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Prospect Y = ($9, 0.25 ; $137, 0.75)
What is the expected value of Prospect Y?
(Note: The answer may not be a whole number; please round to the nearest hundredth)
(Note: The numbers may change between questions, so read carefully)
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- You plan to invest $1,000 in a corporate bond fund or in a common stock fund. The following table represents the annual return (per $1,000) of each of these investments under various economic conditions and the probability that each of those economic conditions will occur. Compute the expected return for the corporate bond and for the common stock fund. Show your calculations on excel for expected returns. Compute the standard deviation for the corporate bond fund and for the common stock fund. Would you invest in the corporate bond fund or the common stock fund? Explain. If choose to invest in the common stock fund and in (c), what do you think about the possibility of losing $999 of every $1,000 invested if there is depression. Explain.At a raffle, 100 tickets are sold for 1 prize of $100 and 3 consolation prizes of$20. If the ticket is worth $2, what would be the expected value?An investor believes that the U.S. dollar will rise in value relative to the Japanese yen. The same investor is considering two investments with identical risk and return characteristics. One stock is trading in yen in Japan and the other stock is a stock trading in dollars in the United States. Should the investor purchase the Japanese stock?
- The following payoff table provides profits based on various posible decision alternativesand various levels of demand at Kmart Print Shop. Alternatives Low High Alternative 1 10,000 30,000 Alternative 2 5,000 40,000 Alternative 3 -2,000 50,000 The probability of low demand is 0.4, whereas the probability of high demand is 0.6.What is the highest possible expected monetary value?Your company must decide whether to introduce a new product. The sales of the product will be either at a high (success) or low (failure) level. The conditional value for this decision is as follows Decision High Low Introduce $4,000,000 -$2,000,000 Do Not Introduce 0 0 Probability 0.3 0.7 You have the option to conduct a market survey to sharpen you market demand estimate. The survey costs $200,000. The survey provides incomplete information about the sales, with three possible outcomes: (1) predicts high sales, (2) predicts low sales, or (3) inconclusive. Such surveys have in the past provided these results Result High Low Predicts High 0.4 0.1 Inconclusive 0.4 0.5 Predicts Low 0.2 0.4 a) Using expected monetary value, what is your decision? b) What is the expected value of perfect information before taking the survey? c) Draw the complete decision tree, including the survey option. d) What is the…A company owns an asset that is worth $245,000 and there is a 6% chance that it will lose $185,000 in value, otherwise it will not change. If the company has an expected utility functions with u(x) = x0.5, then the expected utility for the company is 480 464 460 456
