rate of​ return)  James Fromholtz is considering whether to invest in a newly formed investment fund. The​ fund's investment objective is to acquire home mortgage securities at what it hopes will be bargain prices. The fund sponsor has suggested to James that the​ fund's performance will hinge on how the national economy performs in the coming year. ​ Specifically, he suggested the following possible​ outcomes:  
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a.  Based on these potential​ outcomes, what is your estimate of the expected rate of return from this investment​ opportunity?
b.  Would you be interested in making such an​ investment? Note that you lose all your money in one year if the economy collapses into the worst state or you double your money if the economy enters into a rapid expansion.
 
State of Economy
Probability
Fund Returns
Rapid expansion and recovery
15​%
 
100​%
 
Modest growth
35​%
 
30​%
 
Continued recession
35​%
 
10​%
 
Falls into depression
15​%
 
−100​%
 
 
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