You’re the manager of global opportunities for a U.S. Manufacturer, who is considering expanding sales into Asia. Your market research has identified the market potential in Malaysia, Philippines, and Singapore as described next: Success Level             Malaysia                                Philippines                             Singapore                         Probability      Units               Probability      Units               Probability      Units Big                  0.3                   1,200,000             0.3              1,000,000                 0.7              700,000 Mediocre        0.3                   600,000                0.5              320,000                 0.2              400,000 Failure           0.4                   0                           0.2              0                           0.1              0 The product sells for $10 and has unit costs of $8. If you can enter only one market, and the cost of entering the market (regardless of which market you select) is $250,000, should you enter one of these markets? If so, which one? If you enter, what is your expected profit?

Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
5th Edition
ISBN:9781337106665
Author:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Publisher:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Chapter17: Making Decisions With Uncertainty
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You’re the manager of global opportunities for a U.S. Manufacturer, who is considering expanding sales into Asia. Your market research has identified the market potential in Malaysia, Philippines, and Singapore as described next:

Success Level             Malaysia                                Philippines                             Singapore

                        Probability      Units               Probability      Units               Probability      Units

Big                  0.3                   1,200,000             0.3              1,000,000                 0.7              700,000

Mediocre        0.3                   600,000                0.5              320,000                 0.2              400,000

Failure           0.4                   0                           0.2              0                           0.1              0

The product sells for $10 and has unit costs of $8.

If you can enter only one market, and the cost of entering the market (regardless of which market you select) is $250,000, should you enter one of these markets? If so, which one? If you enter, what is your expected profit?

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