Following are forecasted sales, NOPAT, and NOA for Texas Roadhouse for 2016 through 2019. a. Forecast the terminal period values assuming a 1% terminal period growth rate for all three model inputs: Sales, NOPAT, and NOA. Round your answers to the nearest dollar.   Reported Forecast Horizon Terminal $ thousands 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Period Sales $1,807,368 $2,078,473 $2,390,244 $2,581,464 $2,787,981 Answer   NOPAT 102,495 170,435 196,000 211,680 228,614 Answer   NOA 662,502 761,904 876,189 946,284 1,021,987 Answer     b. Estimate the value of a share of TXRH common stock using the discounted cash flow (DCF) model as of December 29, 2015; assume a discount rate (WACC) of 7%, common shares outstanding of 70,091 thousand, net nonoperating obligations (NNO) of $(14,680) thousand, and noncontrolling interest (NCI) from the balance sheet of $7,520 thousand. Note that NNO is negative because the company’s cash exceeds its nonoperating liabilities. Rounding instructions: Use rounded answers for subsequent computations. Round answers to the nearest whole number unless otherwise noted. Round discount factor to 5 decimal places and stock price per share to two decimal places. Use a negative sign with your negative NNO answer. Otherwise, do not use negative signs with your answers.  TXRH       Forecast Horizon   Terminal $ thousands   2016 2017 2018 2019 Period Increase in NOA   Answer   Answer   Answer   Answer   Answer   FCFF (NOPAT - Increase in NOA)   Answer   Answer   Answer   Answer   Answer   Discount factor [1 / (1 + rw)t ]   Answer   Answer   Answer   Answer   Present value of horizon FCFF   Answer   Answer   Answer   Answer   Cum PV of horizon FCFF Answer   Present value of terminal FCFF Answer   Total firm value Answer   NNO Answer   NCI Answer   Firm equity value Answer   Shares outstanding (thousands) Answer   Stock price per share Answer

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Estimating Share Value Using the DCF Model

Following are forecasted sales, NOPAT, and NOA for Texas Roadhouse for 2016 through 2019.

a. Forecast the terminal period values assuming a 1% terminal period growth rate for all three model inputs: Sales, NOPAT, and NOA.

Round your answers to the nearest dollar.

  Reported Forecast Horizon Terminal
$ thousands 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Period
Sales $1,807,368 $2,078,473 $2,390,244 $2,581,464 $2,787,981 Answer
 
NOPAT 102,495 170,435 196,000 211,680 228,614 Answer
 
NOA 662,502 761,904 876,189 946,284 1,021,987 Answer
 

 

b. Estimate the value of a share of TXRH common stock using the discounted cash flow (DCF) model as of December 29, 2015; assume a discount rate (WACC) of 7%, common shares outstanding of 70,091 thousand, net nonoperating obligations (NNO) of $(14,680) thousand, and noncontrolling interest (NCI) from the balance sheet of $7,520 thousand. Note that NNO is negative because the company’s cash exceeds its nonoperating liabilities.

Rounding instructions:

  • Use rounded answers for subsequent computations.
  • Round answers to the nearest whole number unless otherwise noted.
  • Round discount factor to 5 decimal places and stock price per share to two decimal places.
  • Use a negative sign with your negative NNO answer. Otherwise, do not use negative signs with your answers. 
TXRH       Forecast Horizon   Terminal
$ thousands   2016 2017 2018 2019 Period
Increase in NOA   Answer
 
Answer
 
Answer
 
Answer
 
Answer
 
FCFF (NOPAT - Increase in NOA)   Answer
 
Answer
 
Answer
 
Answer
 
Answer
 
Discount factor [1 / (1 + rw)t ]   Answer
 
Answer
 
Answer
 
Answer
 
Present value of horizon FCFF   Answer
 
Answer
 
Answer
 
Answer
 
Cum PV of horizon FCFF Answer
 
Present value of terminal FCFF Answer
 
Total firm value Answer
 
NNO Answer
 
NCI Answer
 
Firm equity value Answer
 
Shares outstanding (thousands) Answer
 
Stock price per share Answer
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