Q1. What are the elements of good forecasting? Note: Write only the questions:
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Q: Calculate the Tracking Signal to two decimal places.
A: SOLUTION: Tracking Signal = 2.35 Hence, the solution of this answer is as below:
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A: Forecasting is predicting in advance what future sales/demand can be.
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A: A prediction based on subjective data. A judgmental forecast is one that is made by someone who is…
Q: What are the benefits of exponential smoothing over moving average forecasting?
A: The following are the advantages of exponential smoothing over moving averages as a forecasting…
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A: Given- Month Actual Demand March 20 April 25 May 40 June 35 July 30 August 45
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A: Forecasting is the method of making future forecasts based on historical and current evidence. It's…
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A: Forecasting is the process of prediction in which sales demand is estimated using historic…
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Q: Do you think that Hard Rock Cafemakes use of time horizons when forecasting?
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Q: What are the seven steps taken in forecasting system?
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Q: what are the benefits of exponential smoothing forecasting?
A: Forecasting is the process of prediction in which sales demand is estimated using historic…
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Q: What forecasting technique makes use of written surveys or telephone interviews?
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Q: What can a business do to address the issue of forecasting inaccuracy ?
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A: 1. Budgeting and Forecasting are instruments that organizations use to set up an arrangement for…
Q: What are some of the potential benefits of a more formalizedapproach to forecasting?
A: Forecasting is the process of predicting the future based on historical and current data. It's…
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Q: Which type of forecasting approach, qualitative or quantitative, is better?
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Q: D.) compute MAPE for each data set. Which forecast appears to be more accurate?
A: Forecasting is the process in which estimation of future demand is determined using the previous or…
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Q: List the analytical tools and methods used in forecasting?
A: Forecasting is the process of making assumptions of the future on the basis of past and present data…
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A: Below is the solution:-
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A: Forecasting refers to the art and science of forecasting or predicting the future scenario or what…
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A: The process that uses to predict the future based on past data is known as forecasting. The…
Q: q. 15 Calculate the accuracy of your MA forecasts using MAD. What does the result tell you?…
A: Given-
Q: Q2: Daily high temperature in St. Louis for the last week were as follows: 93, 94, 93, 95, 96, 88,…
A: Formula:
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Q1. What are the elements of good forecasting?
Note:
Write only the questions:
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- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. Ethical decisions that affect a buyers ethical perspective usually involve the organizational environment, cultural environment, personal environment, and industry environment. Analyze this scenario using these four variables.Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?
- 3- What are the different Forecasting Approaches? Explain each in detailq1- Daily highs in Sacramento for the past week (from least to most recent) were: 95, 102, 101, 96, 95, 90 and 92. Develop a forecast for today using a weighted moving average, with weights of .6, .3 and .1, where the highest weights are applied to the most recent dataq2- Consider the following demand and forecast. Period Demand Forecast 1 7 10 2 12 15 3 18 20 4 22 If MAD = 2, what is the forecast for period 4? Answer 21 22 23 none of the aboveq3- A normal distribution has a mean of 500 and a standard deviation of 50. A manager wants to simulate one value from this distribution, and has drawn the number 1.4 randomly. What is the simulated value?Q4- The local operations manager for the IRS must decide whether to hire 1, 2, or 3 temporary workers. He estimates that net revenues will vary with how well taxpayers comply with the new tax code. The following payoff table is given in thousands of dollars (e.g. 50 = $50,000). If he thinks the chances of low, medium, and high compliance are…Questions: 1. What are some of the potential benefits of a more formalized approach to forecasting? 2. Prepare a weekly forecast for the next four weeks for each product. Briefly explain why you chose the methods you used. (Hint for product 2, a simple approach, possibly some sort of naive/intuitive approach, would be preferable to a technical approach in view of the manager's disdain of more technical methods).
- Which of the following statements about forecasting based on big data analytics is true? Question 5 options: Most firms should outsource this analysis. Most firms have all of the resources needed to do this analysis. Most firms may need to acquire new resources to do this analysis. All are true statements regarding big data analytics.Q.1: How forecasting helps in different disciplines of management science? Make a comparison between quantitative forecasting versus qualitative forecastingQ: Using exponential smoothing with a weight ex of 0.6 on actual values: (a) if sales are $45,000 and $50,000 for 2010 and 2011, what would you forecast for 2012? (b) given this forecast and actual 2012 sales of $53,000, what would you then forecast for 20013? (a) (b)
- q 1 An analyst must decide between two different forecasting techniques for weekly sales of roller blades. Based on the following data, answer the below questions. time Units sold 1 147 2 148 3 151 4 145 5 155 6 152 7 155 8 157 9 160 10 165 What's the MAD if the exponential smoothing technique with alpha 0.4 is used?Q 6 Identify two business situations where the Delphi method might be used to generate forecasts. Can you think of any difficulties and pitfalls associated with using the Delphi method?q. 15 Calculate the accuracy of your MA forecasts using MAD. What does the result tell you? Group of answer choices a. There is a bias towards over forecasting b. There is a bias towards under forecasting c. On average forecasts miss by 15% d. On average forecasts miss by 2 e. MAD does not provide any useful information without a CFE calculation to compare with