b) Expected value for the Build new plant option=$________ The alternative that provides Weiss the greatest expected monetary value is _________ The value of the return under this decision is _________ c) The expected value of perfect information EVPI for Weiss=$________
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Howard Weiss, Inc., is considering building a sensitve new radiation scanning device. His managers belivee that there is a probabililty of 0.45 that the ATR Co. will come out with a competitive product. If weiss adds as assembly line for the prodcut and ATR Co. does not follow with a competitive product, Weiss's expected profit is $60,000; if Weiss adds an assembly line and ATR follows suit, Weiss still expects $15,000 profit. If Weiss adds a new plant addition and ATR does not produce a competitive product, Weiss expects a profit of $600,000; if ATR does compete for this market, Weiss expects a loss of $100,000.
a) Expected value for the Add assembly line option=$39750
b) Expected value for the Build new plant option=$________
The alternative that provides Weiss the greatest expected monetary value is _________
The value of the return under this decision is _________
c) The expected value of perfect information EVPI for Weiss=$________
Expected value is the future value for an investment that is anticipated at present time.
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- Howard Weiss, Inc., is considering building a sensitive new radiation scanning device. His managers believe that there is aprobability of .35 that the ATR Co. will come out with a competitive product. If Weiss adds an assembly line for the product and ATR Co. does not follow with a competitive product, Weiss's expected profit is $40,000 ; if Weiss adds an assembly line and ATR follows suit, Weiss still expects $20,000 profit. If Weiss adds a new plant addition and ATR does not produce a competitive product, Weiss expects a profit of $600,000 ; if ATR does compete for this market, Weiss expects a loss of $120,000.Part 2a) Expected value for the option = $ b)Expected value for the build new plant option = c) The alternative that provides Weiss the…A hotel is runned by a manager and the owners propsoed a new proposal to increase their sales and if the manager does increases the sales they will pay him addiotional 10k but if they stick to their current situation what are the pros and cons, List 4 pros and 4 cons for status quo.1. A builder has located a piece of property that she would like to buy and eventually build on. The land is currently zoned for four homes per acre, but she is planning to request new zoning. What she builds depends on approval of zoning requests and your analysis of this problem to advise her. With her input and your help, the decision process has been reduced to the following costs, alternatives, and probabilities: Cost of land: $2 million. Probability of rezoning: 0.60. If the land is rezoned, there will be additional costs for new roads, lighting, and so on of $1 million. If the land is rezoned, the contractor must decide whether to build a shopping center or 1,500 apartments that the tentative plan shows would be possible. If she builds a shopping center, there is a 70 percent chance that she can sell the shopping center to a large department store chain for $4 million over her construction cost, which excludes the land; and there is a 30 percent chance that she can sell it to an…
- Techno Corporation is currently manufacturing an item atvariable costs of $5 per unit. Annual fixed costs of manufac-turing this item are $140,000. The current selling price ofthe item is $10 per unit, and the annual sales volume is30,000 units.a. Techno can substantially improve the item’s quality byinstalling new equipment at additional annual fixed costsof $60,000. Variable costs per unit would increase by $1,but, as more of the better-quality product could be sold,the annual volume would increase to 50,000 units. ShouldTechno buy the new equipment and maintain the currentprice of the item? Why or why not?b. Alternatively, Techno could increase the selling price to$11 per unit. However, the annual sales volume wouldbe limited to 45,000 units. Should Techno buy the newequipment and raise the price of the item? Why orwhy not?College Creations, Inc (CC), builds a loft that is easily adaptable to most dorm rooms or apartments and can be assembled into a variety of configurations. Each loft is sold for $500, and the cost to produce one loft is $300, including all parts and labor. CC has fixed costs of $100,000. A.What happens if CC produces nothing? B.Now, assume CC produces and sells one unit (loft). What are their financial results? C.Now, what do you think would happen if they produced and sold 501 units? D.How many units would CC need to sell in order to break even? E.How many units would CC need to sell if they wanted to have a pretax profit of $50,000?Exhibit A. Southland Corporation’s decision to produce a new line of recreational products resulted in the need to construct either a small plant, medium or large plant. The best selection of plant size depends on how the marketplace reacts to the new product line. To conduct an analysis, marketing management has decided to view the possible long-run demand as low, medium, or high. The following payoff table shows the projected profit in millions of dollars: Long-run Demand Plant Size Low Medium High Small 150 200 200 Medium 80 200 250 Large 50 200 500 Referring to Exhibit A, a. Identify the decision to be made, the decision alternatives, the chance event and the states of nature for this problem. b. What alternative should be chosen under the maximax criterion? Assume that the prior probabilities for low, medium and high demand are 0.25, 0.40 and 0.35, respectively. c. What is the recommendation if the maximum likelihood…
