A 28- year- old man pays $158 for one year life insurance policy with coverage of $110,000, If the probability he will live through the year is 0.9994, what is the expected value for the insurance policy?
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- Suppose XYZ Corporation's stock price rises or falls with equal probability by $25 each month, starting where it ended the previous month. What is the value of a three month at the-money European call option on XYZ's stock if the stock is priced at $100 when the option is purchased?$______You live in an area that has a possibility of incurring a massive earthquake, so you are considering buyingearthquake insurance on your home at an annual cost of $180. The probability of an earthquake damagingyour home during one year is 0.001. If this happens, you estimate that the cost of the damage (fully coveredby earthquake insurance) will be $160,000. Your total assets (including your home) are worth $250,000.The probabilities that the life of a machine will vary from 6 to 12 years are given in the table below. The expected life of the machine is ____________. Life , Years 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Probability 0.10 0.15 0.25 0.15 0.20 0.10 0.05
- Portfolio ABZ has a daily expected return of 0.0634% and a daily standard deviation of 1.1213%. Assuming that the daily 5 percent parametric VaR is $6 million, calculate the annual 5 percent parametric VaR for a portfolio with a market value of $ 120 million. (Assume 250 trading days in a year and give your answer in Dollars)A company invests on selling computer units worth Php 32,000.00. The probability of maintaining this price throughout the year is 65% while that of less or more than 10% the expected are 15% and 20%, (a) what is the probability that the selling price for that year is more than the expected price? a. 0.8 b. 0.85 c. 0.25 d. 0.2 e. 1 f. 0.15 g. 0.65A manager has to decide whether to prepare a bid or not. It costs P5,000 to prepare the bid. If the bid is submitted, the probability that the contract will be awarded is 50%. If the company is awarded the contract, it may earn an income of P100,000 if it succeeds, or pay a fine of P8,000 if it fails. The probability of success is estimated to be 80%. What is the expected value if the contract is awarded?
- The owner of a ski resort is considering installing a new ski lift that will cost $900,000. Expenses for operating andmaintaining the lift are estimated to be $1,500 per day when operating. The U.S. Weather Service estimates thatthere is a 60% probability of 80 days of skiing weather per year, a 30% probability of 100 days per year, and a 10% probability of 120 days per year. The operators of the resort estimate that during the first 80 days of adequate snow in a season, an average of 500 people will use the lift each day, at a fee of $10 each. If 20 additional days are available, the lift will be used by only 400 people per day during the extra period; and if 20 more days of skiing are available, only 300 people per day will use the lift during those days. The owners wish to recover any invested capital within five years and want at least a 25% per year rate of return before taxes. Based on a before-tax analysis, should the lift be installed?Suppose an investor is concerned about a business choice in which there are three projects, the probability and returns are given below. Probability Return 0.4 $100 0.4 40 The expected value of the uncertain investment is $ ----------- (round off to the nearest dollar.A drug company is considering investing $100 million today to bring a weight loss pill to the market. At the end of one year, the firm will know the payoff; there is a 0.50 probability that the pill will sell at a high price and generate $37 million per year of profit forever and a 0.50 probability that the pill will sell at a low price and generate $I million per year of profit forever. The interest rate is 10%. Suppose the firm decides to wait one year to determine whether the pill will sell at a high or low price. The firm will not invest if it learns that the pill will sell at a low price. What is the net present value of waiting one year to make the investment?O $88 millionO$122.72 millionO $201.22 millionO $64.5 million
- I am in possession of two coins. One is fair so that it lands heads (H) and tails (T) with equal probability while the other coin is weighted so that it always lands H. Both coins are magical: if either is flipped and lands H then a $1 bill appears in your wallet, but when it lands T nothing happens. You may only flip a coin once per period. The interest rate is i per period. You are risk-neutral and thus only concern yourself with expected values (and not variance). For simplicity, in the questions below assume you will live forever. Suppose now that I also do not know which coin is fair and which is weighted. You pick one of the two coins at random. (a) What is your willingness to pay for this coin? (b) What is your willingness to pay for an option* to purchase the coin, where the option works as follows: you may flip the coin once and observe the outcome. Then, if you wish, you may purchase the coin from me for the amount you determined in part 4(a). *The owner of an option has…I am in possession of two coins. One is fair so that it lands heads (H) and tails (T) with equal probability while the other coin is weighted so that it always lands H. Both coins are magical: if either is flipped and lands H then a $1 bill appears in your wallet, but when it lands T nothing happens. You may only flip a coin once per period. The interest rate is i per period. You are risk-neutral and thus only concern yourself with expected values (and not variance). For simplicity, in the questions below assume you will live forever. 1. How much are you willing to pay for such a coin that you know is fair? 2. How much are you willing to pay for such a coin that you know is weighted? 3. I currently own the coins and know which is fair and which is weighted, but you cannot tell which is which. You may make an offer to purchase a coin of your choosing, which I am free to accept or reject. What is the most you are willing to offer? Explain how you arrived at this answer. 4. Suppose now…Suppose Real Option Inc. has a product that generates the following cash flow. At t=1, the demand can be high or low. There is a probability of 0.6 that demand is high. If demand is high (low) the cash flow is CFH=400 (CFL=200). At t=2, the demand can also be high or low. If demand was high at t=1, then a high demand at t=2 arises with probability 0.7. If demand was low at t=1, then a high demand at t=2 arises with probability 0.2. If demand is high (low) at t=2 then CFH=400 (CFL=200). The interest rate for this project is 20%. (a) Draw the event and decision tree. (b) What is the market price (expected value) of Real Option Inc. at t=0? Now suppose Real Option Inc. can rent a platform to run a marketing campaign. For this purpose Real Option Inc. must sign a two year contract with the platform provider. The costs for using the platform are 180 per period. Marketing itself does not cost anything and has the following effect. In the high demand state, marketing doubles the demand. In…