b) A seller knows that there are two bidders for the object she is selling. She believes that with probability 1/2, one has a buyer value of £5 and the other has a buyer value of £10 and, with probability 1/2, one has a buyer value of £8 and the other has a buyer value of £15. She knows that bidders will want to buy the object so long as they can get it for their buyer value or less. She sells it in an English auction with a reserve price which she must set before the auction starts. To maximize her expected profits, she should set the reserve price at what price?
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- 2.4 The opening 2018 World Cup odds against being the winning team specified by espn.com were 9/2 for Germany, 5/1 for Brazil, 11/2 for France, 20/1 for England, and 7/1 for Spain. Find the corresponding prior probabilities of winning for these five teams.The owner of a ski resort is considering installing a new ski lift that will cost $900,000. Expenses for operating andmaintaining the lift are estimated to be $1,500 per day when operating. The U.S. Weather Service estimates thatthere is a 60% probability of 80 days of skiing weather per year, a 30% probability of 100 days per year, and a 10% probability of 120 days per year. The operators of the resort estimate that during the first 80 days of adequate snow in a season, an average of 500 people will use the lift each day, at a fee of $10 each. If 20 additional days are available, the lift will be used by only 400 people per day during the extra period; and if 20 more days of skiing are available, only 300 people per day will use the lift during those days. The owners wish to recover any invested capital within five years and want at least a 25% per year rate of return before taxes. Based on a before-tax analysis, should the lift be installed?"Jay, a writer of novels, just has completed a new thriller novel. A movie company and a TV network both want exclusive rights to market his new title. If he signs with the network, he will receive a single lump sum of $1,480,000, but if he signs with the movie company, the amount he will receive depends on how successful the movie is at the box office.The probability of a small box office earning $203,000 is 0.27. The probability of a medium box office of $1,660,000 is 0.49, and the probability of a large box office of $2,950,000 is 0.24.Jay can send his novel to a prominent movie critic to assess the potential box office success. It will cost $20,000 to get the novel evaluated by the movie critic.The movie critic can have either a favorable or unfavorable opinion. The movie critic's reliability of predicting box office success is as follows.If the movie will have a large box office, there is a 0.75 probability the critic will have a favorable opinion.If the movie will have a medium…
- "Jay, a writer of novels, just has completed a new thriller novel. A movie company and a TV network both want exclusive rights to market his new title. If he signs with the network, he will receive a single lump sum of $1,460,000, but if he signs with the movie company, the amount he will receive depends on how successful the movie is at the box office.The probability of a small box office earning $210,000 is 0.27. The probability of a medium box office of $1,530,000 is 0.64, and the probability of a large box office of $3,190,000 is 0.09.Jay can send his novel to a prominent movie critic to assess the potential box office success. It will cost $21,000 to get the novel evaluated by the movie critic.The movie critic can have either a favorable or unfavorable opinion. The movie critic's reliability of predicting box office success is as follows.If the movie will have a large box office, there is a 0.61 probability the critic will have a favorable opinion.If the movie will have a medium…The owner of Tastee Cookies needs to decide whether to lease a small, medium, or large new retail outlet. She estimates that monthly profits will vary with demand for her cookies as follows: SIZE OFOUTLET DEMAND LOW HIGH Small $ 1,000 1,000 Medium 500 2,500 Large 0 3,000 For what range of probability that demand will be high, will she decide to lease the medium facility?. If you examine the decision tree in Figure 9.12 (orany other decision trees from PrecisionTree), you willsee two numbers (in blue font) to the right of each endnode. The bottom number is the combined monetaryvalue from following the corresponding path throughthe tree. The top number is the probability that thispath will be followed, given that the best strategy isused. With this in mind, explain (1) how the positiveprobabilities following the end nodes are calculated,(2) why some of the probabilities following the endnodes are 0, and (3) why the sum of the probabilitiesfollowing the end nodes is necessarily 1.
- Suppose that an individual is just willing to accept a gamble to win or lose $1000 if the probability ofwinning is 0.6. Suppose that the utility gained if the individual wins is 100 utils. What is expected gains/loss.Deborah is at the casino and is considering playing Roulette. In Roulette, a ball drops into one of 36 slots on a spinning wheel. 17 of the slots are red, 17 are black, and 2 are green. Each slot is equally likely and occurs with probability 1/36. Deborah bets $1.00 on black. If the ball drops into a black slot she receives $2.00 and if it drops into a red or green slot, she receives nothing. a) The expected value of Deborah’s bet (after subtracting the $1.00 she bet) is $________________ b) Given that Deborah makes this bet, is she risk adverse, risk neutral, or risk loving? Time remaining: 01 :51 :45 Economics A dealer decides to sell an antique automobile by means of an English auction with a reservation price of $900. There are two bidders. The dealer believes that there are only three possible values, $7,200, $3,600, and $900, that each bidder’s willingness to pay might take. Each bidder has a probability of 1/3 of having each of these willingnesses to pay, and the probabilities for each of the two bidders are independent of the other’s valuation. Assuming that the two bidders bid rationally and do not collude, the dealer’s expected revenue from selling the car is approximately Group of answer choices $3,600. $2,500. $3,900. $5,400. $7,200.
- True/False a. Consider a strategic game, in which player i has two actions, a and b. Let s−i be some strategy profile of her opponents. If a IS a best response to s−i, then b is NOT a best response to s−i. b. Consider the same game in (a). If a IS NOT a best response to s−i, then a does NOT weakly dominates b. c. Consider the same game in (a). If a mixed strategy of i that assigns probabilities 13 and 23 to a and b, respectively, IS a best response to s−i, SO IS a mixed strategy that assigns probabilities 32 and 13 to a and b, respectively. d. Consider the same game in (a). If a mixed strategy of i that assigns probabilities 13 and 23 to a and b, respectively, is NOT a best response to some strategy profile of her opponents, s−i, NEITHER is a mixed strategy that assigns probabilities 32 and 13 to a and b, respectively. e. Consider the same game in (a). If a IS a best response to s−i, SO IS any mixed strategy that assigns positive probability to a. f. Consider the same game in (a). If a…David Barnes and his fiancée Valerie Shah are visiting Hawaii. At the Hawaiian Cultural Center in Honolulu, they are told that 2 out of a group of 8 people will be randomly picked for a free lesson of a Tahitian dance a. What is the probability that both David and Valerie get picked for the Tahitian dance lesson? (round 4 decimal places) b. What is the probability that Valerie gets picked before David for the Tahitian dance lesson? (round 4 decimal places)Suppose that the consumer is asked to contemplate a gamble with a probability of 60% of winning Birr 10,000 with a utility of 10 utils, and a 40% probability of winning Birr 15,000 with a utility of 12 utils. A. What will be the expected income and expected utility of the consumer? B. If the utility of this consumer from a risk free alternative which gives him an income equal to the expected income of the risky alternative given above is equal to 11 utils, is this consumer risk lover or risk averse? Why? Illustrate your answer with the help of a diagram