Pretend it is almost election time in 2040. You are on the reelection staff of President Adrian Miller. It is October 15, and Election Day (November 6) is approaching quickly. Your job is to analyze the results of polls conducted by five different companies and report the results to President Miller. Poll Date Sample Size Result (Percent planning t
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Pretend it is almost election time in 2040. You are on the reelection staff of President Adrian Miller. It is October 15, and Election Day (November 6) is approaching quickly. Your job is to analyze the results of polls conducted by five different companies and report the results to President Miller.
Poll |
Date |
|
Result (Percent planning to vote for Miller) |
Weight |
Calculations |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll 1 |
October 1 |
2,435 |
53% |
.40 |
|
Poll 2 |
September 14 |
1,300 |
42% |
.05 |
|
Poll 3 |
July 5 |
500 |
55% |
.05 |
|
Poll 4 |
October 7 |
1,000 |
60% |
.10 |
|
Poll 5 |
October 10 |
2,000 |
45% |
.40 |
Examine the weight given to each poll.
Which polls are the most reliable and which polls are the least reliable? Explain your reasoning.
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