Assume the current value of Zt is 165 from a process that has the AR(1) model z = 0.42-1 + a, and mean 162. Make one-step-ahead forecasts for the 5 observations. t 121 122 123 124 125 (observed) 2.1 2.8 1.5 1.2 0.4

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Assume the current value of Zt is 165 from a process that has the AR(1) model
z = 0.42-1 + a, and mean 162. Make one-step-ahead forecasts for the 5 observations.
124
125
121 122 123
2.8
Zt(observed) 2.1
1.5 1.2
0.4
Transcribed Image Text:Assume the current value of Zt is 165 from a process that has the AR(1) model z = 0.42-1 + a, and mean 162. Make one-step-ahead forecasts for the 5 observations. 124 125 121 122 123 2.8 Zt(observed) 2.1 1.5 1.2 0.4
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