Exercise # 2 –Calculating MADt, Revised MADt,Error,and the  Revised Error :Has the Forecast Improved ? How much has it improved in % terms ?     Franklin Henry forecasts demand for an auditing  and accounting services  group, for an estate  planning group ,and a business consulting group.His group forecasts for the preceding six-month(M)  period, which were made six months prior to that time, are each based on a level, patternless projection.The following data table shows these forecasts(F) and the actual demand (AD) for each group :   Estate  Planning                  Auditing and Accounting            Business Consulting (Client –days)                                  (Client –days)                                      (Client –days) M         AD      F                            M         AD      F                              M         AD      F 1          120    130                            1         260     230                          1       120    120 2           80     130                            2         240     230                          2       140    120 3          100    130                          3         270     230                          3       170    120 4          120    130                          4         320     230                          4       190    120 5          125    130                          5         290     230                          5       230    120 6          110    130                          6         200     230                          6       210    120       Calculate the Forecast error(FE),MAD, Revised Forecast, Revised Error,and  Revised MAD.Has the FE improved(decreased) ? What is the % improvement  for each forecast ?

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 40P: The Baker Company wants to develop a budget to predict how overhead costs vary with activity levels....
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Exercise # 2 –Calculating MADt, Revised MADt,Error,and the  Revised Error :Has the Forecast Improved ? How much has it improved in % terms ?

 

 

Franklin Henry forecasts demand for an auditing  and accounting services  group, for an estate  planning group ,and a business consulting group.His group forecasts for the preceding six-month(M)  period, which were made six months prior to that time, are each based on a level, patternless projection.The following data table shows these forecasts(F) and the actual demand (AD) for each group :

 

Estate  Planning                  Auditing and Accounting            Business Consulting

(Client –days)                                  (Client –days)                                      (Client –days)

M         AD      F                            M         AD      F                              M         AD      F

1          120    130                            1         260     230                          1       120    120

2           80     130                            2         240     230                          2       140    120

3          100    130                          3         270     230                          3       170    120

4          120    130                          4         320     230                          4       190    120

5          125    130                          5         290     230                          5       230    120

6          110    130                          6         200     230                          6       210    120

 

 

 

Calculate the Forecast error(FE),MAD, Revised Forecast, Revised Error,and  Revised MAD.Has the FE improved(decreased) ? What is the % improvement  for each forecast ?

 

 

 

 

 

 

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