Determine your optimal bargaining strategy (i.e., your optimal first and second offer) by following the steps below: (a) Suppose you design your bargaining strategy such that the retailer may find it optimal to accept either of your offers, depending on consumer demand ("screening"). For which level of consumer demand would you want the retailer to accept your first offer, and for which your second offer? (b) Formulate all participation and incentive compatibility constraints. (c) What is your optimal "screening" bargaining strategy and your expected profit when playing this strategy? (d) Can you do any better using a "non-screening strategy in which the retailer accepts your first offer for sure (independent of consumer demand)?

Brief Principles of Macroeconomics (MindTap Course List)
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Chapter9: The Basic Tools Of Finance
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Question 5
You negotiate with a retailer over a contract according to which the retailer would buy a
large fraction of your current production for next year. The retailer is perfectly informed about
consumer demand, but you do not know whether demand is high or low. You only know that
the probability for high demand is 80%. If demand is high, the retailer's profit is £5 million
minus what he pays to you according to your contract. If demand is low, the retailer's profit
is £3 million minus what he pays to you. Your costs of producing the output specified in the
contract are £1 million. You can make sequential offers for the retailer's total payment for
you to deliver a fixed quantity of your production.
As you know that your competitor is also seeking a similar contract with this retailer, and the
retailer can only supply one firm due to limited shelf space, you know that you can only
make at most two offers. If your first offer is rejected, the retailer will strike the deal with your
competitor with 50% probability (which rules out that you will get a deal with the retailer for
next year), and if your second offer is rejected, the retailer will sign the contract with your
competitor for sure. That contract with your competitor will eam the retailer £1 million profit
next year under either realisation of consumer demand.
Determine your optimal bargaining strategy (i.e., your optimal first and second offer) by
following the steps below:
(a) Suppose you design your bargaining strategy such that the retailer may find it optimal
to accept either of your offers, depending on consumer demand ("screening"). For
which level of consumer demand would you want the retailer to accept your first offer,
and for which your second offer?
(b) Formulate all participation and incentive compatibility constraints.
(c) What is your optimal "screening" bargaining strategy and your expected profit when
playing this strategy?
(d) Can you do any better using a "non-screening" strategy in which the retailer accepts
your first offer for sure (independent of consumer demand)?
Transcribed Image Text:Question 5 You negotiate with a retailer over a contract according to which the retailer would buy a large fraction of your current production for next year. The retailer is perfectly informed about consumer demand, but you do not know whether demand is high or low. You only know that the probability for high demand is 80%. If demand is high, the retailer's profit is £5 million minus what he pays to you according to your contract. If demand is low, the retailer's profit is £3 million minus what he pays to you. Your costs of producing the output specified in the contract are £1 million. You can make sequential offers for the retailer's total payment for you to deliver a fixed quantity of your production. As you know that your competitor is also seeking a similar contract with this retailer, and the retailer can only supply one firm due to limited shelf space, you know that you can only make at most two offers. If your first offer is rejected, the retailer will strike the deal with your competitor with 50% probability (which rules out that you will get a deal with the retailer for next year), and if your second offer is rejected, the retailer will sign the contract with your competitor for sure. That contract with your competitor will eam the retailer £1 million profit next year under either realisation of consumer demand. Determine your optimal bargaining strategy (i.e., your optimal first and second offer) by following the steps below: (a) Suppose you design your bargaining strategy such that the retailer may find it optimal to accept either of your offers, depending on consumer demand ("screening"). For which level of consumer demand would you want the retailer to accept your first offer, and for which your second offer? (b) Formulate all participation and incentive compatibility constraints. (c) What is your optimal "screening" bargaining strategy and your expected profit when playing this strategy? (d) Can you do any better using a "non-screening" strategy in which the retailer accepts your first offer for sure (independent of consumer demand)?
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