Herman Hahn is attempting to set up an integrated forecasting and inventory controlsystem for his hardware store, Hahn’s Hardware. When Herman indicates that outdoorlights are a seasonal item on the computer, he is prompted by the program to input theseasonal factors by quarter.Unfortunately, Herman has not kept any historical data, but he estimates that firstquarter demand for the lights is about 30 percent below average, the second-quarterdemand about 20 percent below average, third-quarter demand about average, andfourth-quarter demand about 50 percent above average. What should he input for theseasonal factors?

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.6: Moving Averages Models
Problem 22P: The file P13_22.xlsx contains total monthly U.S. retail sales data. While holding out the final six...
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Herman Hahn is attempting to set up an integrated forecasting and inventory control
system
for his hardware store, Hahn’s Hardware. When Herman indicates that outdoor
lights are a seasonal item on the computer, he is prompted by the program to input the
seasonal factors by quarter.
Unfortunately, Herman has not kept any historical data, but he estimates that firstquarter demand for the lights is about 30 percent below average, the second-quarter
demand about 20 percent below average, third-quarter demand about average, and
fourth-quarter demand about 50 percent above average. What should he input for the
seasonal factors?

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