Khyber Teaching Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the last five years are as follows. Year 1 2 3 4 5 Mileage 4,000 5,000 4,400 4,800 4,700 a) Forecast the mileage for next year using a two year moving average.  b) Find the MAD for your forecast in part 1. c) Use a weighted two year moving average with weights of 0.4 and 0.6 to forecast next year mileage. What is the MAD of this forecast? d) Compute the forecast for year 6 using exponential smoothing, an initial forecast for year 1 of 4,000 miles and α = 0.5

Purchasing and Supply Chain Management
6th Edition
ISBN:9781285869681
Author:Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. Patterson
Publisher:Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. Patterson
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Problem 5.1SC: Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing...
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Khyber Teaching Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the last five years are as follows.
Year 1 2 3 4 5
Mileage 4,000 5,000 4,400 4,800 4,700
a) Forecast the mileage for next year using a two year moving average. 
b) Find the MAD for your forecast in part 1.
c) Use a weighted two year moving average with weights of 0.4 and 0.6 to forecast next year mileage. What is the MAD of this forecast?
d) Compute the forecast for year 6 using exponential smoothing, an initial forecast for year 1 of 4,000 miles and α = 0.5 

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