DIHL Co. is a Danao-based logistics company owned by Engr. Donald H. Lalican. Anticipating the growing demand for delivery services, he developed a strategic plan for the year 2022. The options are to hire additional delivery crews in their Mandaue facility, construct a new facility in Talisay City, or subcontract Ohlala Move, a small-time company. A study conducted by the marketing department forecasted the following payoff values, which are summarized in the table below. The values are expressed as gains and alpha = 0.6. What decision will Engr. Lalican make using the different criteria under conditions of uncertainty. Question is what is the worst possible decision he will make? States of Nature Decision Alternatives Failure Low Moderate High Hire additional Drivers in Mandaue -450,000 -250,000 250,000 500,000 Construct a facility in Talisay -800,000 -400,000 300,000 700,000 Subcontracting Ohlala Move -100,000 -10,000 150,000 300,000
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- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?DiHL Co. is a Danao-based logistics company owned by Engr. Donald H. Lalican. Anticipating the growing demand for delivery services, he developed a strategic plan for the year 2022. The options are to hire additional delivery crews in their Mandaue facility, construct a new facility in Talisay City, or subcontract Ohlala Move, a small-time company. A study conducted by the marketing department forecasted the following payoff values, which are summarized in the table below. The values are expressed as gains and alpha = 0.6. *What is the best decision alternative under Maximax criterion? (Provide complete decision table solution)
- DiHL Co. is a Danao-based logistics company owned by Engr. Donald H. Lalican. Anticipating the growing demand for delivery services, he developed a strategic plan for the year 2022. The options are to hire additional delivery crews in their Mandaue facility, construct a new facility in Talisay City, or subcontract Ohlala Move, a small-time company. A study conducted by the marketing department forecasted the following payoff values, which are summarized in the table below. The values are expressed as gains and alpha = 0.6. *a.) Which decision alternative has a minimum payoff value from the maximum regrets?b.) Which realism approach decision alternative has maximum payoff? c.) Which equally likely decision alternative has the best payoff value?14. Stephanie, the supply chain analyst of Nestle is asked to present an expansion plan for thecompany. The plan is either to construct a plant, open a distribution center, or do nothing. Fromthe plant construction, the company will gain 80,000Php if the market turns favorable, loss of10,000 if average, and loss of 50,000 if unfavorable. From opening a distribution center, thecompany will gain 40,000Php if favorable, gain 20,000Php if average, and loss of 30,000Php ifunfavorable. And if the decision is do nothing, the company will gain nothing regardless of themarket turnout. Then, he was able to determine further the probability of occurrence of eachtype of market. The probability of occurrence is 60%, 25%, and 40%, respectively. He also foundout that he can buy the information on what will really happen to the market for 2,000Php.a. What should be the analyst’s decision?b. How much gain or loss will he expect for the company?c. Should he buy the perfect information? Why or why not?d.…Benoit Manufacturing Company manufactures and sells parts for various musical gadgets. The following information to a single part which is used in the production of a wind instrument. The business earned Operating Income of $220,000 in 2019, when production was 3,000 units and the president of Darius is under pressure from shareholders to increase operating income in 2020 and is therefore considering the implementation of strategies mainly geared at increasing revenues and or decreasing variable costs. Data for variable cost per unit and total fixed costs were as follows: Variable expenses per unit: Direct Material $58 Direct Labour $74 Variable Manufacturing Overhead $48 Fixed expenses: Fixed Manufacturing Overhead $215,000 Fixed Selling Costs $65,000 Fixed Administrative Costs $160,000 The President of Benoit is under pressure from shareholders to increase operating income by 50% in 2020. Management…
- Spectrum Hair Salon is considering expanding itsbusiness, as it is experiencing a large growth. Th e question iswhether it should expand with a bigger facility than needed,hoping that demand will catch up, or with a small facility,knowing that it will need to reconsider expanding in three years.Th e management at Spectrum has estimated the followingchances for demand:• Th e likelihood of demand being high is 0.70.• Th e likelihood of demand being low is 0.30.Estimated profi ts for each alternative are as follows:• Large expansion has an estimated profi tability of either$100,000 or $70,000, depending on whether demand turnsout to be high or low.• Small expansion has a profi tability of $50,000, assuming thatdemand is low.• Small expansion with an occurrence of high demand wouldrequire considering whether to expand further. If thebusiness expands at this point, the profi tability is expected tobe $90,000. If it does not expand further, the profi tability isexpected to be $60,000.Draw a…Spectrum Hair Salon is considering expanding itsbusiness, as it is experiencing a large growth. Th e question iswhether it should expand with a bigger facility than needed,hoping that demand will catch up, or with a small facility,knowing that it will need to reconsider expanding in three years.Th e management at Spectrum has estimated the followingchances for demand:• Th e likelihood of demand being high is 0.70.• Th e likelihood of demand being low is 0.30.Estimated profi ts for each alternative are as follows:• Large expansion has an estimated profi tability of either$100,000 or $70,000, depending on whether demand turnsout to be high or low.• Small expansion has a profi tability of $50,000, assuming thatdemand is low.• Small expansion with an occurrence of high demand wouldrequire considering whether to expand further. If thebusiness expands at this point, the profi tability is expected tobe $90,000. If it does not expand further, the profi tability isexpected to be $60,000.Topic: “What are some causes of rising food prices and the challenges faced by rural farmers in Mt. Royal, Carriacou.” A. Based on the topic above, what are the theory/theories that provide an explanation for the problem you are studying?
- John and Jane Darling are newlyweds trying to decide amongseveral available rentals. Alternatives were scored on a scaleof 1 to 5 (5 = best) against weighted performance criteria,as shown in Table 13.7. The criteria included rent, proximity to work and recreational opportunities, security, and otherneighborhood characteristics associated with the couple’svalues and lifestyle. Alternative A is an apartment, B is abungalow, C is a condo, and D is a downstairs apartment inJane’s parents’ home.Which location is indicated by the preference matrix? Whatqualitative factors might cause this preference to change?SBC Packers Co. is a logistics company owned by Engr. Sheera Bee Cabanlit. Anticipating the growing demand for delivery services, she developed a strategic plan for the year 2022. The options are to hire additional delivery crews in their Mandaue facility, construct a new facility in Talisay City, or subcontract Ohlala Move, a small-time company. A study conducted by the marketing department forecasted the following payoff values, which are summarized in the table below. The values are expressed as gains and alpha = 0.4. * What is the best decision alternative under Maximax criterion? (Provide complete decision table solution) What is the best of the best payoff value? What is the best of the worst decision alternative? Which decision alternative has a minimum payoff value from the maximum regrets? Which realism approach decision alternative has maximum payoff?SBC Packers Co. is a logistics company owned by Engr. Sheera Bee Cabanlit. Anticipating the growing demand for delivery services, she developed a strategic plan for the year 2022. The options are to hire additional delivery crews in their Mandaue facility, construct a new facility in Talisay City, or subcontract Ohlala Move, a small-time company. A study conducted by the marketing department forecasted the following payoff values, which are summarized in the table below. The values are expressed as gains and alpha = 0.4. * Which decision alternative has a minimum payoff value from the maximum regrets? Which realism approach decision alternative has maximum payoff?