Given unlimited availability of resources: Evaluate the officer’s chance to catch the robbers if she arrives 42.3 minutes after the robbery begins. [Calculate the probability for the critical path only]

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section9.2: Elements Of Decision Analysis
Problem 2P
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Given unlimited availability of resources: Evaluate the officer’s chance to catch the robbers if she arrives 42.3 minutes after the robbery begins.

[Calculate the probability for the critical path only]

 

The following robbery project has been planned by three criminals X,Y and W for a jewelry store.
Activity
A. disarm exterior alarm syste
B. disarm office alarm system
C. crack office safe
D. clean out office safe
E. crack jewelry safe
F. clean out jewelry safe
G. gather loot and exit
Immed.Pred.MEAN (TE) Optimistic Most Likely Pessimistic Variance Resource
None
7
9
11
X
A
3
4
X
B
4
6
Y
x/y/ w
с
A
E
D,F
12
9
8
6
14
12
10
7
5
7
17
15
12
11
y
x/y/ w
x/v/ w
Transcribed Image Text:The following robbery project has been planned by three criminals X,Y and W for a jewelry store. Activity A. disarm exterior alarm syste B. disarm office alarm system C. crack office safe D. clean out office safe E. crack jewelry safe F. clean out jewelry safe G. gather loot and exit Immed.Pred.MEAN (TE) Optimistic Most Likely Pessimistic Variance Resource None 7 9 11 X A 3 4 X B 4 6 Y x/y/ w с A E D,F 12 9 8 6 14 12 10 7 5 7 17 15 12 11 y x/y/ w x/v/ w
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