our company has a customer who is shutting down a production line, and it is your responsibility to dispose of the extrusion machine. In ould keep it in inventory for a possible future product and estimates that the reservation value is $300,000. Your dealings on the secondha ad you to believe that if you commit to a price of $350,000, there is a 0.5 chance you will be able to sell the machine. If you commit to a 400,000, there is a 0.3 chance you will be able to sell the machine. If you commit to a price of $450,000, there is a 0.1 chance you will be ell the machine. These probabilities are summarized in the following table.
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- Your company has a customer who is shutting down a production line, and it is your responsibility to dispose of the extrusion machine. The company could keep it in inventory for a possible future product and estimates that the reservation value is $350,000. Your dealings on the secondhand market lead you to believe that if you commit to a price of $400,000, there is a 0.4 chance you will be able to sell the machine. If you commit to a price of $450,000, there is a 0.25 chance you will be able to sell the machine. If you commit to a price of $500,000, there is a 0.1 chance you will be able to sell the machine. These probabilities are summarized in the following table. For each posted price, enter the expected value of attempting to sell the machine at that price. (Hint: Be sure to take into account the value of the machine to your company in the event that you are not be able to sell the machine.) Posted Price Probability of Sale Expected Value ($) ($) $500,000…General Buck Turgidson is preparing to make his annual budget presentation to the U.S. Senate and is speculating about his chances of getting all or part of his requested budget approved. From his 20 years of experience in making these requests, he has deduced that his chances of getting between 50 and 74 percent of his budget approved are twice as good as those of getting between 75 and 99 percent approved, and two and one-half times as good as those of getting between 25 and 49 percent approved. Further, the general believes that there is no chance of less than 25 percent of his budget being approved. Finally, the entire budget has been approved only once during the general’s tenure, and the general does not expect this pattern to change. What are the probabilities of 0–24 percent, 25–49 percent, 50–74 percent, 75–99 percent, and 100 percent approval, according to the general?Sharp Outfits is trying to decide whether to ship some customer orders now via UPS or wait until after the threat of another UPS strike is over. If Sharp Outfits decides to ship the requested merchandise now andthe UPS strike takes place, the company will incur $60,000 in delay and shipping costs. If Sharp Outfits decides to ship the customer orders via UPS and no strike occurs, the company will incur $4000 in ship-ping costs. If Sharp Outfits decides to postpone shipping its customer orders via UPS, the company will incur $10,000 in delay costs regardless of whether UPS goes on strike. Let p represent the probabilitythat UPS will go on strike and impact Sharp Outfits’s shipments.a. For which values of p, if any, does Sharp Outfits minimize its expected total cost by choosing to postpone shipping its customer orders via UPS? b. Suppose now that, at a cost of $1000, Sharp Outfits can purchase information regarding the likelihood of a UPS strike in the near future. Based on similar…
- Mr. Albert Richardson, a financial advisor at NNW Investments identified two companies that are likely candidates for a takeover in the near future. East End Cable is a leading manufacturer of flexible cable systems used in the construction industry, and CampSwitch is a new firm specializing in digital switching systems. East End Cable is currently trading at $40 per share, and CampSwitch is currently trading at $25 per share. If the takeovers occur, Mr. Richardson estimates that the price of East End Cable will go to $55 per share and CampSwitch will go to $43 per share. At this point in time, Mr. Richardson has identified CampSwitch as the higher-risk alternative. Assume that a client has indicated a willingness to invest a maximum of $50,000.00 in the two companies. The client wants to invest at least $15,000.00 in East End Cable and at least 10,000.00 in CampSwitch. Because of the high risk associated with CampSwitch, Mr. Richardson has recommended that at most $25,000.00 should be…A US firm, having prior knowledge that Russia would invade Ukraine, bought 100,000 barrels of oil from Heritage Limited , a Trinidad firm . If in January 2022, the US firm enters into a forward contract to purchase the oil at US$65 per barrel to settle in November 2022, what is the gain/loss on the contract to the US firm? The spot price of oil in November averages US$100 per barrel. a. US$35,000 loss b. US$40,000 gain c. US$40,000 loss d. US$35,000 gainAccording to a study administered by the National Bureau of Economic Research, half of Americans would struggle to come up with $2000 in the event of a financial emergency. The majority of the 1900 Americans surveyed said they would rely on more than one method to come up with emergency funds if required. In the survey, 397 people said that they "certainly" would not be able to cope with an unexpected $2000 bill if they had to come up with the money in 30 days, and 553 people said they "probably" would not be able to cope. Step 1 of 2 : What percentage of Americans "certainly" would not be able to produce $2000 in the event of an emergency according to the study? Round your answer to one decimal place, if necessary.
