A researcher interested in explaining the level of foreign reserves for the country of Barbados estimated the following multiple regression model using yearly data spanning the period 2001 to 2016:   ??=?+????+????+???? Where FR = yearly foreign reserves ($000’s), OIL = annual oil prices, EXP = yearly total exports ($000’s) and FDI = annual foreign direct investment ($000’s).    Predictor                  Coef                StDev               t-ratio              p-value Constant                5491.38            2508.81             2.1888             0.0491       OIL                    85.39               18.46               4.626              0.0006       EXP                 -377.08             112.19           -3.3611                 0.0057       FDI                  -396.99             160.66              -2.471                 0.0000   S          =2.45               R-sq     =   96.3%         R-sq (adj)  =   95.3%     Analysis of Variance Source           DF                    SS                        MS                    F          P Regression      3                 1991.31                663.77             102.91    0.0294         Error              12                   77.4                             6.45                     Total              15           Hence test whether ? is significant. Give reasons for your answer.

Linear Algebra: A Modern Introduction
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ISBN:9781285463247
Author:David Poole
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Chapter7: Distance And Approximation
Section7.3: Least Squares Approximation
Problem 31EQ
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A researcher interested in explaining the level of foreign reserves for the country of Barbados estimated the following multiple regression model using yearly data spanning the period 2001 to 2016:

 

??=?+????+????+????

Where FR = yearly foreign reserves ($000’s), OIL = annual oil prices, EXP = yearly total exports ($000’s) and FDI = annual foreign direct investment ($000’s). 

 

Predictor                  Coef                StDev               t-ratio              p-value

Constant                5491.38            2508.81             2.1888             0.0491

      OIL                    85.39               18.46               4.626              0.0006

      EXP                 -377.08             112.19           -3.3611                 0.0057

      FDI                  -396.99             160.66              -2.471                 0.0000

 

S          =2.45               R-sq     =   96.3%         R-sq (adj)  =   95.3%  

 

Analysis of Variance

Source           DF                    SS                        MS                    F          P

Regression      3                 1991.31                663.77             102.91    0.0294        

Error              12                   77.4                             6.45                    

Total              15      

 

  Hence test whether ? is significant. Give reasons for your answer.            

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