Suppose that you have the following payoff table: State of Nature Decision 1 $2 S3 di 250 100 d2 100 -50 150 Suppose that p-0.75 would make you indifferent between a guaranteed payoff of 150 and the lottery. Find your risk premium for the payoff of 150.
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- For the following payoff table, the probability of event 1 is 0.8, the probability of event 2 is 0.1, and the probability of event 3 is 0.1 ACTION ACTION EVENT A ($) B ($) 1 50 10 2 300 100 3 500 200 a. Determine the optimal action based on the maximax criterion b. Compute the Expected Monetary Value (EMV) for action A c. Explain the meaning of the Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI) in this problemJohn Clinton owns his own Gno-Cone business and lives 30 miles from a beach resort. The sale of Gno-Cones is highly dependent upon his location and upon the weather. At the resort, he will profit $120 per day in fair weather, $10 per day in bad weather. At home, he will profit $70 in fair weather, $55 in bad weather. Assume that on any particular day, the weather service suggests a 40% chance of foul weather. What decision is recommended by the expected monetary value criterion? [Hint: Use decision tree approach]Traders from the faraway nation of Chplandia have brought infected goods to market in the capital of Pcoria. As a result, a new infectious disease called chpitis is spreading through the Pcorian population. Chpitis is not fatal, but leaves victims severely disfigured for the remainder of their lives. Throughout this problem, assume no discounting of future years.a. The Pcorian government surveys victims to determine how burdensome chpitis is. Respondents claim they are indifferent between living six years without chpitis and living ten years covered with chpitis scars. Most respondents explain that they face a major social stigma in Pcoria’s schools and workplaces.What is the implied quality weight q for a year lived in the aftermath of a chpitis infection?b. Now assume that a drug company has developed an ointment that can be used to treat chpitis sores and reduce scarring. Surveys indicate that the ointment, which costs $10,000 for a full course of treatment, can improve quality of…
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- In a staff meeting called to address the problem of returned cheques at the supermarkets where you are interning as a financial analyst, the bank reports that 12 percent of all cheques are returned for insufficient funds, and of those, in those 50 percent of cases, there was cash given back to the customer. overall ,10 percent of customers ask for cash back at the end of their transaction with the store. For 1,000 customer visits, how many transactions will involve:In a staff meeting called to address the problem of returned cheques at the supermarkets where you areinterning as a financial analyst, the bank reports that 12 percent of all cheques are returned for insufficientfunds, and of those, in those 50 percent of cases, there was cash given back to the customer. overall ,10percent of customers ask for cash back at the end of their transaction with the store. For 1,000 customervisits, how many transactions will involve: (f) insufficient funds?(g) Cash back to the customer?(h) Both insufficient funds and cashback?(i) Either insufficient funds or cash back?1.Thereis an athletic organization named Jingle Jangle plans to invest P100,000 tohost soccer game. They expect to sell tickets worth P1,500,000 .However, if itrains on the day of game, they won't sell any tickets and the organization willlose all the money invested. Will youconsider this a good investment, if the weather forecast on the day of game is20 percent possibility of rain?