equipment proposal from two vendors A and B have been received from a local company. The quality of these equipment have been varying and consequently the cost of manufacturing the product using these two different equipment
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An equipment proposal from two vendors A and B have been received from a local company. The quality of these equipment have been varying and consequently the cost of manufacturing the product using these two different equipment has also varied. The varying costs based on the probabilities of defects are given in table below.
Determine the better vendor.
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- The owner of a ski resort is considering installing a new ski lift that will cost $900,000. Expenses for operating andmaintaining the lift are estimated to be $1,500 per day when operating. The U.S. Weather Service estimates thatthere is a 60% probability of 80 days of skiing weather per year, a 30% probability of 100 days per year, and a 10% probability of 120 days per year. The operators of the resort estimate that during the first 80 days of adequate snow in a season, an average of 500 people will use the lift each day, at a fee of $10 each. If 20 additional days are available, the lift will be used by only 400 people per day during the extra period; and if 20 more days of skiing are available, only 300 people per day will use the lift during those days. The owners wish to recover any invested capital within five years and want at least a 25% per year rate of return before taxes. Based on a before-tax analysis, should the lift be installed?Question 2An investor is to purchase one of three types of real estate, as illustrated inFigure below. The investor must decide among an apartment building, anoffice building, and a warehouse. The future states of nature that willdetermine how much profit the investor will make are good economicconditions and poor economic conditions. The profits that will result fromeach decision in the event of each state of nature are shown in Table below: Assume that it is now possible to estimate a probability of 0.60 that goodeconomic conditions will exist and a probability of .40 that poor economicconditions will exist. a) Determine the best decision by using expected opportunity loss. b) Develop a decision tree, with expected values at the probability nodes. c) Compute the expected value of perfect information.Probability Possible Rate of Return 0.25 -0.10 0.15 0.00 0.35 0.10 0.25 0.25 a. Under what conditions can the standard deviation be used to measure the relative risk of two investments? b. Under what conditions must the coefficient of variation (CoVar) be used to measure the relative risk of two investments?
- The owner of Tastee Cookies needs to decide whether to lease a small, medium, or large new retail outlet. She estimates that monthly profits will vary with demand for her cookies as follows: SIZE OFOUTLET DEMAND LOW HIGH Small $ 1,000 1,000 Medium 500 2,500 Large 0 3,000 For what range of probability that demand will be high, will she decide to lease the medium facility?2.4 The opening 2018 World Cup odds against being the winning team specified by espn.com were 9/2 for Germany, 5/1 for Brazil, 11/2 for France, 20/1 for England, and 7/1 for Spain. Find the corresponding prior probabilities of winning for these five teams.Suppose that there are two types of workers: high and low. Employers cannot distinguish between different types during an interview. Employers value high type at $200,000 and low type at $100,000. Employers are in a competitive market (i.e. zero profit applies). High type workers have a reservation wage of 140,000 and low type workers have a reservation wage of 80,000. Suppose that 50% of all workers are high type. The productivities, reservation wages, and the probabilities are common knowledge). What wage would the employers offer? Please explain the solution!
- The weekly salary paid to employees of a small company that supplies part-time laborers averages s800 with a standard deviation of $500. (a) If the weekly salaries are normally distributed, estimate the fraction of employees that make more than $300 per week. (b) If every employee receives a year-end bonus that adds $100 to the paycheck in the final week, how does this change the normal model for that week? (c) If every employee receives a 5% salary increase for the next year, how does the normal model change? (d) If the lowest salary is $300 and the meltian salary is $550, does a normal model appear appropriate?An insurance company would like to offer theft insurance for renters. The policy wouldpay the full replacement value of any items that were stolen from the apartment. Someapartments have security alarms installed. Such systems detect a break-in and ring an alarmwithin the apartment. The insurance company estimates that the probability of a theft in ayear is .05 if there is no security system and .01 if there is a security system (there cannot bemore than one theft in any year). An apartment with a security system costs the renter anadditional £50 per year. Assume that the loss from a theft is £10,000 and that the insurancecompany is risk neutral and the renter would be willing to pay more than the expected loss toinsure against the loss of theft. What is the insurance company's break even price for a one year theft insurance policy for anapartment without a security system?using 'standard Normal Table ' , calculate the following probabilities. 1. Pr(z < -1.12) 2. Pr(z >2.32) 3.pr(1.22 < z >2.53) 4.pr(-3.22 < z < 0.22) 5.pr(-2.36 < z < -0.50)
- Please no written by hand A bank has two $10 million one-year loans. Possible outcomes are as follows: Outcome Neither loan defaults Loan 1 defaults, loan 2 does not default Loan 2 defaults, loan 1 does not default Both loans default Probablity 97.5% 1.25% 1.25% 0.00%.If a default occurs, losses can use normal distribution with mean $5 million and standard deviation $1 million to approximate. If a loan does not default, a profit of $0.2 million is made. (a). What is the VaR for of each project when the confidence level (a). What is the VaR for of each project when the confidence level is 99%? (b). What is the expected shortfall of each project when the confidence level is 99%? (c). What is the VaR for a portfolio consisting of the two investments when the confidence level is 99%?) (d). What is the expected shortfall for a portfolio consisting of the two investments when the confidence level is 99%?A property owner is faced with a choice of: A large-scale investment to improve her flats. This could produce a substantial pay-off in terms of increased revenue net of costs but will require an investment of 1.4 million pesos. After extensive market research it is considered that there is a 40% chance that a pay-off of 2.5million will be obtained, but there is a 60% chance that it will be only 800,000 pesos. A smaller scale project to re-decorate her premises. At 500,000 pesos this is less costly but will produce a lower pay-off. Research data suggests a 30% chance of a gain of one million pesos but a 70% chance of being only 500,000 pesos. Continuing the present operation without change. It will cost nothing but neither will it produce any pay-off. Clients will be unhappy and it will become harder to rent the flats out when they become free. What is the best alternative? Use decision tree analysis.If patient insurance inquiries arrive at Blue Choice insurance with a mean rate of 3.6 calls per minute, the exponential probability of waiting more than 0.5 minutes to get the next inquiry call is _____. Question 6Select one: a. 0.2407 b. 0.1222 c. 0.5000 d. 0.1653