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- A firm experienced the demand shown in the following table. *Unkown future value to be forecast Fill in the table by preparing forecasts based on a five-year moving average, a three-year moving average, and exponential smoothing (with a w=0.9 and a w=0.3). Note The exponential smoothing forecasts may be begun by assuming Y t+1=Yt. Using the forecasts from 2005 through 2009, compare the accuracy of each of the forecasting methods based on the RMSE criterion. Which forecast would you have used for 2010? Why?Compute the inflation rate for fruit prices from 2001 to 2004.Metropolitan Hospital has estimated its average monthly bed needs as N=1,000+9X where X=timeperiod(months);January2002=0 N=monthlybedneeds Assume that no new hospital additions are expected in the area in the foreseeable future. The following monthly seasonal adjustment factors have been estimated, using data from the past five years: Forecast Metropolitans bed demand for January, April, July, November, and December 2007. If the following actual and forecast values for June bed demands have been recorded, what seasonal adjustment factor would you recommend be used in making future June forecasts?
- How to Measure Changes in the Cost of Living introduced a number of different price indices. Which price index would be best to use to adjust your paycheck for inflation?Why does substitution bias arise if we calculate the inflation rate based on a fixed basket of goods?13)Assume that the dummy variable Married=1 if married (0if not married),Sex=1 if male (0if male), and that you estimate the equation: log(wage)= B0 + B1 Married + B2*Sex +B3(Married*Sex). The estimated llog wage for an unmarried woman can be estimated by:a.B0 b.B0+B1+B2 c.B0+B1+B2+B3 d.B0+B3
- Mr. Geppetto uses exponential smoothing to predict revenue in his wood carving business. He uses a weight of = .4 for the naïve forecast and (1-) = .6 for the past forecast. What revenue did he predict for March using the data below? MONTH REVENUE FORECAST Nov 100 100 Dec 90 100 Jan 115 ---- Feb 110 ---- MARCH ? ?Actual sales of TV's for the first six month in 2021 were as follows:January 60 February 80 March 42April 68 May 44 June 72 Use this information and determine in whole numbers: 1 The average actual monthly sales for that period 2 Trends: Reduce this average by 6% per month for the next three months 3 Simple Moving Average (SMA): make a forecast for July using a three months simple movingaverage. 4 Weighted Moving Average (WMA): make forecast for July, using a three months weightedmoving average where the weights are 0.5; 0.3 and 0.2 respectively.in table plzz
- AD has estimated the following demand relationship for its product over the last four years, using monthly observations: ln Qt = 4.932- 1.238 ln Pt + 1.524 ln Yt-1 + 0.4865lnQt-1(2.54) (1.38) (3.65) (2.87)R2= 0.8738where Q = sales in units, P = price in Rs., Y is income in Rs,000, and the numbers in brackets are t-statistics.a. Interpret the above model.b. Make a sales forecast if price is Rs. 9, income last month was Rs. 25,000 and sales last month were 2,981 units.c. Make a sales forecast for the following month if there is no change in price or income.d. If price is increased by 5 per cent in general terms, estimate the effect on sales, stating any assumptions.s EconomicsQ&A LibraryEach term (3 months) the current group of economics students completed a questionnaire as to how much they would spend on new purchases compared to how much they would save/pay off bills, if they suddenly and unexpectedly received a check for $1,000. The average MPC is shown in the table below. Month in which student poll was taken Average of students’ responses as MPC March 0.41 June 0.30 September 0.22 December 0.56 What do these MPC’s imply about the students’ thinking over the course of the year? (Enter response here.) What is likely happening in the economy during the same period of time? Each term (3 months) the current group of economics students completed a questionnaire as to how much they would spend on new purchases compared to how much they would save/pay off bills, if they suddenly and unexpectedly received a check for $1,000. The average MPC is shown in the table below. Month in which student poll was taken Average of students’…b. Is the World heading for a recession? Explain the conditions under which the world can be classified as being in a recession as COVID-19 persists. Explain linking the pandemic to the various stages of a recession.
