Use the information of the following payoff table Size of Market factory nature Good Average Bad Factory A 400 300 -100 Factory B 700 500 -200 Factory C 1,100 600 -300 a) Which factory should be built if the investor is very optimistic? Very pessimistic? b) Which factory should be built using minimax regret criterion? c) If the probabilities of Good/Average/Bad market are 0.4, 0.3, and 0.3, respectively, what is the decision of the size of factory using Expected Opportunity Loss (EOL) criterion?

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 30P
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Use the information of the following payoff
table
Size of
Market
factory
nature
Good
Average
Bad
Factory A
400
300 -100
Factory B
700
500 -200
Factory C
1,100
600 -300
a) Which factory should be built if the
investor is very optimistic? Very pessimistic?
b) Which factory should be built using
minimax regret criterion?
c) If the probabilities of Good/Average/Bad
market are 0.4, 0.3, and 0.3, respectively,
what is the
decision of the size of factory using
Expected Opportunity Loss (EOL) criterion?
Transcribed Image Text:Use the information of the following payoff table Size of Market factory nature Good Average Bad Factory A 400 300 -100 Factory B 700 500 -200 Factory C 1,100 600 -300 a) Which factory should be built if the investor is very optimistic? Very pessimistic? b) Which factory should be built using minimax regret criterion? c) If the probabilities of Good/Average/Bad market are 0.4, 0.3, and 0.3, respectively, what is the decision of the size of factory using Expected Opportunity Loss (EOL) criterion?
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