Consider the following scenario analysis: Scenario Profitability Stocks Bonds Recession .2 -5% +14% Normal Economy .6 +15% +8% Boom .2 +25% +4% a) Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation in each investment. b) Do your results support or contradict the historical record on the relationship between risk and return in the financial market in both Canada and the United States? c) Which investment would you prefer? Explain your answer.

Consider the following scenario analysis: Scenario Profitability Stocks Bonds Recession .2 -5% +14% Normal Economy .6 +15% +8% Boom .2 +25% +4% a) Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation in each investment. b) Do your results support or contradict the historical record on the relationship between risk and return in the financial market in both Canada and the United States? c) Which investment would you prefer? Explain your answer.

International Financial Management

14th Edition

ISBN:9780357130698

Author:Madura

Publisher:Madura

Chapter16: Country Risk Analysis

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 14QA

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Investment advisors estimated the stock market returns for four market segments: computers, financial, manufacturing, and pharmaceuticals. Annual return projections vary depending on whether the general economic conditions are improving, stable, or declining. The anticipated annual return percentages for each market segment under each economic condition are as follows: Assume that an individual investor wants to select one market segment for a new investment. A forecast shows improving to declining economic conditions with the following probabilities: improving (0.2), stable (0.5), and declining (0.3). What is the preferred market segment for the investor, and what is the expected return percentage? At a later date, a revised forecast shows a potential for an improvement in economic conditions. New probabilities are as follows: improving (0.4), stable (0.4), and declining (0.2). What is the preferred market segment for the investor based on these new probabilities? What is the expected return percentage?
Consider the following information about the various states of economy and the returns ofvarious investment alternatives for each scenario. Answer the questions that follow. % Return on T-Bills, Stocks and Market Index State of the Economy Probability T- Phillips Pay- Rubber- Market Bills up made Index Recession 0.2 7 -22 28 10 -13 Below Average 0.1 7 -2 14.7 -10 1 Average 0.3 7 20 0 7 15 Above Average 0.3 7 35 -10 45 29…
Consider the following information about the various states of economy and the returns of various investment alternatives for each scenario. Answer the questions that follow. % Return on T-Bills, Stocks and Market Index States of Economy Probability T-Bills Phillips Pay-up Rubber-Made Market Index Recession 0.2 7 -22 28 10 -13 Below Average 0.1 7 -2 14.7 -10 1 Average 0.3 7 20 0 7 15 Above Average 0.3 7 35 -10 45 29 Boom 0.1 7 50 -20 30 43 Mean Variance (%) ^2 Standard Deviation Coefficient of Variation Covariance wit MP Correlation with Market Index Beta CAPM Req. Return Valuation ( Overvalued / Undervalued/Fairly Valued) Nature of Stock…
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Consider the following information about the various states of economy and the returns of various investment alternatives for each scenario. Answer the questions that follow. % Return on T-Bills, Stocks and Market Index States of Economy Probability T-Bills Phillips Pay-up Rubber-Made Market Index Recession 0.2 7 -22 28 10 -13 Below Average 0.1 7 -2 14.7 -10 1 Average 0.3 7 20 0 7 15 Above Average 0.3 7 35 -10 45 29 Boom 0.1 7 50 -20 30 43 Mean Variance (%) ^2 Standard Deviation Coefficient of Variation Covariance wit MP Correlation with Market Index Beta CAPM Req. Return Valuation ( Overvalued / Undervalued/Fairly Valued) Nature of Stock…
Consider the following information regarding a new investment that a company intends toundertake:.State of the Economy Probability Market Return Investment ReturnExpansion 0.30 40% 60%Normal 0.50 10% 25%Recession 0.20 -15% -40%a). Compute the variance and standard deviation of each b). Compute the correlation between the market the investment return(s) c). Compute the beta of the investment d). Assuming the risk free rate is 5% p.a. Compute the required rate return and advice if the investment is worth undertaken.
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Consider the following information about the various states of economy and the returns of various investment alternatives for each scenario. Answer the questions that follow. % Return on T-Bills, Stocks and Market Index State of the Economy Probability T- Phillips Pay- Rubber- Market Bills up made Index Recession 0.2 7 -22 28 10 -13 Below Average 0.1 7 -2 14.7 -10 1 Average 0.3 7 20 0 7 15…
Consider the following information about the various states of economy and the returns ofvarious investment alternatives for each scenario. Answer the questions that follow. % Return on T-Bills, Stocks and Market IndexState of the Economy Probability TBills Phillips Payup Rubbermade Market Index Recession 0.2 7 -22 28 10 -13 Below Average 0.1 7 -2 14.7 -10 1 Average 0.3 7 20 0 7 15 Above Average 0.3 7 35…
Consider a position consisting of a $65,080 investment in Shin’s Korean Technology (SHIT) and a $22,210 investment in Coca-Cola Company (KO). Suppose that the daily volatilities of these two assets are 2.14% and 2.71% respectively and that the coefficient of correlation between their return is 0.4168. With an assumption that it follows the normally distributed returns, the 32-day 95% Value at Risk (VaR) for Shin’s Korean Technology (SHIT) is closest to A. $16,620.41. B. $14,816.56. C. $12,958.76. D. $10,007.37.
Which of the following statements is false? A. Basel II use the value at risk (VaR) with a one-year time horizon and a 99.9% confidence level for calculating capital for credit risk and operational risk. B. 20 BP = 0.2% C. Basel I is increasing the amount of capital that banks are required to hold and the proportion of that capital that must be equity. D. Model-building approach is a model for the joint distribution of changes in market variables and using historical data to estimate the model parameters.