Use the AFN equation to estimate Hatfield’s required new external capital for 2020 if the sales growth rate is 11.1%. Assume that the firm’s 2019 ratios will remain the same in 2020. (Hint: Hatfield was operating at full capacity in 2019.)

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Use the AFN equation to estimate Hatfield’s required new external capital for 2020 if the sales growth rate is 11.1%. Assume that the firm’s 2019 ratios will remain the same in 2020. (Hint: Hatfield was operating at full capacity in 2019.)

Selected Additional Data for 2019
Chapter 12 Corporate Valuation and Financial Planning
535
Hatfield Industry
(Op. costs)/Sales
Depr./FA
Cash/Sales
Receivables/Sales
Inventories/Sales
Fixed assets/Sales
(Acc. pay. & accr.)/Sales
90%
88%
Hatfield Industry
Profit margin (M)
Return on assets (ROA)
Return on equity (ROE)
Sales/Assets
10%
12%
3.30%
5.60%
1%
1%
4.6%
9.5%
14%
11%
10.0%
15.1%
16%
15%
32%
18% 12%
1.41
1.69
Asset/Equity
Debt/TA
40%
2.15
1.59
28.2%
16.9%
25% 25%
10% 11%
(Total liabilities)/(Total assets)
Times interest earned
53.5%
37.3%
Tax rate
Target WACC
Interest rate on debt
3.8
11.7
P/E ratio
8%
7%
6.7
16.0
OP ratio: NOPAT/Sales
CR ratio: (Total op. capital)/Sales
ROIC
4.5%
6.1%
53.0%
47.0%
8.5%
13.0%
a. Using Hatfield's data and its industry averages, how well run would you say Hatfield
appears to be in comparison with other firms in its industry? What are its primary
strengths and weaknesses? Be specific in your answer and point to various ratios
that
support your position. Also, use the DuPont equation (see Chapter 3) as one
part of your analysis.
b. Use the AFN equation to estimate Hatfield's required new external capital for 2020
if the sales growth rate is 11.1%. Assume that the firm's 2019 ratios will remain the
same in 2020. (Hint: Hatfield was operating at full capacity in 2019.)
c. Define the term capital intensity. Explain how a decline in capital intensity would
luowulezbum wol affect the AFN, other things held constant. Would economies of scale combined
with rapid growth affect capital intensity, other things held constant? Also, explain
how changes in each of the following would affect AFN, holding other things con-
on stant: the growth rate, the amount of accounts payable, the profit margin, and the
payout ratio.
d. Define the term self-supporting growth rate. What is Hatfield's self-supporting
growth rate? Would the self-supporting growth rate be affected by a change in the
capital intensity ratio or the other factors mentioned in the previous question? Other
things held constant, would the calculated capital intensity ratio change over time
if the company were growing and were also subject to economies of scale and/or
lumpy assets?
e. Use the following assumptions to answer the following questions: (1) Operating
ratios remain unchanged. (2) Sales will grow by 11.1%, 8%, 5%, and 5% for the next
4 years. (3) The target weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is 10%. This is the
No Change scenario because operations remain unchanged.
(1) For each of the next 4 years, forecast the following items: sales, cash, accounts
receivable, inventories, net fixed assets, accounts payable and accruals, operat-
ing costs (excluding depreciation), depreciation, and earnings before interest and
taxes (EBIT).
(2) Using the previously forecasted items, calculate for each of the next 4 years the
net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT), net operating working capital, total
operating capital, free cash flow (FCF), annual growth rate in FCF, and return
on invested capital. What does the forecasted free cash flow in the first vear
imply about the need for external financing? Compare the forecasted ROIC with
the WACC. What does this imply about how well the company is performing?
