Chapter 3 3. METHODOLOGY 3.1 3.1 Introduction Nowadays, some construction companies in Iran are

Working to understand the risks a project may endure along with the cost associated is critical in every project management plan. Understanding potential risks based on the project type, resources needed, timeline and budget still leaves gaps that creates uncertainty for actually predicating the outcome of the project. There is not a true way to predict when and where a project risk will occur but designing a plan to properly address and manage those risks will increase confidence while eliminating the element of surprise.

risks and determine the likelihood and consequence of that risk occurring during the project. The

When the manager of project carried out its work plan should take into consideration the possible risks that may occur within the project. The risk is the possibility that occurs a problem within a project and that may cause some change within the same (Heldman, 2011). It should be noted that not all risks are bad since they can be potential opportunities to make some changes that will improve the overall status of the project. In the same way a risk not taken into account in time can create one problem in the project and can completely change the final performance of the project. The project manager can take several elements to identify the risks. Some elements and documents that can be used to identify risks are: search internal risks of the project, such as resources

Risks management is an important step during the process of a project. Failing to manage a risk may result in unforeseen event happening and a project’s failure. For example, with limited budget, an unforeseen event or an accident occurs in the middle of a project and this matter has not been considered and needs a big sum of expense, then the project may be stopped because of this unexpected event. We should know it is necessary to understand how to identify risks and assumptions based on the information. After identifying risks, it is important for project managers to set contingency plans to prevent and deal with these risks when they occur. Of course, several problems may happen during considering

Risk or threat is common and found in various fields of daily life and business. This concept of risk is found in various stages of development and execution of a project. Risks in a project can mean there is a chance that the project will result in total failure, increase of project costs, and an extension in project duration which means a great deal of setbacks for the company. The process of risk management is composed of identifying, assessing, mitigating, and managing the risks of the project. It

Identifying risks is an essential component of planning a large project. A thorough risk analysis is necessary to identify potential issues to the endeavor and assess the probability of therisk occurring, along with the impact on the project if the risk occurs (PMI, 2013). A thorough assessment of the impact that the project will have on the organization should be completed to evaluate the risk of the project, in addition to the impact the project will have on the organization. The risk assessment tool used in Appendix C illustrates the impact this expansion project will have to stakeholders and the organization.

4. Develop preventative actions to prevent the risk from occurring, or contingent actions to reduce the risk of occurring.

The identification of risk normally starts before the project is initiated, and the number of risks increase as the project matures through the lifecycle. When a risk is identified, it is first assessed to ascertain the probability of occurring, the degree of impact to the schedule, scope, cost, and quality, and then prioritized. A risk’s probability of occurrence, number of categories impacted and the degree (high, medium, low) to

During an engineering project life cycle, the common risk management process (risk identification, risk impact assessment, risk prioritization analysis, risk tracking, and risk mitigation planning implementation) meet the required protocols for early and continuous risk identification. The first step, risk identification, brainstorms potential risks that may develop during the engineering system to include environmental or human hazards. The second step, risk impact assessment, clarifies and details the damage of the risk. The third step, risk prioritization analysis, creates a hierarchy of the risks and determines which risk needs to be addressed first then so on. The follow-on steps have two different paths, one path is risk tracking and the other is risk mitigation

Risk Analysis: Define the approach to identify the outcomes of the project depending on the qualification analysis (qualitative and quantitative), the percentage of probability of occurrence, and the assigned value of the impact to the risks to respond.

For example, in the building alterations, the tasks and the cost could be outlined with a quantitative modeling method. As well as a qualitative method, that includes a matrix, which will assist in developing risk responses that will be effective in mitigating possible risk. When a part was needed for a project deciding if it would be more economical to purchase or make the part. When presented with numerical data with cost, life cycle, and maintenance cost for up keep on two or more products that achieve the same goal. A risk management plan could be used to help access and handle project related risks. As for the risk tree, it could be used to help the project team decide on what the best option is for a task by giving a visual representation of the if then relationships in terms of

Identifying risks will involve the entire project team and will include an evaluation of all factors including the project management plan. Careful consideration to the project deliverables will be given when analyzing the risks. Analysis of possible risks have been prioritized by calculating the risk numerically from 1-10, from less likely to likely to occur and minor impact to severe impact to project success, respectively. A numerical rating is applied to the values of occurrence, outcome, and detection and then calculated to a risk priority number (RPN) to assess the risk to the project.

Construction projects can be extremely complex and fraught with uncertainty. Risk and uncertainty can potentially have damaging consequences for the construction projects. Therefore nowadays, the risk analysis and management continue to be a major feature of the project management of construction projects in an attempt to deal effectively with uncertainty and unexpected events and to achieve project success. Risk is inherent on construction projects and disputes frequently arise. One in four construction projects results in a dispute that leads to arbitration or litigation. With large scale, complex projects the likelihood of serious, time-consuming and expensive claims increases.

In order for a home building project to survive its purpose, risk analysis is essential so that occurrences that may affect the projects in the end can be identified, analyzed, assessed, managed and monitored. Because of the risky processes that are involved in the projects of home building construction, risk analysis and mitigation is the most useful tool in achieving good project and planning in home buildings as well as other constructions. If good risks management procedures are well conducted, the team’s level of confidence will be boosted, and this will enable or project to run and smoothly achieve its goals while facing and tackling each risk. Risk management will also come in handy as time will be saved as well as the

In order to perform project risk management effectively, the organization or the department must know the meaning of the risk clearly. With regards to a project, the management must focus on the potential effects on the objectives of the project, for example, cost and time (Loosemore, Raftery and Reilly, 2006). Risk is a vulnerability that really matters; it can influence the objectives of the project