In the following profit payoff table for a decisproblem with two states of nature and threealternatives, the prior probabilities for s1 andP(81) = .8 and P(82) = .2.Excel File: data20-15.xlsState of NatureDecision Alternative$2d,dzdz1510122010a. What is the optimal decision?- Select your answer -b. Find the EVPI.c. Suppose that sample information I is obtawith P(I|81) = .20 and P(I|82) = .75.Find the posterior probabilities P(81|1) and P(s;decimals).P(81|I) =P(82\I) =

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Answered: In the following profit payoff table…

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications

6th Edition

ISBN:9781119256830

Author:Amos Gilat

Publisher:Amos Gilat

Chapter1: Starting With Matlab

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1P

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a) Genenesis Dispensary is contemplating of opening a new branch in Mwanza. If the medical for medical service is favourable, Genesis could realize a net profit of Tsh.100 million. On the other hand, if the market turn out to be unfavourable, it can end up losing Tsh. 40 million. Of course, Genesis may opt not to persue this option of expanding its operations. In the absence of data from which to base its decision, te best guess for Gensis is equally likely that the dispensary will either be successful or unsuccessful Required: i) Use the decison tree approach, what decison should Genesis Dispensary take b) Market research firm named, Easy Market Access approach Genesis with an offer to undertake a study of Mwanza medical service market at a fee of Tsh. 5 million. Easy Market Access claims that their experience enables them to use Bayes’ Theoremn to make the following statements about different state of the market: ▪ Provide that the study is favourable, the probability of favourable…
Suppose that management of Myrtle Air Express believes that the probability of strongdemand is 0.7 and the probability of weak demand is 0.3. Use the expected value approachto determine an optimal decision.
Hemmingway, Inc., is considering a $5 million research and development (R&D) project. Profit projections appear promising, but Hemmingway's president is concerned because the probability that the R&D project will be successful is only 0.50. Furthermore, the president knows that even if the project is successful, it will require that the company build a new production facility at a cost of $20 million in order to manufacture the product. If the facility is built, uncertainty remains about the demand and thus uncertainty about the profit that will be realized. Another option is that if the R&D project is successful, the company could sell the rights to the product for an estimated $25 million. Under this option, the company would not build the $20 million production facility. The decision tree is shown in Figure 4.16. The profit projection for each outcome is shown at the end of the branches. For example, the revenue projection for the high demand outcome is $59 million.…
If the data analyst hypothesizes that grocery sales are higher when payment is made using credit cards compared to cash payment, the null hypothesis would likely state that grocery sales are lower when payment is made using credit cards compared to cash payment. T/F
The Chinese government has created a fund worth more than 20 trillion won to foster the semiconductorindustry. Although there is a large technological difference between memory semiconductors, systemsemiconductors can be developed in a short period of time. The number of companies producinghomogeneous quality products has increased.￭Question (a) In the Cournot game, when the number of firms increases from 2 to n, compare the output,total output, and profit of each firm with N.E. in the Cournot model. ￭Question (b) If the number of companies participating in the semiconductor market increases to infinity,that is, in a perfectly competitive market, what will be the equilibrium point?
A lawyer considers taking a case figures that there is a 40% chance of winning the case in court and earning his firm $400,000, a 50% chance of losing the case in court and costing his firm $150,000, and a 10% chance of settling out of court and bringing in $200,000. What is the expected payoff of the case for the firm?
Anita's, a fast-food chain specializing in hot dogs and garlic fries, keeps track of the proportion of its customers who decide to eat in the restaurant (as opposed to ordering the food "to go") so it can make decisions regarding the possible construction of in-store play areas, the attendance of its mascot Sammy at the franchise locations, and so on. Anita's reports that of its customers order their food to go. Suppose that this proportion is correct and that a random sample of individual customers is taken. Answer the following. (If necessary, consult a list of formulas.) (a) Estimate the number of customers in the sample who order their food to go by giving the mean of the relevant distribution (that is, the expectation of the relevant random variable). Do not round your response. (b) Quantify the uncertainty of your estimate by giving the standard deviation of the distribution. Round your response to at least three decimal places.
In the study of evolutionary behavior, the Trivers-Willard hypothesis indicates that healthyparents should tend to have more male offspring than female, and that weaker parents should tendto have more female offspring than male. This tendency may maximize the number of each parent’sgrandchildren (and thus help to ensure that its genetic code is preserved) since a healthy maleoffspring can win many mates, but a relatively unhealthy offspring has the best chance of mating ifit is female. In an experiment to examine this hypothesis, a group of 40 opossums were monitoredand 20 of them were given an enhanced diet. After a certain period of time, the opossums with theenhanced diet had raised 19 male offspring and 14 female offspring, and the opossums without theenhanced diet had raised 15 male offspring and 15 female offspring. Does this finding provideevidence in support of the Trivers-Willard hypothesis? (a) Describe the unknown parameters ?1 and ?2. Then state the null and…
A stock market analyst examined the prospects of the shares of a large number of corporations. When the performance of these stocks was investigated one year later, it turned out that 25% performed much better than the market average, 25%, much worse, and the remaining 50%, about the same as the average. Forty percent of the stocks that turned out to do much better than the market were rated good buys by the analyst, as were 20% of those that did about as well as the market and 10% of those that did much worse. What is the probability that a stock rated a good buy by the analyst performed much better than the average?
Anita's, a fast-food chain specializing in hot dogs and garlic fries, keeps track of the proportion of its customers who decide to eat in the restaurant (as opposed to ordering the food "to go") so it can make decisions regarding the possible construction of in-store play areas, the attendance of its mascot Sammy at the franchise locations, and so on. Anita's reports that 45% of its customers order their food to go. Suppose that this proportion is correct and that a random sample of 50 individual customers is taken. Answer the following. (a) Estimate the number of customers in the sample who order their food to go by giving the mean of the relevant distribution (that is, the expectation of the relevant random variable). Do not round your response. (b) Quantify the uncertainty of your estimate by giving the standard deviation of the distribution. Round your response to at least three decimal places.
Data on the 4000 largest mutual funds shows which funds provided a high 5-year return and a high 10-year return. Of the 4000 mutualfunds surveyed, 3000 funds had a high 5-year return, 2000 had a high 10-yearreturn, and 1500 had both a high 5-year return and a high 10-year return Given that a mutual fund had a high 5-year return, what is theprobability of a mutual fund having a high 10-year return?
Mike, a lumber wholesaler, is considering the purchase of a (railroad) car- load of varied dimensional lumber. He calculates that the probabilities of reselling the load for $10,000, $9000, and for $8000 are 0.22, 0.33, and 0.45 respectively. In order to ensure an expected profit of $3000, how much can Mike pay for the load

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