year
(3) Assume that FCF will continue to grow at the growth rate for the last in the
forecast horizon. (Hint: g, = 5%.) What is the horizon value at 2023? What is the
%3D
Transcribed Image Text:Selected Additional Data for 2019 Chapter 12 Corporate Valuation and Financial Planning 535 Hatfield Industry (Op. costs)/Sales Depr./FA Cash/Sales Receivables/Sales Inventories/Sales Fixed assets/Sales (Acc. pay. & accr.)/Sales 90% 88% Hatfield Industry Profit margin (M) Return on assets (ROA) Return on equity (ROE) Sales/Assets 10% 12% 3.30% 5.60% 1% 1% 4.6% 9.5% 14% 11% 10.0% 15.1% 16% 15% 32% 18% 12% 1.41 1.69 Asset/Equity Debt/TA 40% 2.15 1.59 28.2% 16.9% 25% 25% 10% 11% (Total liabilities)/(Total assets) Times interest earned 53.5% 37.3% Tax rate Target WACC Interest rate on debt 3.8 11.7 P/E ratio 8% 7% 6.7 16.0 OP ratio: NOPAT/Sales CR ratio: (Total op. capital)/Sales ROIC 4.5% 6.1% 53.0% 47.0% 8.5% 13.0% a. Using Hatfield's data and its industry averages, how well run would you say Hatfield appears to be in comparison with other firms in its industry? What are its primary strengths and weaknesses? Be specific in your answer and point to various ratios that support your position. Also, use the DuPont equation (see Chapter 3) as one part of your analysis. b. Use the AFN equation to estimate Hatfield's required new external capital for 2020 if the sales growth rate is 11.1%. Assume that the firm's 2019 ratios will remain the same in 2020. (Hint: Hatfield was operating at full capacity in 2019.) c. Define the term capital intensity. Explain how a decline in capital intensity would luowulezbum wol affect the AFN, other things held constant. Would economies of scale combined with rapid growth affect capital intensity, other things held constant? Also, explain how changes in each of the following would affect AFN, holding other things con- on stant: the growth rate, the amount of accounts payable, the profit margin, and the payout ratio. d. Define the term self-supporting growth rate. What is Hatfield's self-supporting growth rate? Would the self-supporting growth rate be affected by a change in the capital intensity ratio or the other factors mentioned in the previous question? Other things held constant, would the calculated capital intensity ratio change over time if the company were growing and were also subject to economies of scale and/or lumpy assets? e. Use the following assumptions to answer the following questions: (1) Operating ratios remain unchanged. (2) Sales will grow by 11.1%, 8%, 5%, and 5% for the next 4 years. (3) The target weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is 10%. This is the No Change scenario because operations remain unchanged. (1) For each of the next 4 years, forecast the following items: sales, cash, accounts receivable, inventories, net fixed assets, accounts payable and accruals, operat- ing costs (excluding depreciation), depreciation, and earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT). (2) Using the previously forecasted items, calculate for each of the next 4 years the net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT), net operating working capital, total operating capital, free cash flow (FCF), annual growth rate in FCF, and return on invested capital. What does the forecasted free cash flow in the first vear imply about the need for external financing? Compare the forecasted ROIC with the WACC. What does this imply about how well the company is performing? year (3) Assume that FCF will continue to grow at the growth rate for the last in the forecast horizon. (Hint: g, = 5%.) What is the horizon value at 2023? What is the %3D
c. Calculate the return on invested capital (ROIC = NOPAT/[Total net operating
growth rate in FCF in the last forecast period because all ratios are constant)? Do
e. Calculate the intrinsic price per share of common equity as of December 31, 2019.
you think that Hensley's value would increase if it could add growth without reduc-
to the growth rate at the horizon.) How does the current value of operations com-
you think that the company will have a value of operations greater than its total net
capital]) and the growth rate in free cash flow. What is the ROIC in the last year of
the forecast? What is the long-term constant growth rate in free cash flow (g, is the
d. Calculate the current value of operations. (Hint: First calculate the horizon value at
ing its ROIC? (Hint: Growth will add value if the ROIC > WACC/[1 + WACC]). Do
the end of the forecast period, which is equal to the value of operations at the end of
Hatfield Medical Supply's stock price had been lagging its industry averages, so its board
the forecast period. Assume that the annual growth rate beyond the horizon is equal
Part 5 Corporate Valuation and Governance
Governance
534
%3D
Se
ifi
(Ор. с
Depr.
Cash.
you
a
you
Recei
operating capital? (Hint: Is ROIC> WACC/[1 + g,]?)
Inver
Fixec
(Acc
Тах
to the growth rate at the horizon.) How does the current value of operatio
pare with the current amount of total net operating capital?
