In the past four years, the annual returns of one company’s stock are 12%, 18%, and –14%, and 7%. a) What is the geometric average return?  b) What is the arithmetic average of the returns?  c) According to an economist’ forecast on the Year 2020, the probabilities of repeating the performances of the former four years are 30%, 30%, 20%, and 20%, respectively. What is the expected return of the stock in the Year 2020

Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
5th Edition
ISBN:9781337106665
Author:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Publisher:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Chapter17: Making Decisions With Uncertainty
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In the past four years, the annual returns of one company’s stock
are 12%, 18%, and –14%, and 7%.
a) What is the geometric average return? 
b) What is the arithmetic average of the returns? 
c) According to an economist’ forecast on the Year 2020, the probabilities of repeating
the performances of the former four years are 30%, 30%, 20%, and 20%, respectively.
What is the expected return of the stock in the Year 2020

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