- Build-Rite Construction has received favorable publicity from guest appearances on a public TV home improvement program. Public TV programming decisions seem to be unpredictable, so Build-Rite cannot estimate the probability of continued benefits from its relationship with the show. Demand for home improvements next year may be either low or high. But Build-Rite must decide now whether to hire more employees, do nothing, or develop subcontracts with other home improvement contractors. Build-Rite has developed the following payoff table: Demand for Home Improvements Alternative Low Moderate High Hire ($250,000) $100,000 $625,000 Subcontract $100,000 $150,000 $415,000 Do nothing $50,000 $80,000 $300,000 Which alternative is best, according to each of thefollowing decision criteria?a. Maximinb. Maximaxc. Laplaced. Minimax regretTitle U.S. Steel is considering a plant expansion to produce austenitic, precipitation hardened, duplex,.. Description </o:p> U.S. Steel is considering a plant expansion to produce austenitic, precipitation hardened, duplex, and martensitic stainless-steel round bars that is expected to cost $13 million now and another $10 million 1 year from now. If total operating costs will be $1.2 million per year starting 1 year from now, and the estimated salvage value of the plant is virtually zero, how much must the company make annually in years 1 through 10 to recover its investment plus a return of 15% per year?</o:p>Chatham Automotive purchased new electric forklifts to move steel automobile parts two years ago. They cost $65,000 each, including the charging stand. In practice, it was found that they did not hold a charge as long as claimed by the manufacturer, so operating costs are very high. As a result, their current salvage value is about $9,000. Chatham is considering replacing them with propane models. New propane forklifts cost $58,000 each. After one year, they have a salvage value of $40,000, and thereafter decline in value at a declining-balance depreciation rate of 20 percent, as does the electric model from this time on. The MARR is 8 percent. Operating costs for the electric model will be $19,000 this year, rising by 12 percent per year. Operating costs for the propane model will initially be $11,000 over the first year, rising by 12 percent per year. Should Chatham Automotive replace the forklifts now? Find EAC for both propane and elctric forklifts. P.S. Show…
- Keith is the group sales manager at the 400-room full-service Tripletree Hotel. Carla is the front office manager. Together with Leona, the GM, they make the revenue management decisions for their property. For the Saturday night that is just one week away, they have 180 unsold rooms remaining. Keith would like to accept an available group contract for the entire 180 rooms at a rate of $109 per room. “We’ll sell out,” he proclaims, “and have a great RevPAR.” Carla would like to reduce the room rates to $159.00 per night; which is a $20.00 reduction from the hotel’s normal rate of $179.00. “How many rooms do you forecast we can sell at that rate?” asks Leona. “I believe we can sell about 120 of them,” is Carla’s reply. “That means we’ll leave 60 empty rooms, and a lower RevPAR,” protests Keith. It costs $35.00 to prepare, sell, and clean (prepare for resale) a room at the Tripletree. After reviewing the data, you will be asked to perform some calculations and provide a critical…Adam has been offered to open up a Service station. However, the size of the establishment will be based on his decision. The annual return and investment required will be based on both size and market condition. To help out in the decision making, Adam has done the analysis and the expected profit/loss are shown in the table: What is the maximax,maximin and equally likely decision? Develop a decision treeExhibit A. Southland Corporation’s decision to produce a new line of recreational products resulted in the need to construct either a small plant, medium or large plant. The best selection of plant size depends on how the marketplace reacts to the new product line. To conduct an analysis, marketing management has decided to view the possible long-run demand as low, medium, or high. The following payoff table shows the projected profit in millions of dollars: Long-run Demand Plant Size Low Medium High Small 225 280 300 Medium 120 280 370 Large 75 280 750 Referring to Exhibit A, a. Identify the decision to be made, the decision alternatives, the chance event and the states of nature for this problem. b. What alternative should be chosen under the maximin criterion? Assume that the prior probabilities for low, medium and high demand are 0.2, 0.5 and 0.3, respectively. c. What is the recommendation if the Bayes' Decision Rule is…
