QUIZ NO.3 4. Joseph Biggs owns his own ice cream truck and lives 30 miles from a Florida beach resort. The sale of his products is highly dependent on his location and on the weather. At the resort, his profit will be $120 per day in fair weather. $10 per day in bad weather. At home, his profit will be $70 in fair weather and $55 in bad weather. Assume that on any particular day, the weather service suggests a 40% chance of foul weather. a) Construct Joseph's decision tree. b) What decision is recommended by the expected value criterion?

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 36P
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QUIZ NO. 3
4. Joseph Biggs owns his own ice cream truck and lives 30 miles from a Florida
beach resort. The sale of his products is highly dependent on his location and on
the weather. At the resort, his profit will be $120 per day in fair weather, $10 per
day in bad weather. At home, his profit will be $70 in fair weather and $55 in bad
weather. Assume that on any particular day, the weather service suggests a 40%
chance of foul weather.
a) Construct Joseph's decision tree.
b) What decision is recommended by the expected value criterion?
Transcribed Image Text:QUIZ NO. 3 4. Joseph Biggs owns his own ice cream truck and lives 30 miles from a Florida beach resort. The sale of his products is highly dependent on his location and on the weather. At the resort, his profit will be $120 per day in fair weather, $10 per day in bad weather. At home, his profit will be $70 in fair weather and $55 in bad weather. Assume that on any particular day, the weather service suggests a 40% chance of foul weather. a) Construct Joseph's decision tree. b) What decision is recommended by the expected value criterion?
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ISBN:
9781337406659
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WINSTON, Wayne L.
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Cengage,