Eu B. A person facing a random potential loss L is considering how much insurance to buy. Their expected utility function is u(x) = log(x + 100), their current wealth is w 400, and the cdf of the rand loss L that they face is 0.8 FL(x)= 1 if <0 if x=0 0.8+/160 if 0<<< 32 if 32x. 1. What is the probability that they suffer no loss? 2. What is the expected value of their loss? 3. What is their expected utility if they do not buy any insurance? 4. What is the certainty equivalent of not buying insurance?
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- You are in the market for a used car. At a used carlot, you know that the Blue Book value of the car youare looking at is between $15,000 and $19,000. Ifyou believe the dealer knows as much about the caras you do, how much are you willing to pay? Why?Assume that you care only about the expected valueof the car you will buy and that the car values aresymmetrically distributed.23. Refer to Problem 22. Now you believe the dealerknows more about the car than you do. How muchare you willing to pay? Why? How can this asymmetric information problem be resolved in a competitivemarket?Consider the constant relative risk aversion utility of wealth function from Chapter 3 for an investor with gamma parameter equal to 0.25: U(W) = W^(0.25)/(0.25) = 4W^(0.25). Suppose this investor is faced with a 50-50 bet to receive nothing or to receive 1000 dollars. What's a fair price for this bet to the investor? I.e., what is the certainty equivalent wealth (CEW) associated with this bet, for this investorAngie owns an endive farm that will be worth $90,000 or $0 with equal probability. Her Bernouilli utility function is u(w) =√w, where w is her wealth level (sum of initial wealth and the worth of the endive farm). 1. Suppose her firm is the only asset she has, that is, she has no initial wealth. What is the lowest price P at which she will agree to sell her endive farm before she knows how much it will be worth? 2. Redo part (1) assuming that she has $160,000 in her bank safe. 3. Compare and discuss your results in parts (1) and (2). What relationship can you find between Angie’s initial wealth level (zero versus $160,000) and her risk aversion?
- Abigail is a consumer whose utility is a function of her total wealth W. u(W ) = log W. Suppose that Abigail begins with initial wealth of A = 100 but will suffer a serious illness with probability π = 0.15 which will require extensive treatment costing L = 80. To hedge against this risk, Abigail considers buying a health insurance policy. She may buy as much insurance I as she wishes at a cost of p per dollar of coverage, so her payoffs in each state are Healthy Ill Probability 0.85 0.15 No Insurance 100 20 Claim 0 I Premium −pI −pI a) Show that Abigail is risk averse. b) Suppose that the insurance premiums are actuarially fair so that p = 0. Find Abigail’s expected wealth E[W ] and expected utility E[u(W )] as functions of how much insurance she buys I. c) How much insurance should Abigail buy?Abigail is a consumer whose utility is a function of her total wealth W. u(W ) = log W. Suppose that Abigail begins with initial wealth of A = 100 but will suffer a serious illness with probability π = 0.15 which will require extensive treatment costing L = 80. To hedge against this risk, Abigail considers buying a health insurance policy. She may buy as much insurance I as she wishes at a cost of p per dollar of coverage, so her payoffs in each state are Healthy Ill Probability 0.85 0.15 No Insurance 100 20 Claim 0 I Premium −pI −pI a) Now suppose that the insurance company raises premiums to p = 0.2 so that they are no longer actuarially fair. Find Abigail’s expected wealth E[W ] and expected utility E[u(W )]. b) How much insurance should Abigail buy now?Stewart will have a total wealth of $12,000 this year, if he stays healthy. Suppose Stewart has a 50% chance of staying healthy and a 50% chance of getting sick. If Stewart gets sick, then he will have to pay $8,000 for medical bills, leaving him $4,000 of total wealth. Under these conditions, Stewarts expected wealth (a.k.a. expected value of wealth) is $8,000. Based on the graph shown below, what level of wealth with certainty (i.e., wealth that Stewart is certain to have) would make Stewart equally as happy as he is when facing the 50% chance of being sick?
- Jamal has a utility function U = W1/2, where W is his wealth in millions of dollars and U is the utility he obtains from that wealth. In the final stage of a game show, the host offers Jamal a choice between (A) $4 million for sure, or (B) a gamble that pays $1 million with probability 0.6 and $9 million with probability 0.4. a. b. c. d. Graph Jamal’s utility function. Is he risk averse? Explain. (2+2) Does A or B offer Jamal a higher expected prize? Explain your reasoning with appropriate calculations. (1) Does A or B offer Jamal a higher expected utility? Explain your reasoning with calculations. (2) Should Jamal pick A or B? Why?Khalid has a utility function U = W1/2, where W is his wealth in millions of dollarsand U is the utility he obtains from the wealth. In a game show, the host offershim a choice between (A) $4 million for sure, or (B) a gamble that pays $1million with probability 0.6 and $9 million with probability 0.4.i. Graph Khalid’s utility function with the help of above utility function. Ishe risk lover? Explain. ii. Does A or B choice offer Khalid a higher expected prize? Explain yourreasoning with appropriate calculations. iii. Does A or B offer Khalid a higher expected utility? Again, show yourcalculations. iv. Should Jamal pick A or B choice? Why?Natasha has utility function u(I) = (10*I)0.5, where I is her annual income (in thousands). (a) Is she a risk loving, risk averse or risk neutral individual? She is [risk loving, risk adverse, risk neutral] , as her utility function is [concave, convex, linear] (b) Suppose that she is currently earning an income of $40,000 (I = 40) and can earn that income next year with certainty. She is offered a chance to take a new job that offers a 0.6 probability of earning $44,000 and a 0.4 probability of earning $33,000. She should [take, not take] the new job because her expected utility of (approximately) [18.27,19.82,20,20.95,21.14] is [greater than, less than, equal to] her current utility of [18.27,19.85,20,20.95,21.14] .
- 2. Consider an individual with a current wealth of $100,000 who faces the prospect of a 25% chance of losing $20,000 through theft of her car during the next year. If the person’s utility function is U(X) = ln(X), where X is wealth: a. calculate expected utility without insurance, b. calculate the actuarially fair premium for full insurance, c. calculate expected utility with full insurance at the actuarially fair premium d. calculate the maximum amount the individual would pay for full insurance.1. Consider an insurance contract with the premium r=$200 and payout q=$800 a.) John has healthy-state income IH = $900 and sick-state income IS = $100. He has a probability of illness p = 0.2. Is the contract fair and/or full for John? b.) What is John’s expected income without this insurance contract? What is John’s expected income with this insurance contract?Consider the model of competitive insurance. Peter is a risk averse individual with the utility function u(w) = w0.5. His current wealth is $300 and with probability 1/2 he will incur a loss of D = $240, but with probability 1/2 he will incur no loss. Ann has the same utility u(w) = w0.5 and current wealth $300 as Peter, but a different probability of loss: she will incur a loss of D = $240 with probability 0.3, and no loss with probability 0.7. In the separating equilibrium Peter is offered actuarially fair full insurance contract, so his wealth is equal to $180, whether loss happens or not. What amount of insurance (approximately) will Ann be offered an insurance contract with?
