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example of situations that will you will use empirical, classical, and subjective approach to estimate probabilities.
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- According to a recent Wall Street Journal article, about 2% of new US car sales are electric vehicles (data from Edison Electric Institute reported by Jinjoo Lee, "Peak Oil? Not This Year. Or This Decade," January 9, 2021 pg. B12). Suppose a company has 111 employees who drive new cars (separately) to work each day. What is the probability that at least one of them will drive an electric car? Note:- Do not provide handwritten solution. Maintain accuracy and quality in your answer. Take care of plagiarism. Answer completely. You will get up vote for sure.Probability is the likelihood or chance of an event occurring. Discuss its significance in real life. Develop a hypothesis about any real life occurring phenomena and calculate probability by using hypothetical values.The project manager of Good Public Relations gatheredthe data shown in Table 7.15 for a new advertisingcampaign.a. How long is the project likely to take? b. What is the probability that the project will take more than38 weeks?c. Consider the path A–E–G–H–J. What is the probability thatthis path will exceed 38 weeks?
- a) There are several environmental factors that can impact a government’s financial condition. Some factors are more difficult to measure or assign probabilities to. Which of the following environmental factors is the most difficult to measure or assign a probability to? Group of answer choices 1: Business activity. 2: Rate of inflation. 3: Revenue restrictions. 4: Political culture and climate.A health economist is conducting the analysis and making a choice between the following two choices: Choice A: there is a certain outcome that the patient will stay in chronic health state X for the rest of his life T Choice B: the treatment has two possible outcomes, either the patient is returned to full Health (1) of the rest of his life T with probability p; the patient dies (0) immediately with the remainig probability What is the utilty value of the health state X? X=P X=PT X=(1-P)/P X=PT/(1-P)a. If the decision maker knows nothing about the probabilities of the fourstates of nature, what is the recommended decision using:i. the optimistic approachii. the conservative approachiii. the minimax regret approachiv. the Laplace method
-  Time remaining: 01 :53 :32 Economics A dealer decides to sell an antique automobile by means of an English auction with a reservation price of $900. There are two bidders. The dealer believes that there are only three possible values, $7,200, $3,600, and $900, that each bidder’s willingness to pay might take. Each bidder has a probability of 1/3 of having each of these willingnesses to pay, and the probabilities for each of the two bidders are independent of the other’s valuation. Assuming that the two bidders bid rationally and do not collude, the dealer’s expected revenue from selling the car is approximately Group of answer choices $3,600. $2,500. $3,900. $5,400. $7,200.Fare F ($/trip) and travel time T (hr/trip) for Bus and Rails are given Bus: F= 40, T = 3 Rail: F = 56, T=2.5 We have a utility function u = -0.005 F -0.1 t * Use the logit model to find the probability of choosing bus * What change in rain rare would achieve the probability of choosing rail to be 55%? * What value use time is implied by the utility function? Start to think about the utility of one-hour a. it will be #% b. #$ c. $20$/hrAn individual has 40,000 in income per year. The person will get sick with probability 0.1. If he does get sick, the medical bills will total 30,000. The following tables shows the utility derived from certain amounts of income: Income Utility40,000 20037,000 19535,000 19030,000 17020,000 14010,000 100Considering the probability of illness, what is the expected utility of income without insurance? Show your work.
- Tom wants to avoid any accidents on the work floor of his factory. If an accident does occur, itwould cost him $500,000 in damages. Installing safety equipment would decrease the probabilityof an accident occurring from 20% to 10%. However, the equipment costs $20,000 to install.10. What is his expected loss after installing the safety equipmenta. $20,000b. $50,000c. $100,000d. $125,000Many decision problems have the following simplestructure. A decision maker has two possible decisions, 1 and 2. If decision 1 is made, a sure cost of c isincurred. If decision 2 is made, there are two possibleoutcomes, with costs c1 and c2 and probabilities p and1 2 p. We assume that c1 , c , c2. The idea is thatdecision 1, the riskless decision, has a moderate cost,whereas decision 2, the risky decision, has a low costc1 or a high cost c2.a. Calculate the expected cost from the riskydecision.b. List as many scenarios as you can think of thathave this structure. (Here’s an example to get youstarted. Think of insurance, where you pay a surepremium to avoid a large possible loss.) For eachof these scenarios, indicate whether you wouldbase your decision on EMV or on expected utilityPlease no written by hand solution Kate recently invested in real estate with the intention of selling the property one year from today. She has modeled the returns on that investment based on three economic scenarios. She believes that if the economy stays healthy, then her investment will generate a 30 percent return. However, if the economy softens, as predicted, the return will be 10 percent, while the return will be -25 percent if the economy slips into a recession. If the probabilities of the healthy, soft, and recessionary states are 0.6, 0.2, and 0.2, respectively, then what are the expected return and the standard deviation of the return on Kate❝s investment? Calculate the coefficient of variation for this investment. (Round expected return to 3 decimal places, e.g. 0.125 and round intermediate calculations and standard deviation to 5 decimal places, e.g. 0.07680.)