Given: Year     Demand 1             7 2             9 3             5 4             9 5 Predict the value for Year 5: 2 year moving average What is MSE for 2 year moving average? 2 year moving average using 0.6 (weight for the oldest period) and 0.4(weight for most recent period Exponential smoothing, =0.2 and forecast for Year 1 = 5 Linear trend Which forecast method has the least amount of error using MAD? What is the coefficient?

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.7: Exponential Smoothing Models
Problem 26P: The file P13_26.xlsx contains the monthly number of airline tickets sold by the CareFree Travel...
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Given:

Year     Demand

1             7

2             9

3             5

4             9

5

Predict the value for Year 5:

  1. 2 year moving average
  2. What is MSE for 2 year moving average?
  3. 2 year moving average using 0.6 (weight for the oldest period) and 0.4(weight for most recent period
  4. Exponential smoothing, =0.2 and forecast for Year 1 = 5
  5. Linear trend
  6. Which forecast method has the least amount of error using MAD?
  7. What is the coefficient?
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Follow-up Question

Need help with discerning the coefficient of determination or r^2 for question number 7.

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Follow-up Question

Can you please demonstrate #7 how to identify the coefficient?

Given:

Year     Demand

1             7

2             9

3             5

4             9

5

Predict the value for Year 5:

  1. 2 year moving average
  2. What is MSE for 2 year moving average?
  3. 2 year moving average using 0.6 (weight for the oldest period) and 0.4(weight for most recent period
  4. Exponential smoothing, =0.2 and forecast for Year 1 = 5
  5. Linear trend
  6. Which forecast method has the least amount of error using MAD?
  7. What is the coefficient?
Solution
Bartleby Expert
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Follow-up Question

*** Can you please demonstrate how to do parts d, e, f?

Given:

Year     Demand

1             7

2             9

3             5

4             9

5

Predict the value for Year 5:

  1. 2 year moving average
  2. What is MSE for 2 year moving average?
  3. 2 year moving average using 0.6 (weight for the oldest period) and 0.4(weight for most recent period
  4. Exponential smoothing, =0.2 and forecast for Year 1 = 5
  5. Linear trend
  6. Which forecast method has the least amount of error using MAD?
  7. What is the coefficient?
Solution
Bartleby Expert
SEE SOLUTION
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