b) If the check-processing center received 45 million checks in the month of July, then using exponential smoothing and given a, the forecast for the month of August =million checks received (round your response to one decimal place).
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- Under what conditions might a firm use multiple forecasting methods?The Baker Company wants to develop a budget to predict how overhead costs vary with activity levels. Management is trying to decide whether direct labor hours (DLH) or units produced is the better measure of activity for the firm. Monthly data for the preceding 24 months appear in the file P13_40.xlsx. Use regression analysis to determine which measure, DLH or Units (or both), should be used for the budget. How would the regression equation be used to obtain the budget for the firms overhead costs?The file P13_42.xlsx contains monthly data on consumer revolving credit (in millions of dollars) through credit unions. a. Use these data to forecast consumer revolving credit through credit unions for the next 12 months. Do it in two ways. First, fit an exponential trend to the series. Second, use Holts method with optimized smoothing constants. b. Which of these two methods appears to provide the best forecasts? Answer by comparing their MAPE values.
- .A check-processing center uses exponential smoothing to forecast the number of incoming checks each month. The number of checks received in June was 570 million, while the forecast was 633million.A smoothing constant of 0.2 is used. What is the forecast for July? If the center received 498 million checks in July, what would be the forecast for August?A check-processing center uses exponential smoothing to forecast the number of incoming checks each month. The number of checks received in June was 40 million, while the forecast was 42 million. A smoothing constant of .2 is used. a) What is the forecast for July? b) If the center received 45 million checks in July, what would be the forecast for August? c) Why might this be an inappropriate forecasting method for this situation?please answer in excel Jean’s Copiers sells and repairs photocopy machines. The manager needs weekly forecasts of service calls so that she can schedule the personnel. The manager uses α = 0.3 for exponential smoothing, and the forecast for the first week was 24 calls. The manager also uses 3 weekly moving averages technique. a) Using 3 period moving averages, forecast the number of calls for week 7. b) Using exponential smoothing, forecast the number of calls for week 7. c) Compare these two forecasting techniques using Mean Squared Errors (MSE) measure. Which one is better?
- A check-processing center uses exponetial smoothing to forecast the number of incoming checks each month. the number of checks recewived in June was 40 million while the forecast was 42 million. A smoothibg constant of 0.15 is used. a) Using exponential smoothing and given a the forecast for the month of July={__} million checks received (round your response to one decimal placeUsing exponential smoothing with a weight of 0.6 on actual values: (a) If sales are $45,000 and $50,000 for 2017 and 2018, what would you forecast for 2019. (The first forecast is equal to the actual value of the preceding year) (b) Given the forecast and actual 2019 sales of $53,000, what would you forecast for 2020At the ABC Floral Shop, an argument developed between two of the owners, Bob and Henry, over the accuracy of forecasting methods. Bob argued that exponential smoothing with α = .1 would be the best method. Henry argued that the shop would get a better forecast with α = .3.a. Using F1 = 100 and the data from problem 3, which of the two managers is right?b. Graph the two forecasts and the original data using Excel. What does the graph reveal?c. Maybe forecast accuracy could be improved. Try additional values of α = .2, .4, and .5 to see if better accuracy is achieved.
- A check processing center uses exponential smoothing to forecast the number of incoming chewcks each moth. the number of checks received in june was 40 million while the forecast was 42 mil. A smoothing constabt of 0,15 is used. a)Using exponential smoothing and given a the forecast for the month of july=41.7 million checks received b) If the check-processing center received 46 million checks in the month of July then using exponential smoothing and given a the forecast for the month of august= [__] million checks recievedFreya is a new name in the retail industry that just started off its journey. With the right strategies, the brand’s grandeur will only rise with time. However, the founders really want to predict the customer demand right for the month of June. Hence, they need to figure out the right forecasting techniques. They are considering 2-period Moving Average, Naive technique, and Exponential Smoothing (use any value between .10 - .18 as the value of alpha). Figure out the better forecasting technique among 2 periods Moving Average, Naive technique, and Exponential Smoothing by doing the error calculation. Period Demand 2period Moving Average Naive technique Exponential Smoothing January 80 85 82 70 February 84 82 ** ** March 89 ** ** ** April 95 ** ** ** May 98 ** ** **2)Auto sales over a 4-month period were forecasted as follows: 89, 98, 105, and 97. The actual results over the 4-month period were as follows: 92, 96, 101, and 100. What was the MAD of the 4-month forecast? (use an excel sheet to make all calaculations and show formulas used in excel)