3. A decision maker is faced with a choice between a lottery with a 30% chance of a payoff of $30 and a 70% chance of a payoff of $80, and a guaranteed payoff of $65. a. If the decision makers utility function is U = 1/2 what is the risk premium associated with this choice? b. If the decision makers utility function is U = | + 500, what is the risk premium associated with this choice? Please %3D
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- A risk-averse agent, Andy, has power utility of consumption with riskaversion coefficient γ = 0.5. While standing in line at the conveniencestore, Andy hears that the odds of winning the jackpot in a new statelottery game are 1 in 250. A lottery ticket costs $1. Assume his income isIt = $100. You can assume that there is only one jackpot prize awarded,and there is no chance it will be shared with another player. The lotterywill be drawn shortly after Andy buys the ticket, so you can ignore therole of discounting for time value. For simplicity, assume that ct+1 = 100even if Andy buys the ticket How large would the jackpot have to be in order for Andy to play thelottery? b) What is the fair (expected) value of the lottery with the jackpot youfound in (a)? What is the dollar amount of the risk premium that Andyrequires to play the lottery? Solve for the optimal number of lottery tickets that Andy would buyif the jackpot value were $10,000 (the ticket price, the odds of winning,and Andy’s…Khalid has a utility function U = W1/2, where W is his wealth in millions of dollarsand U is the utility he obtains from the wealth. In a game show, the host offershim a choice between (A) $4 million for sure, or (B) a gamble that pays $1million with probability 0.6 and $9 million with probability 0.4.i. Graph Khalid’s utility function with the help of above utility function. Ishe risk lover? Explain. ii. Does A or B choice offer Khalid a higher expected prize? Explain yourreasoning with appropriate calculations. iii. Does A or B offer Khalid a higher expected utility? Again, show yourcalculations. iv. Should Jamal pick A or B choice? Why?A woman with current wealth X has the opportunity to bet an amount on the occurrence of an event that she knows will occur with probability P. If she wagers W, she will received 2W, if the event occur and if it does not. Assume that the Bernoulli utility function takes the form u(x) = with r > 0. How much should she wager? Does her utility function exhibit CARA, DARA, IARA? Alex plays football for a local club in Kumasi. If he does not suffer any injury by the end of the season, he will get a professional contract with Kotoko, which is worth $10,000. If he is injured though, he will get a contract as a fitness coach worth $100. The probability of the injury is 10%. Describe the lottery What is the expected value of this lottery? What is the expected utility of this lottery if u(x) = Assume he could buy insurance at price P that could pay $9,900 in case of injury. What is the highest value of P that makes it worthwhile for Alex to purchase insurance? What is the certainty…
- Jamal has a utility function U= W1/2 where Wis his wealth in millions of 'dollars and Uis the utility he obtains from that wealth. In the final stage of a game show, the host offers Jamal a choice between (A) $4 million for sure, or (B) a gamble that pays $1million with a probability of 0.6 and $9 million with a probability of 0.4. a. Graph Jamal's utility function. Is he risk-averse? Explain. b. Does A or B offer, Jamal, a higher expected price? Explain your reasoning with appropriate calculations. (Hint: The expected value of a random variable is the weighted average of the possible outcomes, where the probabilities are the weights.) c. Does A or B offer Jamal a higher expected utility? Again, show your calculations. d. Should Jamal pick A or B? Why?An investor has a power utility function with a coefficient of relative risk aversion of 3. Compare the utility that the investor would receive from a certain income of £2 with that generated by a lottery having equally likely outcomes of £1 and £3. Calculate the certain level of income which, for an investor with preferences as above, would generate identical expected utility to the lottery described. How much of the original certain income of £2 the investor would be willing to pay to avoid the lottery? Detail the calculations and carefully explain your answer.2. Maria has $100. There is a 50% that she will lose all of it. Her utility as a functionof wealth is u(c) = √c. a. What is the maximum amount she would be willing to pay to fully insure againstthe 50% probability of the loss? b. Is she risk averse, risk loving, or risk neutral?
- Assume that Mary’s utility function is U(W) = W1/3, where W is wealth. Suppose that Mary hasan initial level of wealth of $27,000. How much of a risk premium would she require toparticipate in a gamble that has a 50% probability of raising her wealth to $29,791 and a 50%probability of lowering her wealth to $24,389?Microeconomics Wilfred’s expected utility function is px1^0.5+(1−p)x2^0.5, where p is the probability that he consumes x1 and 1 - p is the probability that he consumes x2. Wilfred is offered a choice between getting a sure payment of $Z or a lottery in which he receives $2500 with probability p = 0.4 and $3700 with probability 1 - p. Wilfred will choose the sure payment if Z > CE and the lottery if Z < CE, where the value of CE is equal to ___ (please round your final answer to two decimal places if necessary)Consider a medieval Italian merchant who is a risk averse expected utility maximiser. Their wealth will beequal to y if their ship returns safely from Asia loaded with the finest silk. If the ship sinks, their incomewill be y − L. The chance of a safe return is 50%. Now suppose that there are two identical merchants, A and B, who are both risk averse expected utilitymaximisers with utility of income given by u(y) = ln y. The income of each merchant will be 8 if theirown ship returns and 2 if it sinks. As previously, the probability of a safe return is 50% for each ship.However, with probability p ≤ 1/2 both ships will return safely. With the same probability p both willsink. Finally, with the remaining probability, only one ship will return safely.(iv) Compute the increase in the utility of each merchant that they could achieve from pooling theirincomes (as a function of p). How does the benefit of pooling depend on the probability p? Explainintuitively why this is the case.
- David is an expected-utility maximizer that likes to drive fast (and reckless at times), so his probability of an accident is 2/3. David’s preferences over wealth are u(w) = √?. Suppose that David’s initial wealth is $100. If David has an accident, he incurs a $51 loss. How much is the risk premium David willing to pay to be as well off in case of accident or not?Suppose you must choose between the two prospects, (40,000, 0.025) or (1,000): The prospect of winning 40,000 with a probability of 2.5% or winning 1,000 with certainty. Suppose, too, that the following three graphs represent your utility function (according to expected utility theory) and your weighting and value scales (according to prospect theory). Finally, suppose that your current wealth is 20,000. a. What is the expected utility for the two prospects? b. Based on expected utility theory, which prospect would you choose? Why? c. According to prospect theory, what are the values for each of the prospects? d. Based on prospect theory, which prospect would you choose? Why? e. Why is your decision different under the two theories? (Hint: what is one of the common human traits that prospect theory captures that expected utility theory cannot?)Natasha has utility function u(I) = (10*I)0.5, where I is her annual income (in thousands). (a) Is she a risk loving, risk averse or risk neutral individual? She is [risk loving, risk adverse, risk neutral] , as her utility function is [concave, convex, linear] (b) Suppose that she is currently earning an income of $40,000 (I = 40) and can earn that income next year with certainty. She is offered a chance to take a new job that offers a 0.6 probability of earning $44,000 and a 0.4 probability of earning $33,000. She should [take, not take] the new job because her expected utility of (approximately) [18.27,19.82,20,20.95,21.14] is [greater than, less than, equal to] her current utility of [18.27,19.85,20,20.95,21.14] .