The Demographic Transition Model, Derived By Famed Demographer Warren Thompson Essay

In order to determine which stage of the Demographic Transition a country is in, you must know what the demographic transition is, what each stage is and how to know if a country is in that stage. The Demographic Transition is a process of change in a society’s population. Stage 1 of the demographic transition is low population growth. If a country is in stage one of the demographic transition that country would have a high Crude Birth Rate(CBR) and a high Crude Death Rate(CDR) that together would produce a low natural increase. Stage 2 of the demographic transition is high growth. If a country is in stage two of the demographic transition, the country would have a declining CDR and a very high CBR that together would produce a high natural

In developed countries the birth and infant mortality rate is lower than developing countries. With the developing countries having a higher birth rate they also have a higher infant mortality rate. It is difficult to predict the earth’s population growth because of the different stages a country might be in, or how fast they move from one to another. Stage one is preindustrial, this is when the birth rate is high but so is the death rate so the population is low. Stage two is the transitional stage where the birth rate is still high but health care has gotten better so the death rate has decreased and the population is skyrocketing. Stage three is the industrial stage this is when the birth rate is still increasing even though the death rate has stayed the same making the population still increase. In the final stage postindustrial the birth rates are very low because of birth control and people desiring smaller families. The death rate is still how and the population slowly

For the past two decades a shifting pattern of diseases and health care service has been observed globally as population increase. Epidemiological transition also known as demographic transition, is a model that is used to explain how population growth rates increase and decrease with respect to time and different factors that account into it such as infectious disease, chronic disease and industrialization. “Conceptually, the theory of epidemiologic transition focuses on the complex change in patterns of health and disease and on the interactions between these patterns and their demographic, economic and sociologic determinants and consequences” (Omran, 2005). This model describes the changing patterns of population distributions in four stages: Age of pestile and famine, age of declining pandemic, age of degenerative and man-made diseases, and postindustrial age.

Demographic transition is the process by which a nation/country moves from high birth rate and high death rates to low birth and low death rates as the growth population in the interim (Weeks, 2005). Some of the nations that have gone through this transitions are; Canada, Germany, United States and England. The demographic transition to an industrialized society is harmful to the environment. Industrialized countries also have the largest ecological and carbon footprint comparative to developing/non-industrialized nations. Nevertheless, demographic transitions have some notable advantages. Countries that have gone through demographic transitions have low birth and death rates. Citizens in

Afghanistan is in Stage 2 due to the rise in population caused by a decline in the Crude Death Rate (14) while the Crude Birth Rate (38) remains high. CDR declines as new health care systems arrive, and CBR still remains high because most families are still subsistence farmers (and deeply involved in cultural tradition). The population pyramid is expansive and has straight sides. The pyramid shows a slightly longer life expectancy and more people living into middle age. The change in the age structure of the population leads us to conclude that Afghanistan is in Stage 2 of the demographic transition.

Explaining the demographic transition model is when model changes during time. The demographic model educates how crude birth and crude death rates changes over time. Yet, the demographic transition model has its difficulties; the model doesn’t show procedures as to how lengthy it takes a country to get from stage 1to stage

Human population of the world is has increased by the billions, in part to economic growth. Not only Europeans in Western Countries and Japan thriving, Asia has been at the top of the growth charts with India and China gaining just

The demographic transition model is valid when applied to Djibouti, which is a lower developed stage 2 country, because of the economic, social, and health factors found on the human development index.

Throughout the globe, we are experiencing the greatest demographic transition of all time. According to the UN DESA report, our world population is projected to grow at approximately 9.7 billion by 2050. This immense growth will predominantly occur in underdeveloped regions and developed countries, such as Africa and the U.S. Parts of the globe has an increasing ageing population, while others are having a huge influx of new youth. Mainly Europe and South America will contain ageing growths, whereas Africa and Asia will have larger proportions of youth ages. This particular dynamic is going to have desiccating affects towards our interconnected global society, if stable governments and its citizens do not come up with viable solutions. My main

The Demographic Transition Model is a simplification for the conventional process of shifts in population growth in our world’s countries. The Demographic Transition Model, also known as DTM, is derived from Great Britain’s model of their demographic cycle between the 1750s and the 1900s. It consists of five different stages, with the phases being low growth, increasing growth, population explosion, decreasing growth, and declining population. These phases are defined by a triple line graph of the crude birth rate, crude death rate, and the total population per one thousand people. The DTM applies to almost every country, but the different stages of the model the countries fit in varies. There are no countries remaining in Stage 1 anymore. Though, some are making it into Stage 5, and the addition of a Stage 6 is being considered.

Demographic transition involves the changes a less industrialized country undergoes regarding birth rates and death rates from being an industrialized country. The change implies the reduction of birth and mortality rates from a less industrialized country into an industrialized country with reduced birth and death rates. Several countries, especially the European countries, exemplify this mode of transition in their historical information. Besides, the changes involved in demographic transition filters down to the environment in the long-run. The surrounding environment suffers from the expanded industrialization and due to the demographic transition (Smout, 2009).

England’s experience with change in demographic is one that is almost entirely based on pure simple cause and effect. For them everything was basically stemmed from a need. No matter which model one chooses to use as the basis of one came because of the other either there was a larger population which required more or, there was more money and people felt more comfortable in having more children. Under either model it stems all from economic reasons.

According to Kunkel in “Global Aging: Comparative Perspectives on Aging and the Life Course”, the Demographic Transition Theory is a “... set of interrelated social and demographic changes that result in both rapid growth and aging of a population” (Kunkel 77). This theory essentially consists of stages that explain how most, but not all, countries undergo a stage of rapid fertility and death then see a decline in births, thus leading to a growth in the aging population.

Demographic transition: A demographic transition is when a country or population moves from a state where there is a high birth and death rate, to a state where there is a low birth and death rate.

Demography is the study of the components of population variation and change. Death rate and birth rate are two determinants of population change. Theory of Demographic Transition is comparatively recent theory that has been accepted by several scholars throughout the world. This theory embraces the observation that all countries in the world go through different stages in the growth of population. A nation's economy and level of development is directly related to that nation's birth and death rates. Population history can be divided into different stages. Some of the scholars have divided it into three and some scholars have divided it into five stages. These stages or classifications demonstrate a