ABC Co. is considering a new consumer product. They believe there is a probability with a competitive product. If ABC introduces a low-value product and XYZ introduces a competitive product, ABC's expected loss will be $10,000. and if XYZ does not introduce a competitive product, ABC expects a profit of $35,000. If ABC introduces its high-value product and XYZ follows with a competitive product then ABC expects a profit of $30,000, on the other hand, if XYZ does not come out with the competitive product, the profit of ABC is expected to E $80,000. Express the above problem in a pay-off matrix (tabular) form.
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- A drug company is considering investing $100 million today to bring a weight loss pill to the market. At the end of one year, the firm will know the payoff; there is a 0.50 probability that the pill will sell at a high price and generate $37 million per year of profit forever and a 0.50 probability that the pill will sell at a low price and generate $I million per year of profit forever. The interest rate is 10%. Suppose the firm decides to wait one year to determine whether the pill will sell at a high or low price. The firm will not invest if it learns that the pill will sell at a low price. What is the net present value of waiting one year to make the investment?O $88 millionO$122.72 millionO $201.22 millionO $64.5 millionPlease give solution in correct and step by step answer format thanku Explaniation Please!!! Five people go to the supermarket to buy milk. Each person is equally likely to select (independently) from ten different brands available. Find the probability that they each select: (a) A different brand. (b) The same brand."Jay, a writer of novels, just has completed a new thriller novel. A movie company and a TV network both want exclusive rights to market his new title. If he signs with the network, he will receive a single lump sum of $1,460,000, but if he signs with the movie company, the amount he will receive depends on how successful the movie is at the box office.The probability of a small box office earning $210,000 is 0.27. The probability of a medium box office of $1,530,000 is 0.64, and the probability of a large box office of $3,190,000 is 0.09.Jay can send his novel to a prominent movie critic to assess the potential box office success. It will cost $21,000 to get the novel evaluated by the movie critic.The movie critic can have either a favorable or unfavorable opinion. The movie critic's reliability of predicting box office success is as follows.If the movie will have a large box office, there is a 0.61 probability the critic will have a favorable opinion.If the movie will have a medium…
- The promoter of a football game is concerned that it will rain. She has the option of spending $14,040 on insurance that will pay $39,000 if it rains. She estimates that the revenue from the game will be $65,040 if it does not rain and $30,040 if it does rain. What must the chance of rain be if buying the policy has the same expected return as not buying it? Write expressions showing the expected returns if the promoter does and does not purchase the insurance, using p to represent the probability of rain. Without insurance, E(return) = With insurance, E(return) = The chance of rain must be _%.You need to hire some new employees to staff your startup venture. You know that potential employees are distributed throughout the population as follows, but you can't distinguish among them: Employee Value Probability $35,000 0.1 $46,000 0.1 $57,000 0.1 $68,000 0.1 $79,000 0.1 $90,000 0.1 $101,000 0.1 $112,000 0.1 $123,000 0.1 $134,000 0.1 The expected value of hiring one employee is $_____ . Suppose you set the salary of the position equal to the expected value of an employee. Assume that employees will not work for a salary below their employee value. The expected value of an employee who would apply for the position, at this salary, is $_____ . Given this adverse selection, your most reasonable salary offer (that ensures you do not lose money) is _________ ($46,000/$57,000/$35,000/$68,000).You need to hire some new employees to staff your startup venture. You know that potential employees are distributed throughout the population as follows, but you can't distinguish among them: Employee Value Probability $65,000 0.1 $78,000 0.1 $91,000 0.1 $104,000 0.1 $117,000 0.1 $130,000 0.1 $143,000 0.1 $156,000 0.1 $169,000 0.1 $182,000 0.1 The expected value of hiring one employee is. Suppose you set the salary of the position equal to the expected value of an employee. Assume that employees will not work for a salary below their employee value. The expected value of an employee who would apply for the position, at this salary, is. Given this adverse selection, your most reasonable salary offer (that ensures you do not lose money) is (A. 65,000, B. 91,000, C. 78,000, D. 104,000)