Public Opinion Survey Analysis

Public opinion polls come in a wide-set of different subjects and are good examples of inductive arguments that are seen and used in our day to day lives to measure the public’s views regarding a particular topic or topics done so by taking a non-biased survey/questions. This is an excellent example of inductive arguments, because the person or party/entity conducting these surveys, is looking to validate their argument and assumptions, or to provide a guarantee of truth in the concluding result. However, it is not simply easy to rely on “experts” and believe that the data from these polls they collect, are completely accurate and are not skewed from their own biases. Since a survey is an inductive generalization, a sample is taken from the target population from which a conclusion is drawn regarding the entire population.Which makes these inductive arguments fall into two categories: either weak or strong.

Starting with the introduction of the survey they seemed to be too specific in their intro of what was going to be in the survey by describing each type of question that would be presented throughout the survey. I feel like this information isn’t necessary and over excessive in an introduction. That part of the introduction should be taken out and instead maybe include something along the lines of “Please read every question carefully and thank you for participating” or something along those lines.

Shining the OutRiderr Spotlight on a Washington Post article from May 19th By John Woodrow Cox, Scott Clement and Theresa Vargas.

Chapter 4 explained the results obtained from analysis of the surveys. The results were analyzed and significant findings were discussed further.

The first difference between the two polls exists with regards to the question, “Do you think the U.S. government is doing enough or not doing enough to prevent a future terrorist attack on American soil?” (See Appendix A for graphic depiction). Overall, the respondents in my convenience poll were more diverse in their response choice, with the largest percentage being those who think the Unite States Government was doing enough at 46.43% and the lowest percent being those who are unsure at 25%. This is only a 21.43 point gap. Whereas the scientific poll showed a

Voter suppression is not a “new” topic in regards to voting and voter turnout. Last year, Governor Robert Bentley of Alabama closed 31 driver license offices in rural areas of the state due to a budget shortfall. However, this raised concern and conflict to the fact that this made it difficult for a majority of Alabama citizens to vote.

Throughout the 77 responses survey, I noticed some unfair and bias things that changed the outcome of the survey. One example is that 60 out of 77 responses came from 9th graders. From a ninth grader’s perspective, we view things a lot differently than 10th through 12th graders. There is a big maturity gap between 9th and 12th graders, and that affects the survey a lot. For example we do not like the sophomores, which of course means the sophomores are going to be voted for most rude, we don’t care for them. Another thing that I noticed was that there is a lack of upperclassmen taking the survey. There are 15 seniores in the survey, which is not bad, but there are no juniores. Upperclassmen are the “head” of the high school, and it makes all

Another counterpoint that can be made is that party identification is amplified during election years, which in turn affects partisan vote that would otherwise dissipate in midterm or off-election years. However, Gallup Polls surveys, conducted face-to-face from 1953 to 1995, provided “no evidence that party identification surges during presidential [or off] election years”. These surveys in both the short and long term attests to the fact that party identification is extremely stable for voters, regardless of the presence of a presidential election year. While it may be possible that partisans vote against their own party, the probability of partisans voting for their party is extremely high. Consequently, if partisan labels do not shift

The findings of the survey responses can relate back to the literature review on how my data has shown that male drivers tend to get stopped more frequently that female drivers, just like other research that has been done. Police just consider males to be more suspicious than females from what many studies have shown. As well has non-whites and younger drivers are more likely to be stopped by police. Back to literature reviewed, many research that has been done have shown Blacks or any other non-white race would most likely be targeted by police. With age, police officers tend to suspect young drivers of crimes such as underage drinking, or drug related crimes. With the data collected of such a small, yet decent amount of respondents, sample has shown what much other research has shown about the relationship between gender, age, and race that do play a significant role in who the police decide to stop.

I have gathered a questionnaire with eight questions either to agree or disagree and to answer yes or no in regards to immigration. One of the questions was, “The Arizona Immigration Law of authorizing police officers to stop suspected illegal immigrants and demand proof of citizenship is a good law to help deport illegal immigrants” (Appendix A). I have given this questionnaire to twenty-five random individuals. Nine individuals agree with this law and

It seems to me that we are just fascinated with polls. That almost everything is based on a poll, and they often base their opinions and views of the world on their results. Politicians do the same, but to a much greater extent. Most leaders will try to base their decisions largely on their poll numbers. I think that it is not right for them to base everything off poll. Polls are a way to make the voice of the individual citizen heard. Unfortunately, it is not simple. That reason is be causes that polls are not that accurate or reliable for many reasons. Some of those reasons are that; the samples are too small to represent the population, the result from the polls can be presented in a way that misleads many people, the result of the polls

I strongly agree with all of the statements that I stated above. If the surveys had only been composed of those questions, the results have been the same to me. Honestly I don't know why but these statement seems like common sense to me to strongly

Before I go into answering the questions directly, it should be understood that public opinion polls have both flaws and encouraging data. Pubic opinion polls if done appropriately will give the general feel of how the population is feeling towards an issue. It all depends on whether the sampling is comparative to the population, for example if you have a population of One-Hundred Thousand and you only sample one hundred, the results will not be as accurate if the sampling size was bigger. Also, the person conducting the interviews of these opinion polls must not be biased to one side or the other. They must remain centered on the subject and not influence the answers that are given. Asking specific questions about real issues can result is promising polling data. Opinion polls should be used to collect data, and must also be used in a way that reflects accurate data. By not having accurate data that can lead to bad decision making or lead to mistrust among the community and the police departments. One of the biggest missuses of opinion polls was in the presidential election in the 1948 were the Chicago Daily Tribune printed election results on bad opinion polling and looked foolish for doing so. So these polls should be used with caution and constructed in a way that does not allow for misrepresentation of the publics true views as it has in the past.

Exit polls, like most surveys, unfold in four distinct but often overlapping stages / Research-ers usually begin by developing procedures for drawing a probabilistic sample of voters whose responses can be inferred to the active electorate with a high degree of confidence. They develop a questionnaire, capable of both describing the types of voters participating in an election as well as offering insights into the reasoning behind their choices. Interviewers are trained and eventually employed to disseminate the questionnaires to and collect them from sampled voters on Election Day. The process concludes with the integration of voters’ responses into a data set for analysis. The specific procedures used for each stage vary by polling organization; therefore, I focus my discussion on those procedures developed by Warren Mitofsky, Murray Edelman,

In our globalized world, a realistic view of the attitudes of those from outside the United States is becoming increasingly necessary. When the organization began as the American Institute of American Opinion in 1935, it focused primarily on what determining what the average American consumer wanted from a company. Soon though, its methods were proven to be highly successful when they accurately predicted President Franklin’s victory in the 1936 election. Now, Gallup supplies objective political, economic, and social polls of citizens of more than 160 countries through its world poll network. Its success on an international level derives from its ability to tailor its methods to the country that the company is currently surveying. This flexibility based on region, combined with a rigid procedure for carrying out the survey, as well as a system of randomization to help ensure an even sample of the population being surveyed, make the Gallup poll one of the most successful of polls worldwide, in terms of accuracy and efficiency.