Please complete all work in excel.  Use excel to make the calculations (cells can be clicked on to view any formulas used) and be sure to identify your answer, including units.  You must have an excel file with formulas within the cell  A brokerage firm is considering investment options for its clients. If the market is good the clients could get a net profit of $120,000 for Fund A, $100,000 for Fund B, and $80,000 for Fund C.  If the market is fair, they could get a net profit of $20,000 for Fund A, $40,000 for Fund B, and $30,000 for Fund C.  If the market is poor, clients would lose $30,000 for Fund A, $50,000 for Fund B, and $15,000 for Fund C.  They must Fund one to invest in for their clients.  An economist group offers to do a market study for $2,000.  They know the following probabilities:               P(good market Fund A | favorable study) = 0.6               P(fair market Fund A | favorable study) = 0.3               P(poor market Fund A | favorable study) = 0.1               P(good market Fund A | unfavorable study) = 0.2               P(fair market Fund A | unfavorable study) = 0.1               P(poor market Fund A | unfavorable study) = 0.7               P(good market Fund B | favorable study) = 0.8               P(fair market Fund B | favorable study) = 0.1               P(poor market Fund B | favorable study) = 0.1               P(good market Fund B | unfavorable study) = 0.2               P(fair market Fund B | unfavorable study) = 0.3               P(poor market Fund B | unfavorable study) = 0.5               P(good market Fund C | favorable study) = 0.6               P(fair market Fund C | favorable study) = 0.2               P(poor market Fund C | favorable study) = 0.2               P(good market Fund C | unfavorable study) = 0.2               P(fair market Fund C | unfavorable study) = 0.2               P(poor market Fund C | unfavorable study) = 0.6               P (favorable study) = 0.6               P (good market) = 0.4               P (fair market) = 0.4               P (poor market) = 0.2 Calculate EMVs  Write out the recommended strategy

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section9.5: Multistage Decision Problems
Problem 17P
icon
Related questions
Question

Please complete all work in excel.  Use excel to make the calculations (cells can be clicked on to view any formulas used) and be sure to identify your answer, including units.  You must have an excel file with formulas within the cell 

  • A brokerage firm is considering investment options for its clients. If the market is good the clients could get a net profit of $120,000 for Fund A, $100,000 for Fund B, and $80,000 for Fund C.  If the market is fair, they could get a net profit of $20,000 for Fund A, $40,000 for Fund B, and $30,000 for Fund C.  If the market is poor, clients would lose $30,000 for Fund A, $50,000 for Fund B, and $15,000 for Fund C.  They must Fund one to invest in for their clients.  An economist group offers to do a market study for $2,000.  They know the following probabilities:

              P(good market Fund A | favorable study) = 0.6

              P(fair market Fund A | favorable study) = 0.3

              P(poor market Fund A | favorable study) = 0.1

              P(good market Fund A | unfavorable study) = 0.2

              P(fair market Fund A | unfavorable study) = 0.1

              P(poor market Fund A | unfavorable study) = 0.7

              P(good market Fund B | favorable study) = 0.8

              P(fair market Fund B | favorable study) = 0.1

              P(poor market Fund B | favorable study) = 0.1

              P(good market Fund B | unfavorable study) = 0.2

              P(fair market Fund B | unfavorable study) = 0.3

              P(poor market Fund B | unfavorable study) = 0.5

              P(good market Fund C | favorable study) = 0.6

              P(fair market Fund C | favorable study) = 0.2

              P(poor market Fund C | favorable study) = 0.2

              P(good market Fund C | unfavorable study) = 0.2

              P(fair market Fund C | unfavorable study) = 0.2

              P(poor market Fund C | unfavorable study) = 0.6

              P (favorable study) = 0.6

              P (good market) = 0.4

              P (fair market) = 0.4

              P (poor market) = 0.2

  1. Calculate EMVs 
  2. Write out the recommended strategy
Expert Solution
steps

Step by step

Solved in 3 steps with 2 images

Blurred answer
Knowledge Booster
Optimization models
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, operations-management and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.
Similar questions
  • SEE MORE QUESTIONS
Recommended textbooks for you
Practical Management Science
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781337406659
Author:
WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:
Cengage,