- An online retailer specializing in custom dog toys is considering launching brick-and-mortar stores in Upstate South Carolina. They have an opportunity to open a spot on Woodruff Road in Greenville, South Carolina next month at an upfront cost of $50,000. They believe this location has a 60% chance of success and a 40% chance of failure. If the location is successful, then it will bring the company a total of $350,000 in net profits over its lifetime. If the location is unsuccessful, then it will lose the company an additional $100,000. Complicating the Woodruff Road location decision is the fact that the company has identified an additional location in downtown Clemson. They do not need to decide on opening this additional location now; they need to decide in about 11 months whether to open it 12 months from now. The Clemson location has an upfront cost of $30,000. Without any additional information, the company believes it has a 70% of success and a 30% chance of failure. If…Bruce had a disagreement with a new federal agency set up to give additional funds for college to individuals with an aptitude for math. After a hearing, the agency determined that Bruce had no aptitude for math and that he would not receive any funding. Bruce, however, was not discouraged. He told his friend Laura, who just graduated from law school, that he would simply appeal the decision to federal court, have the judge do a fresh review, and provide additional information to the judge regarding his math aptitude that the agency did not have. He feels certain that he will win at the federal court level. Assuming the decision by the administrative agency was a factual finding, what should Laura tell Bruce regarding the standard of review the administrative agency will likely apply?That the agency will likely apply a de novo, or new, review.That the agency will likely apply an arbitrary and capricious standard in any review.That the agency will likely apply a substantial evidence…The weather report says that there is a 30% chance it will rain this morning. If you take your umbrella, which cost $25,and it does not rain, there is a 20% chance that you will lose it somewhere. If you do not take your umbrella, and it does rain, you will arrive at class damp and smelly, which you would pay $10 to avoid. Should you take your umbrella?
- Stephanie Carter has been gifted a sum of $50,000 by her grandparents on completing her graduation successfully. She is a fresh finance graduate and is excited to invest some money in the capital market, for which she intends to use the gifted sum of $50,000. However, instead of committing this money to the market immediately, she decides to wait for some time, work in the field and acquire some experience before proceeding with her intended investment. She thus contemplates an extremely conservative investment in a portfolio of stocks and bonds, at the start of year 5 from now. For now, she will leave the $50,000 in a fixed deposit with the bank which promises an interest rate of 6% per annum. She will require a return of at least 9% on her stock investments and 4% on bond investments. Stephanie would have to pay 25% taxes on any interest income. Dividends will be tax-free. Stephanie’s research has allowed her to narrow down on the following investment candidates: Stocks: 1.…A local energy provider offers a landowner $180,000 for the exploration rights to natural gas on a certain site and the option for future development. This option, if exercised, is worth an additional $1,800,000 to the landowner, but this will occur only if natural gas is discovered during the exploration phase. The landowner, believing that the energy company’s interest in the site is a good indication that gas is present, is tempted to develop the field herself. To do so, she must contract with local experts in natural gas exploration and development. The initial cost for such a contract is $300,000, which is lost forever if no gas is found on the site. If gas is discovered, however, the landowner expects to earn a net profit of $6,000,000. The landowner estimates the probability of finding gas on this site to be 60%. a. Use PrecisionTree to identify the strategy that maximizes the landowner’s expected net earnings from this opportunity. b. Perform a sensitivity analysis on the…1. Suppose you work for an organization that runs tests for life-threatening diseases and then discusses the results with their patients. You have just tested a 45-year-old male patient, father of six, and according to the test he is terminally ill. Statistics shows that the man has seven months to live. 2. Your 31 year old daughter, who for five years has been underemployed and unemployed, announces she has secured a stable and high paying job as Director of Operations for a Colorado Marijuana facility. 3. You are working for a foreign government that has had a disease epidemic in a certain region of their country which has led to the deaths of three million children. The disease is spread by mosquitoes, and the only quick and sure way to stop the epidemic is to spray Chemical H on the jungle environments where the mosquitoes live. Spraying the chemical will lead to environmental issues for 20 years. Pick one of the above scenarios and in that context, explain how your knowledge…