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Rogers Chocolates

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Introduction
Rogers’ Chocolates is Canada’s oldest chocolate company and British Columbia’s second oldest company. Steve Parkhill, the new president of company is expected to double or possibly triple the size of company within the next 10 years. In the chocolate candy industry, Canada’s market size was $167 million and growing 2% annually. Although the growth rate in the chocolate industry is falling as a whole, large companies such as Hershey & Cadburys are moving into the premium chocolate market and growing 20% annually.
Rogers’ Chocolates retains 25% of their sales 8 weeks prior to Christmas and about 40% of their sales come from their heavy users. Their customers are generally established families, childless, middle-aged, couples, …show more content…

Since online and retail items require late production much of the wholesale business is pushed first through production. This allows for their wholesale to fulfill their orders, but not always the retail stores. To make matters worst, sometimes during the holidays their supplier would not be able to produce their containers needed for their production, which would also throw back production.
Production planning becomes even more complicated because of the influence of the out-of-stocks, which would cause the sales graphs to be heavily distorted. The graphs would be distorted if items were out of stock for a month and the backorders were filled in a short period of time. Whenever there were overstock issues, retail stores would push the items through discounts. Often when there were out-of-stock issues for the wholesalers the company would take the supplies from their retail stores and divert it to the wholesaler’s order. Lastly, when special orders were placed for wholesale, it was not uncommon for the production plans to be put on hold to focus on special orders. As a result from all the production errors, the sales graph would have unnatural spikes, yet these spikes would be included for planning production for the following year.
Demand forecasting is a large problem for Rogers’ Chocolates because if items were out of stock for a month and back orders were filled in a short time, the sales graph

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