You and I play the following game. Hidden from you, I put a coin in my hand: with probability p it is a 10 pence coin and otherwise it is a 20 pence coin. You now guess which coin is in my hand: you guess it is 20 pence with probability s and otherwise you guess it is a 10 pence coin. You get to win the coin if you guess correctly and otherwise win nothing. What (in terms of p and 8) is your expected gain in pence from playing this game once with me? Challenge: suppose we are going to play repeatedly and you want to maximise your gain and I wish to minimise my loss. What value of p should I choose and what value of s should you choose? (This question is somewhat ill-defined, but it does have an interesting possible answer.) (Note: anything labelled "challenge" will not be part of the hand-in.)

Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
5th Edition
ISBN:9781337106665
Author:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Publisher:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Chapter17: Making Decisions With Uncertainty
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 17.5IP
icon
Related questions
Question
You and I play the following game. Hidden from you, I put a coin in my hand: with probability p it
is a 10 pence coin and otherwise it is a 20 pence coin. You now guess which coin is in my hand:
you guess it is 20 pence with probability s and otherwise you guess it is a 10 pence coin.
You get to win the coin if you guess correctly and otherwise win nothing. What (in terms of p and
s) is your expected gain in pence from playing this game once with me?
Challenge: suppose we are going to play repeatedly and you want to maximise your gain and I
wish to minimise my loss. What value of p should I choose and what value of s should you
choose? (This question is somewhat ill-defined, but it does have an interesting possible answer.)
(Note: anything labelled "challenge" will not be part of the hand-in.)
Transcribed Image Text:You and I play the following game. Hidden from you, I put a coin in my hand: with probability p it is a 10 pence coin and otherwise it is a 20 pence coin. You now guess which coin is in my hand: you guess it is 20 pence with probability s and otherwise you guess it is a 10 pence coin. You get to win the coin if you guess correctly and otherwise win nothing. What (in terms of p and s) is your expected gain in pence from playing this game once with me? Challenge: suppose we are going to play repeatedly and you want to maximise your gain and I wish to minimise my loss. What value of p should I choose and what value of s should you choose? (This question is somewhat ill-defined, but it does have an interesting possible answer.) (Note: anything labelled "challenge" will not be part of the hand-in.)
Expert Solution
steps

Step by step

Solved in 2 steps

Blurred answer
Similar questions
  • SEE MORE QUESTIONS
Recommended textbooks for you
Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
Economics
ISBN:
9781337106665
Author:
Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Managerial Economics: Applications, Strategies an…
Managerial Economics: Applications, Strategies an…
Economics
ISBN:
9781305506381
Author:
James R. McGuigan, R. Charles Moyer, Frederick H.deB. Harris
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Microeconomic Theory
Microeconomic Theory
Economics
ISBN:
9781337517942
Author:
NICHOLSON
Publisher:
Cengage