Targ
Inter
com-
MINI CASE
of directors brought in a new CEO, Jaiden Lee. Lee had brought in Ashley Novak.a
finance MBA who had been working for a consulting company, to replace the old CFO
and Lee asked Novak to develop the financial planning section of the strategic plan. In
her previous job, Novak's primary task had been to help clients develop financial fore-
casts, and that was one reason Lee hired her.
Novak began by comparing Hatfield's financial ratios to the industry averages. If anv
ratio was substandard, she discussed it with the responsible manager to see what could
be done to improve the situation. The following data show Hatfield's latest financial
statements plus some ratios and other data that Novak plans to use in her analysis.
Hatfield Medical Supply (Millions of Dollars, Except per Share Data)
Balance Sheet, 12/31/2019
Income Statement, Year Ending 2019
Cash
0 Accounts receivable
$ 90
1,260
Sales
Op costs (excl. depr.)
$9,000.9
8,100.9
Inventories
1,440
$2,790
Depreciation
EBIT
360.0
$ 540.0
Total CA
Net fixed assets
3,600
Interest
144.0
Total assets
$6,390
Pre-tax earnings
$ 396.0
Taxes (25%)
99.0
Accts. pay. & accruals
$1,620
Line of credit
Net income
$297.0
0.
Total CL
$1,620
Long-term debt
Additional Information
1,800
Total liabilities
Dividends
2$
100
$3,420
Common stock
Additions to RE
$197
Retained earnings
2,100
Common shares
Total common equity
870
EPS
$ 5.94
Total liab. & equity
$2,970
DPS
$ 200
$6,390
Ending stock price
$ 40.00
50
Transcribed Image Text:c. Calculate the return on invested capital (ROIC = NOPAT/[Total net operating growth rate in FCF in the last forecast period because all ratios are constant)? Do e. Calculate the intrinsic price per share of common equity as of December 31, 2019. you think that Hensley's value would increase if it could add growth without reduc- to the growth rate at the horizon.) How does the current value of operations com- you think that the company will have a value of operations greater than its total net capital]) and the growth rate in free cash flow. What is the ROIC in the last year of the forecast? What is the long-term constant growth rate in free cash flow (g, is the d. Calculate the current value of operations. (Hint: First calculate the horizon value at ing its ROIC? (Hint: Growth will add value if the ROIC > WACC/[1 + WACC]). Do the end of the forecast period, which is equal to the value of operations at the end of Hatfield Medical Supply's stock price had been lagging its industry averages, so its board the forecast period. Assume that the annual growth rate beyond the horizon is equal Part 5 Corporate Valuation and Governance Governance 534 %3D Se ifi (Ор. с Depr. Cash. you a you Recei operating capital? (Hint: Is ROIC> WACC/[1 + g,]?) Inver Fixec (Acc Тах to the growth rate at the horizon.) How does the current value of operatio pare with the current amount of total net operating capital? Targ Inter com- MINI CASE of directors brought in a new CEO, Jaiden Lee. Lee had brought in Ashley Novak.a finance MBA who had been working for a consulting company, to replace the old CFO and Lee asked Novak to develop the financial planning section of the strategic plan. In her previous job, Novak's primary task had been to help clients develop financial fore- casts, and that was one reason Lee hired her. Novak began by comparing Hatfield's financial ratios to the industry averages. If anv ratio was substandard, she discussed it with the responsible manager to see what could be done to improve the situation. The following data show Hatfield's latest financial statements plus some ratios and other data that Novak plans to use in her analysis. Hatfield Medical Supply (Millions of Dollars, Except per Share Data) Balance Sheet, 12/31/2019 Income Statement, Year Ending 2019 Cash 0 Accounts receivable $ 90 1,260 Sales Op costs (excl. depr.) $9,000.9 8,100.9 Inventories 1,440 $2,790 Depreciation EBIT 360.0 $ 540.0 Total CA Net fixed assets 3,600 Interest 144.0 Total assets $6,390 Pre-tax earnings $ 396.0 Taxes (25%) 99.0 Accts. pay. & accruals $1,620 Line of credit Net income $297.0 0. Total CL $1,620 Long-term debt Additional Information 1,800 Total liabilities Dividends 2$ 100 $3,420 Common stock Additions to RE $197 Retained earnings 2,100 Common shares Total common equity 870 EPS $ 5.94 Total liab. & equity $2,970 DPS $ 200 $6,390 Ending stock price $ 40.00 50
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