Inflationary expectations are an important driver of the Phillips curve relationship. What are three different ways inflationary expectations might be modelled? Depict each graphically.
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- Consider the expectations augmented Phillips curve model. Suppose that we are starting from long - runequilibrium with a central bank which cares a lot about unemployment and relatively little about inflation.a) Draw and carefully label the graph of this situation. b) Explain where the Phillips curve comes from inthis model. c) Explain why the equilibrium you specify is the only Nash equilibrium. d) Now suppose that anew central bank governor is appointed who cares a lot about inflation and relatively little aboutunemployment. Redraw your graph twice, once showing what happens if private agents know the newgovernor's preferences and again showing what happens if private agents mistakenly believe that thenew governor has the same preferences as the old governor. Explain clearly why the outcome is differentin the two cases.What kind of changesin the economy might infuence the slope of the Phillips curve?Assume that inflation falls significantly below expectations. Diagramboth the short-run and long-run effects on employment using a PhillipsCurve diagram. What changes in this model to allow the return to long-runequilibrium?
- A. What assumptions did Thomas Sargent make when he claimed that inflation is always and everywhere a fiscal phenomenon?" B. Why is it appropriate in the book's short-term model for the author to use the Phillips Curve as an Aggregate Supply curve? Does it capture the working of the labor market as well as an AS curve based, say, on sticky wages? C. Provide an example of the book's short-run model being based on "microfoundations."In what period did the Samuelson-Solow U.S. short-run Phillips curve you've just explored most closely match the data? A. 1930s B. 2000s C. 1960s D. 1940s Screenshot attached thanks!a) Are the effects of an increase in aggregate demand in the AD-AS model consistent with the Phillips curve? Explain. b. Discuss the factors determining the slope of the short-run Phillips curve. Is the linear shape appropriate? Why or why not?
- Assume that the cconomy of Country X his an actual unemployment rate of 7%, a natural rate of unemployment of 5%, and an inflation rate of 3%. Using the numerical values given above, draw a correctly labeled graph of the short-run and long-run Phillips curves. Label the current short-run equilibrium as point B. Plot the numerical values above onthe graph. Assume that the government of Country X takes no policy action to reduce unemployment. In the long run, will each of the following shill to the right, shift to the left, or remain the same? (i) Short-run aggregate supply curve. Explain. (ii) Long-run Phillips curve Identify a fiscal policy action that could be used to reduce the unemployment rate in the short run. Draw a correctly labeled graph of aggregate demand and short-run aggregate supply, and show the impact on the equilibrium price level and real gross domestic product (GDP) of the fiscal policy action identified. Explain how the original Phillips curve was transformed into the expectations augmented Phillips curve. Using the latter, describe why any expansionary policy would not be effective in the long run and move the macro-economy back to the Natural Rate of Unemployment (NRU).Using the Frieman-Phelps expectations-augmented Phillips curve, if actual and expected inflationare equal to each other, thenA)workers are correctly forecasting inflation and the economy is in long run equilibriumB)the policymaker needs to pursue expansionary policy to create more output.C)in the long run workers will adjust their expectations, resulting in a business cycle in the longrun.D)the economy is in an expansion above the natural rate of output.
- Suppose that the public expects that inflation will be high and that episodes of high unemployment are politically difficult for policymakers. Is it possible for the economy to be at a bad equilibrium as a result of people’s expectations of inflation (i.e. expectations trap)? Explain in terms of a Phillips Curve diagram.Consider the expectations adjusted Phillips’s curve and assume that expected inflation is given by πet = πt-1. Suppose that unemployment is initially equal to the natural rate and that π=10%. The central bank decides that inflation is too high and that, starting in year t, it will maintain the unemployment rate 1% point above the natural rate until the inflation rate has decreased to 2%. (a) What is the sacrifice ratio in this economy [Hint: the sacrifice ratio is the percentage of a year’s excess unemployment needed to reduce inflation by 1%. For a Philips curve given as πet − πt −1 = −α (ut − un ), the sacrifice ratio is 1/α]? (b) Compute the rate of inflation for year t, t+1, t+2, t+3, …, t+8. (c) For how many years must the central bank keep the unemployment rate above the natural rate of unemployment? Is the implied sacrifice ratio consistent with your answer to (a)?Q2: Continuing from Question 1: What will be theshape of the Phillips Curve because of the policythat you selected in Step 2 (of Question 1)? Why?Please explain in detail.•You should answer each step in the following the answer 2 table.
