The Polytechnic campus bookstore sells diploma frames stamped with Sparky. The frames must be purchased in bundles of one dozen (12) each. Each frame in the bundle costs $65 and will sell for $90. Frames unsold by end of Spring semester will be clearance priced at $20. The bookstore estimates that demand patterns will follow the table below. Demand level Probability DO NOT BUILD the entire payoff table. Compute the expected monetary value for purchasing two bundles. 1 bundle 0.10 2 bundles 0.30 3 bundles 0.60
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- The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): state of nature low demand medium demnad high demand Decision alternative s1 s2 s3 manufacture d1 -20 40 100 purchase d2 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30. a. Use expected value to recommend a decision. b. Use EVPI to determine whether Gorman should attempt to obtain a better estimate of demand.The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): state of nature low demand medium demnad high demand Decision alternative s1 s2 s3 manufacture d1 -20 40 100 purchase d2 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30. a. A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report either a favourable (F) or unfavourable (U) condition. The relevant conditional probabilities are as follows: P(F|S1)=0.10 P (U|S1)=0.90 P(F|S2)=0.40 P (U|S2)=0.60 P(F|S3)=0.60 P (U|S3)=0.40 A.Compute the probabilities by completing the table Sate of…The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): state of nature low demand medium demnad high demand Decision alternative s1 s2 s3 manufacture d1 -20 40 100 purchase d2 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30. a. A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report either a favourable (F) or unfavourable (U) condition. The relevant conditional probabilities are as follows: P(F|S1)=0.10 P (U|S1)=0.90 P(F|S2)=0.40 P (U|S2)=0.60 P(F|S3)=0.60 P (U|S3)=0.40 What is the expected value of the market research information?…
- The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): state of nature low demand medium demnad high demand Decision alternative s1 s2 s3 manufacture d1 -20 40 100 purchase d2 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30. a. A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report either a favourable (F) or unfavourable (U) condition. The relevant conditional probabilities are as follows: P(F|S1)=0.10 P (U|S1)=0.90 P(F|S2)=0.40 P (U|S2)=0.60 P(F|S3)=0.60 P (U|S3)=0.40 A.Compute the probabilities by completing the table Sate of…Assume that you are the team leader of strategic planning and advisory board of M/S XYZ company. The company has decided to enter the market with a new electronic product. Your team conducted a marker research and presented the following two strategies along with the necessary data. Delete Strategy A: Build a large plant with an estimated cost of 20,00,000 Rials. This alternative can face two states of nature on market conditions: High demand with a probability of 0.70, or a low demand with a probability of 0.30. If the demand is high, the company can expect to receive an annual revenue of 5,00,000 Rials for 7 years. If the demand were low the annual revenue would be only 1,00,000 Rials. Strategy B: Build a small plant with an estimated cost of 10,00,000 Rials. This alternative also faces two states of nature: High demand with a probability of 0.70, or a low demand with a probability of 0.30,lf the demand is high the company can expect to receive an annual revenue of 3,00,000 per annum…Eunice, the industry analyst of H&M, wants to determine the propensity of Major Clothingcompanies toward risk. She was able to determine the utility distribution of H&M, Uniqloand Dickies. For H&M, If the expected payoff of a venture is a loss of 125,000, the utilityvalue is 0.00, if a loss of 75,000, the utility value is .2, if breakeven, the utility value is .5,if gain of 75,000 .8 and if gain of 125,000 utility value is 1. For Uniqlo, if loss of 125,000utility value is 0, if loss of 75,000 utility value is .1, breakeven is .4, if a gain of 75,000,utility value is .7 and if gain of 125,000 utility value is 1. For Dickies, if loss of 125,000,utility value is 0, if loss of 75,000, utility value is .3 breakeven is .6, if gain of 75,000, utilityvalue is .9 and gain of 125,000, utility value is 1. What is the propensity to risk of the threeinternet companies? Explain your graph.
- Eastman Publishing Company is considering publishing a paperback textbook on spreadsheet applications for business. The fixed cost of manuscript preparation, textbook design,and production setup is estimated to be $160,000. Variable production and material costsare estimated to be $6 per book. The publisher plans to sell the text to college and universitybookstores for $46 each.1. What is the breakeven point? 2. What profit or loss can be anticipated with a demand of 3800 copies? 3. With a demand of 3800 copies, what is the minimum price per copy that the publisher must charge to break even? 4. If the publisher believes that the price per copy could be increased to $50.95 and not affect the anticipated demand of 3800 copies, what action would you recommend?What profit or loss can be anticipated?SMC produces two types of GPU. One is gaming GPU (Type 1) and the otheris pro GPU (Type 2). Their market data are listed below. a. What is the total profit generated from the two products, as a function ofthe two decision variables p1 and p2? b. When does the profit function reach its optimal value? c.The production capacity of TSMC semiconductors is constrained by 2v1 + v2 ≤ μ. What is the range of μ that makes the solution point not on the constraint boundary? *please solve a-c and either type or neatly write your answers and all your work on paper. NO EXCEL* thank you!You live in an area where there is a possibility of a massive earthquake, so consider purchasing earthquake insurance for your home at an annual cost of $180. The probability of an earthquake damaging your home in the course of a year is 0.001. If this occurs, you estimate that the cost of the damage (fully covered by insurance) will be $160,000. Your total assets (including the house) are worth $250,000. a) Apply the maximum expected value decision rule to determine the alternative (to buy insurance or not) that maximizes the value of your assets after one year. b) You developed a utility function that measures the value of your assets in x dollars (x ≥ 0). This utility function is U(x) = √x. Compare the utility of reducing the total of your assets for the next year by a value equal to the value of the insurance, with the expected utility next year of not purchasing tremor insurance. Should you purchase the insurance?
- QUESTION 2: Risk Analysis A company is considering manufacturing 2 mutually exclusive products A and B. Product A is a watch band specifically designed to fit on watches manufactured by the firm only. Product B is a watch band that is designed to be adapted to a variety of watches including those produced by competitors. Expected investment is $100,000 for each of the products. Expected cash flows are $20,000 per year for product A. The expected value for B is $23,000 for 8 years also. The coefficient of variation (CV) for A is 1.0 and for B is 1.5. Because of high risk attached to B the risk adjustment to B is k=15% and for product A, k=10%. Which project would you recommend to the company for investment? (Show ALL your workings)The following payoff table provides profits based on various posible decision alternativesand various levels of demand at Kmart Print Shop. Alternatives Low High Alternative 1 10,000 30,000 Alternative 2 5,000 40,000 Alternative 3 -2,000 50,000 The probability of low demand is 0.4, whereas the probability of high demand is 0.6.What is the highest possible expected monetary value?Q1 = (4310/22) - (P1/22) Q2 = (5021/17) - (P2/17) TC = 760 + 14Q1 + 32Q2 Form the profit equation, π and solve for the critical values. (a) What is the critical value of Q1?