6. Ah Seng Coffeeshop needs to decide in November 2021 how many Chinese New Year cups to order to sell at his coffeeshop. Because the cups are specially made for the year 2022 (year of the tiger), those that are unsold by end of February 2022 are considered a loss. These specially designed cups sell for $23.95 and cost $6.75 each. Ah Seng is uncertain of the demand. He believes that there is a 25% chance that they will sell 10,000 cups, a 50% chance that they will sell 15,000 and a 25% chance that they will sell 20,000. a) Construct decision tree and cumulative risk profiles for the problem above using Precision Tree b) Now, assume that any unsold cups are discounted and can be sold for $5 after February 2022. How does this affect the decision?
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- Assume the demand for a companys drug Wozac during the current year is 50,000, and assume demand will grow at 5% a year. If the company builds a plant that can produce x units of Wozac per year, it will cost 16x. Each unit of Wozac is sold for 3. Each unit of Wozac produced incurs a variable production cost of 0.20. It costs 0.40 per year to operate a unit of capacity. Determine how large a Wozac plant the company should build to maximize its expected profit over the next 10 years.Omega DB Corp. has a policy of maintaining an inventory of finished goods equal to 40 percent of the next month’s budgeted sales. If Omega DB Corp. plans to produce 6,000 units in June, what are budgeted sales for July in units? Budgeted sales for the first six months of 2019 for Omega DB Corp. are listed below: Units:JANUARY 6,000FEBRUARY 7,000MARCH 8,000APRIL 7,000MAY 5,000JUNE 4,000Williams Inc. produces fluorescent lightbulbs for commercial use. The accounting manager isattempting to estimate the total cost for the next quarter using the high-low method. He has compileddata and found the high and low costs are $10,000 and $6,000, respectively, and the associated costdrivers are 7,000 and 3,000 packs, respectively. What is the value for b (the variable cost per unit)?What is the value for a (the fixed quantity)?
- Ardie Corporation uses 30,000 units. Each order placed is for 1,500 units. The stockout units is 300. Management is willing to accept a stockout probability of 40 percent. The stockout cost per unit is P3.20. What does the total stockout cost? choose the letter of the correct answera. P2,680.00b. P3,680.00c. P4,680.00d. P5,680.00e. P7,680.00Forrest and Dan make boxes of chocolates for which the demand is uncertain. Forrest says, “That’s life.” On the other hand, Dan believes that some demand patterns exist that could be useful for planning the purchase of sugar, chocolate, and shrimp. Forrest insists on placing a surprise chocolatecovered shrimp in some boxes so that “You never know what you’ll get.” Quarterly demand (in boxes of chocolates) for the last 3 years follows: Quarter Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 1 2 3 4 3,000 1,700 900 4,400 3,300 2,100 1,500 5,100 3,502 2,448 1,768 5,882 Total 10,000 12,000 13,600 a. Use intuition and judgment to estimate quarterly demand for the fourth year.b. If the expected sales for chocolates are 14,800 cases for year 4, use the multiplicative seasonal method to prepare a forecast for each quarter of the year. Are any of the quarterly forecasts different from what you thought you would get in part (a)?3-2) The optimal quantity of the three products and resulting revenue for Taco Loco is: A) 28 beef, 80 cheese, and 39.27 beans for $147.27. B) 10.22 beef, 5.33 cheese, and 28.73 beans for $147.27. C) 1.45 Z, 8.36 Y, and 0 Z for $129.09. D) 14 Z, 13 Y, and 17 X for $9.81. 3-3) Taco Loco is unsure whether the amount of beef that their computer thinks is in inventory is correct. What is the range in values for beef inventory that would not affect the optimal product mix? A) 26 to 38.22 pounds B) 27.55 to 28.45 pounds C) 17.78 to 30 pounds D) 12.22 to 28 pounds
- Dorothy’s pastries are freshly baked and sold at several spe-cialty shops throughout Perth. When they are a day old, theymust be sold at reduced prices. Daily demand is distributedas follows:Demand Probability50 0.25150 0.50200 0.25Each pastry sells for $1.00 and costs $0.60 to make. Each onenot sold at the end of the day can be sold the next day for$0.30 as day-old merchandise. How many pastries should bebaked each day?3. irene sells fashion bags online. she gets each bag for P150.00 from a loca supplier. she then adds P100.00 as mark-up for each bag. how much is the selling price of each =bag? A. P200 b. P250 c. P300 d.P350Suppose this information is available for PepsiCo, Inc. for 2015, 2016, and 2017. (in millions) 2015 2016 2017 Beginning inventory $ 2,100 $ 2,400 $ 2,300 Ending inventory 2,400 2,300 2,700 Cost of goods sold 18,227 20,071 20,478 Sales revenue 39,145 42,957 44,066 Calculate the days in inventory for PepsiCo, Inc. for 2015, 2016, and 2017. (Round days in inventory to 1 decimal place, e.g. 5.1.) 2015 2016 2017 Days in inventory days
- A local outdoor vegetable stand has exactly 1,000 square feet of space to displaythree vegetables: tomatoes, lettuce, and zucchini. The appropriate data for theseitems are given in the following table.ItemTomatoes Lettuce ZucchiniAnnual demand 850 1,280 630(in pounds)Cost per pound $0.29 $0.45 $0.25The setup cost for replenishment of the vegetables is $100 in each case, and thespace consumed by each vegetable is proportional to its costs, with tomatoes requiring 0.5 square foot per pound. The annual interest rate used for computingholding costs is 25 percent. What are the optimal quantities that should be purchased of these three vegetables?Quantity discounts. This type of problem can be recognized when a list showing prices for eachquantity range is given along with the basic EOQ information.a. If unit holding cost is constant, use these steps to solve the problem:1. Use Formula 13–2 to find Q.2. Locate Q in the price schedule.3. Compute TC using Formula 13–1 for Q and for all lower-cost price breaks.b. If unit holding cost is a percentage of unit price, use these steps to solve the problem:1. Beginning with the lowest cost, and using the corresponding H for that cost, compute Qusing Formula 13–2. Continue moving up in unit cost until a feasible Q is found.2. Locate the feasible Q in the price schedule.3. Compute TC using Formula 13–9 for Q and for all lower-cost price breaks. Remember to usethe corresponding H for each price.A small manufacturing firm uses roughly 3,400 pounds of chemical dye a year. Currently the firmpurchases 300 pounds per order and pays $3 per pound. The supplier has just announced that ordersof…XYZ is a multinational corporation based in the US. Its manufacturing facilities arelocated in Pittsburgh and hence its labor and manufacturing costs are incurred in USdollars (USD). A large fraction of its sales, however, are made to German customers whopay for the goods in Deutschemarks (GDM). There is a six-month lead time between theplacement of a customer order and delivery of the product. XYZ's cost of production is80% of the sale price. Suppose XYZ receives a $1MM GDM order and that the currentUSD/GDM exchange rate is 0.60 (i.e. 1 GDM = 0.60 USD). The cost of production of thisorder is $480,000 (0.60 x $1MM x 0.80). The exchange rate six months from now is, ofcourse, uncertain in which case XYZ is exposed to exchange rate risk.RequiredExplain how the company can use forward contract for hedging purposes