Define time-series forecasting model and give examples.
Q: he formula of exponential smoothing method of forecastin
A: Exponential smoothing is a time series forecasting method for univariate data. Exponential smoothing…
Q: Explain how do we measure accuracy of a forecasting model
A: We utilize the following criteria to determine a prediction model's efficiency:
Q: What are the different Forecasting Approaches? Explain each in detail
A: A Small Introduction about Forecasting Forecasting is done to figure out what kind of demand could…
Q: Explain what us qualitative forecasting model and when should it be used
A: Qualitative approach is a way of evaluation based on subject specialists and not on numeric…
Q: Explain what benefits as a forecasting tool does exponential smoothing have over moving averages?
A: In today's environment, when events change frequently, the exponential smoothing method is superior.…
Q: Give three example of unethical conduct involving forecasting and the ethical principle each…
A: Deceptive conduct is an activity that falls outside of what is considered ethically right or…
Q: Explain what are the forecasting process principles?
A: Forecasting is the science of forecasting what will occur in the future based on past and current…
Q: Table 3 Percent change in income Percent Change in appliance sold Quarter Percent change in income…
A: (a) Here, the relationship between two variables needs to be identified, so a linear regression…
Q: What are the basic assumptions made when using time series forecasting techniques as opposed to…
A: Stationarity: The first assumption is that the series of data points are stationary. The series is…
Q: State when is the time series forecasting is used ?
A: Forecasting is a process that utilizes historical information and reports to forecast future events.
Q: Explain the basic assumptions made when using time series forecasting techniques as opposed to…
A: The Time Series Initial Phase makes a variety of assumptions.
Q: Illustrate one example/scenario when judgmental forecast is utilized.
A: Forecasting is the process of predicting the future demand based on historic data or information.
Q: State and explain three methods that are used to determine the accuracy of any given forecasting…
A: To be determined: three methods that are used to determine the accuracy of any given forecasting…
Q: Identify one method that is used in forecasting and explain how it is applied.
A: Forecasting: It is a process of predicting future demand based on past values or demand and present…
Q: List the various type of analytical tools and methods used in forecasting?
A: Numerous statistical approaches are used to examine the data, which enables the data to be…
Q: Describe the exponential smoothing forecast?
A: In exponential smoothing forecasting, all the values of past demand are taken into consideration by…
Q: What forecasting methods should the company consider? Please justify.
A: Forecasting is a prediction method that can use historical data and current market trends and…
Q: Identify the major differences between qualitative and quantitative forecasting.
A: Forecasting can be defined as the technique which predicts the future information based on…
Q: Explain the similarities and differences between quantitative forecasting and qualitative…
A: Forecasting refers to the process of making predictions for the future using past and present data.…
Q: What advantages as a forecasting tool does exponential smoothing have over moving averages?
A: A moving average forecast method takes into account instead of the last actual data, a number of…
Q: Explain the relationship between forecasting and quality management?
A: Total quality management (TQM) is a continual process of identifying and avoiding or eliminating…
Q: How do we measure accuracy of a forecasting model?
A: Step1:Forecasting models are tried and tested frameworks of historical data which helps in…
Q: What is forecast accuracy and what are the different methods to check it?
A: Forecast Accuracy is basically how accurately the predicted value matches the actual value. In…
Q: What benefits does exponential smoothing have over moving averages as a forecasting tool?
A: As a forecasting function, exponential smoothing has the following benefits over running averages:…
Q: Explain the term forecasting with least squares
A: Forecasting is a way of making a broader basis about the coming supported by facts. It can be used…
Q: Give three examples of unethical conduct involving forecasting and the ethical principle each…
A: Forecasting is the planning process that helps to predict the future demand using present or past…
Q: What are the issues associated with qualitative forecasting, and how are these overcome? Provide…
A: Qualitative forecasting is a strategy for making forecasts about an organization's funds that…
Q: Justify the trade-off between responsiveness and consistency in a time-series forecasting system.
A: TradeoffTradeoff is a situational decision taken approach, that involves diminishing quality,…
Q: What are the main advantages that quantitative techniques for forecasting have over qualitative…
A: Forecasting is the process of estimating potential demands as well as the resources that will be…
Q: Forecasting is an important guard against guess work in decision making. In light of this statement…
A: Every firm engages in a annual planning process for production where the marketing function provides…
Q: mon forecasting techniques.
A: It is possible to describe forecasting as a method of making predictions about the future based on…
Q: A time-series trend equation is 25.3 + 21x. What is your forecast for period 7? A. 32.3 B.…
A: Forecasting is the process in which future demand is determined by estimation using previous data or…
Q: Define and explain the forecasting technique which places more emphasis on recent values and explain…
A: Forecasting is the process of prediction in which sales demand is estimated using historic…
Q: What is seasonality?How do we forecast using data that has seasonality?
A: Seasonality in time series data is the occurrence of repetitive up and down cycles in series values…
Q: Give an example of forecasting a pet store
A: The forecast is defined as the projection based on past data. Past data, though, is factual, yet…
Q: What are the major consequences of accurate forecasting? explain
A: Forecasting is defined as a process of developing predictions based on the past and…
Q: Identify and explain the areas other than mentioned where the Hard Rock Cafe could use forecasting…
A: Hard Rock Cafe, Inc. is a chain of subject eateries established in 1971 by Isaac Tigrett and Peter…
Q: State and explain the weakness of standard forecasting technique in forecasting approaches
A: To be determined: the weakness of standard forecasting technique
Q: There are two general approaches to forecasting namely Quantitative and Qualitative approaches.…
A: Note: I have answered for first question as per our authoring guidelines. Post another question…
Q: . Describe trend, seasonality, random variation, and cycle as applied to forecasting.
A: Forecasting is a term related to Supply chain management. Forecasting means analyzing the sales of…
Q: Define QUANTITATIVE FORECASTING MODELS
A: Forecasting is the process of identifying the demand accurately for future production planning and…
Q: Explain the advantages of forecasting tool does exponential smoothing over moving avarages ?
A: The key benefits of exponential smoothing versus moving averages as a forecast.
Q: State examples of industries affected by seasonality and reasons to eliminate seasonality in their…
A: To be determined: examples of industries affected by seasonality and reasons to eliminate…
Q: What does the term "adaptive forecasting" mean?
A: Forecasting is nothing more than forecasting patterns and making potential forecasts based on…
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- Under what conditions might a firm use multiple forecasting methods?The file P13_42.xlsx contains monthly data on consumer revolving credit (in millions of dollars) through credit unions. a. Use these data to forecast consumer revolving credit through credit unions for the next 12 months. Do it in two ways. First, fit an exponential trend to the series. Second, use Holts method with optimized smoothing constants. b. Which of these two methods appears to provide the best forecasts? Answer by comparing their MAPE values.Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. Ethical decisions that affect a buyers ethical perspective usually involve the organizational environment, cultural environment, personal environment, and industry environment. Analyze this scenario using these four variables.
- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?
- Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?Discuss what advantages as a forecasting tool does exponential smoothing have over moving averages?Discuss when is time series forecasting used?