Suppose the large number of bike accidents in a small town results in new legislation that requires all citizens of the town to wear specialized bike helmets when riding. These new helmets reduce the probability of head trauma by 25% during a bike accident. While the new helmets the probability of a serious head injury resulting from a bike accident, they also incentivize cyclists to ride safely, which could the number of bike accidents and thus head injuries to cyclists.

Suppose the large number of bike accidents in a small town results in new legislation that requires all citizens of the town to wear specialized bike helmets when riding. These new helmets reduce the probability of head trauma by 25% during a bike accident. While the new helmets the probability of a serious head injury resulting from a bike accident, they also incentivize cyclists to ride safely, which could the number of bike accidents and thus head injuries to cyclists.

Microeconomic Theory

12th Edition

ISBN:9781337517942

Author:NICHOLSON

Publisher:NICHOLSON

Chapter7: Uncertainty

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 7.3P

See similar textbooks

Similar questions

You are modeling a qualitative variable that takes on two classes (classes 1 and 2). In trying to classify observation 11 (out of 20) you compute the conditional probability for class 1 as 0.51. How would you classify this observation?
Half of a set of the parts are manufactured by machine A and half by machine B. Five percent of all the parts are defective. Five percent of the parts manufactured on machine A are defective. Find the probability that a part was manufactured on machine A, given that the part is defective.
A biometric security device using fingerprints erroneously refuses to admit 3 in 1,500 authorized persons from a facility containing classified information. The device will erroneously admit 3 in 1,005,000 unauthorized persons. Assume that 98 percent of those who seek access are authorized. If the alarm goes off and a person is refused admission, what is the probability that the person was really authorized?
Now, imagine that Port Chester decides to crack down on motorists who park illegally by increasing the number of officers issuing parking tickets (thus, raising the probability of a ticket). If the cost of a ticket is $100, and the opportunity cost for the average driver of searching for parking is $12, which of the following probabilities would make the average person stop parking illegally? Assume that people will not park illegally if the expected value of doing so is negative. Check all that apply.
Solve the following problem using an excel spreadsheet. A tobacco company isinterested in hiring a salesperson to promote smoking cigarettes in nightclubs. The position pays a flat salary of $50,000, regardless of sales levels. The firm has two applicants, Predictable Patty and Risky Ricky. Predictable Patty can produce with 100% certainty $100,000 a year in sales. Risky Ricky, on the other hand, can produce $300,000 with probability of 50%. But if he turns out to spend his time drinking and dancing in the nightclubs instead of making sales, he could actually cost the firm -$100,000 per year.a) During their first year on the job, what are the expected sales of Patty and Ricky? What are the firm’s expected profits on each worker?b) Now assume both workers are currently 25, and they will work until the retirement age of 65. The firm has the option to fire its new employee after one year based on sales, but can only hire one employee. Assume that it takes only one year to discover whether…
Please do not give solution in image format thanku Two Manufacturers supply food to a large cafeteria. Manufacturer A supplies 40% of the soup served in the cafeteria, while Manufacturer B supplies 60% of the soup that is served. 3% of the soup cans provided by Manufacturer A are found to be dented, while 1% of the cans provided by Manufacturer B are found to be dented. Given that a can of soup is dented, find the probability that it came from Manufacturer B.
In a Godiva shop, 40% of the cookies are plain truffles, 20% are black truffles, 10% are cherry cookies, and 30% are a mix of all the others. Suppose you pick one at random from a prepacked bag that reflects this composition. a. What is the probability of picking a plain truffle? b. What is the probability of picking truffle of any kind? c. If you instead pick three cookies in a row, what is the probability that all three are black truffles?
Please give solution in correct and step by step answer format thanku Explaniation Please!!! Five people go to the supermarket to buy milk. Each person is equally likely to select (independently) from ten different brands available. Find the probability that they each select: (a) A different brand. (b) The same brand.
Halsen, a marketing manager at Business X, has determined four possible strategies (X1, X2, X3, and X4) for promoting the Product X in London. She also knows that major competitor Product Y has 4 competitive actions (Y1, Y2, Y3 and Y4) it’s using to promote its product in London, too. Ms. Halsen has no previous knowledge that would allow her to determine probabilities of success of any of the four strategies. She formulates the matrix below to show the various Business X strategies and the resulting profit, depending on the competitive action used by Business Y. Determine which strategy Ms. Halsen should select using. Maximax, maximin or minimax regret? Business X Strategy Business Y Strategy Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 X1 25 57 21 26 X2 17 29 20 34 X3 47 31 32 37 X4 35 27 30 35
Halsen, a marketing manager at Business X, has determined four possible strategies (X1, X2, X3, and X4) for promoting the Product X in London. She also knows that major competitor Product Y has 4 competitive actions (Y1, Y2, Y3 and Y4) it’s using to promote its product in London, too. Ms. Halsen has no previous knowledge that would allow her to determine probabilities of success of any of the four strategies. She formulates the matrix below to show the various Business X strategies and the resulting profit, depending on the competitive action used by Business Y. Determine which strategy Ms. Halsen should select using, the following decision criteria. Please explain your answer for each strategy. a)Maximax; b)Maximin; c)Minimax regret Business X Strategy Business Y Strategy Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 X1 25 57 21 26 X2 17 29 20 34 X3 47 31 32 37 X4 35 27 30 35
Two cards are drawn from a standard deck without replacement. What is the probability that the first card is a diamond and the second card is red? (Round your answer to three decimal places.)
John wants to buy a used car. He knows that there are two types of car in the market, plums and lemons. Lemons are worse quality cars and are more likely to break down than plums. John is willing to pay £10, 000 for a plum and £2, 000 for a lemon. Unfortunately, however, he cannot distinguish between the two types. Sellers can offer a warranty that would cover the full cost of any repair needed by the car for y ∗ years. Considering the type and likelihood of problems their cars can have, owners of plums estimate that y years of guarantee would cost them 1000y, owners of lemons estimate that the cost would be 2000y. John knows these estimates and decides to offer £10, 000 if a car comes with y ∗ years of warranty, £2, 000 if a car comes without warranty. For which values of y ∗ is there a separating equilibrium where only owners of plums are willing to offer the y ∗ -years warranty? Clearly explain your reasoning.