Gary’s Pipe and Steel company expects sales next year to be $910,000 if the economy is strong, $655,000 if the economy is steady, and $376,000 if the economy is weak. Gary believes there is a 10 percent probability the economy will be strong, a 55 percent probability of a steady economy, and a 35 percent probability of a weak economy. What is the expected level of sales for next year?

Financial Management: Theory & Practice
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ISBN:9781337909730
Author:Brigham
Publisher:Brigham
Chapter7: Corporate Valuation And Stock Valuation
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Problem 1P: Ogier Incorporated currently has $800 million in sales, which are projected to grow by 10% in Year 1...
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Gary’s Pipe and Steel company expects sales next year to be $910,000 if the economy is strong, $655,000 if the economy is steady, and $376,000 if the economy is weak. Gary believes there is a 10 percent probability the economy will be strong, a 55 percent probability of a steady economy, and a 35 percent probability of a weak economy.

What is the expected level of sales for next year?

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Forecasting refers to the process of estimating the figures for the future. This is based on historical data as well as the probability that the scenario will be true in the future. There are various ways of estimation and the use of probabilities in forecasting is one of the ways. 

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