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- QUESTION 1.3 If any research endeavor. Errors in data collecting can have an impact on the results of a study, ultimately leading to erroneous results. The methods used to collect data for impact evaluation differ on a scale. Quantitative data gathering methods are at one end of the scale, while qualitative data collection methods are at the other. Choosing a particular data collection strategy will be determined by the accuracy of the information produced as well as practical issues such as the availability of staff, time, equipment, and other resources. Analyse the different data collection techniques, evaluate their respective purposes and assess their strengths andlimitations in order to create a critical understanding.Question 1 Double Exponential Smoothing should be applied to time series with ____________________. Group of answer choices a. no trend and no seasonality. b. trend but no seasonality. c. seasonality but no trend. d. both trend and seasonality. Question 2 An analyst fits a Holt’s Double exponential smoothing model in StatTools to a time series data on sales with the smoothing parameters to be optimized by the software. In the output she notes that the optimized smoothing parameter for trend to be 0.0000. What does this imply? Group of answer choices a. There is no trend in the data. b. There is both trend and seasonality in the data. c. There could be trend in the data, but it is not smoothed over time by the model. d. This output does not make any sense!QUESTION 1 Sales of Fat Lips Burgers for 2012 are shown in the table below. 1. Do the 2 month SMA forecast 2. Do 2 month WMA forecast using the information below WMA – 2: last month, 1 – last 2 months 3. For the month of January 2012, the forecast was 438. Do the EMA forecast with the smoothing constant = 0.3. What is the forecast for Jan 2013? 4. Compare the forecasts above using MAD, MSE and MAPE. Which forecast method gives the least errors? Month Actual Sales Forecast Jan 2012 438 Feb 420 March 414 Apr 318 May 306 June 240 July 240 Aug 216 Sep 198 Oct 225 Nov 270 Dec 315 Jan 2013 - QUESTION 2Dayang sells 5 kg bags of fertilizer to local farmers in Tg Karang. The sales data for the past 11 months is shown below. Month Demand (10s of bags) 1 4 2 6 3 4 4 5 5 10 6 8 7 7 8 9 9 12 10 14 11 15 1. Find the forecast for the month 12 using the methods below: a. Simple 4 month moving average (SMA) b.…
- Question content area Part 1 The director of the Riley County, Kansas, library system would like to forecast evening patron usage for next week. Below are the data for the past 4 weeks: Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Week 1 210 178 250 215 160 180 Week 2 215 180 250 213 165 185 Week 3 220 176 260 220 175 190 Week 4 225 178 260 225 176 190 Part 2 a) Calculate a seasonal index for each day of the week (enter your responses rounded to three decimal places). Part 3 b) Let x =1 for Monday of Week 1. If the trend equation for this problem is: y =201.74 +0.18x, the forecast for each day of week 5 is (round your responses to the nearest whole number):Question 1: Should the marketing budget be maintained or increased during a recession or economic downturn? During a recession, the immediate desire of many companies is often to simply cut costs. The marketing department can be selected for this cut and in some cases is the first area cut. One could argue that the marketing spend is the one spend or investment in a company which should be maintained or even increased during a recession or economic downturn. Take a position: Marketing spend should be maintained or increased during a recession or economic downturn versus Marketing spend should be cut along with all the other spending in the organisation.QUESTION TWOa) Research indicates that globally; every day, approximately 800 women die from preventable causes related to pregnancy and childbirth. However, Antenatal care (ANC) is one of the recommended interventions to help reduce these alarming maternal and newborn mortalities worldwide (Kyei, Chansa and Gabrysc, 2019). When an expectant mother visits the clinic they are advised to take Iron, Zinc and Folic at least in quantities of 100mg, 150mg and 100mg per day respectively. There are two types of medicines available in the form of a 500mg tablet and 250mg capsule. Each tablet is composed of 30mg of Iron, 45mg of Zinc, and 40mg of folic acid while the capsule contains the three ingredients in 20mg, 15mg, and 25mg respectively. The cost per of each tablet is K3 and that of each capsule is K2.Required:Formulate the problem as a linear programming problem and using the graphical method determine the number of tablets and capsules to be purchased so that the total cost of medicines…
- Question 35 Suppose the actual sales and the forecasted, or smoothed sales, for the past 5 months have been Actual Smoothed 54.4 76.8 54.4 75.5 72.3 53.2 74.8 39.2 57.6 What is the Mean Square Error of the smoothed series? (please round your answer to 1 decimal place)Question 4 (a) With reference to your department or one in a company or organization that you are familiar with that is involved in generating forecasts of air cargo traffic, propose the purposes for which the forecasts can be employed. In the process of generating air cargo traffic forecasts, appraise the forces that will promote air freight growth and the constraints the air cargo market are likely to face.Question 14 In making a decision on how to act, the Institute of Business Ethics recommends three tests. What are they? A) Transparency, Effect and Honesty B) Honesty, Integrity and Transparency C transparency, Effect and Fairness D Traceability, Effect and Fairness
- QUESTION 1The table below shows the sales figures for a brand of shoe over the last 12 months.Months SalesJanuary 69February 75March 86April 92May 95June 100July 108August 115September 125October 131November 140December 150 a. Using the following, forecast the sales for the months up to January the following year:- iii. Exponential Smoothing when α= .6 and the forecast for March is 350.QUESTION 34 Suppose the actual sales and the forecasted, or smoothed sales, for the past 5 months have been Actual Smoothed 54.4 76.8 54.4 75.5 72.3 53.2 74.8 39.2 57.6 What is the Mean Absolute Error of the smoothed series? (please round your answer to 1 decimal place)Discussion Questions: Question 1 (a) An effectively formulated operation strategy is critical to the success of a business, agree or disagree? Give reasons for your answer. (b) Suggest two strategies that Cutie Barber Salon could use to achieve the mission outlined in your response to question 1. Question 2 What is the strategic importance of forecasting for a business such as Cutie Barber Salon? What are the possible challenges faced by organizations that do not utilize forecasting in the planning of their operations? Question 3 Discuss two ways in which the barber salon can overcome the challenge of operating successfully in an environment of increasing costs while at same time customers are demanding lower prices.